The Milwaukee Brewers won the NL Central last season, but expectations aren’t quite as big as they enter 2024. Milwaukee lost in the NL Wild Card series. The Brewers weren’t always in the lead of the division last season, winning 26 of their last 39 games.
The loss of RHP Corbin Burnes looms large on this team; they traded Burnes to the Baltimore Orioles. Milwaukee also lost several key personnel like GM David Stearns.
Let’s analyze the Milwaukee Brewers’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and NL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.
Milwaukee Brewers World Series odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 18 at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Odds: +9000 (bet $100 to win $9,000)
Milwaukee is tied for the 22nd-shortest odds to win it all. The Los Angeles Dodgers (+320) are the favorites, followed by the Atlanta Braves (+450), the Houston Astros (+700) and the New York Yankees (+900).
At +9000, Milwaukee has an implied probability of winning the World Series of 1.1% or 90/1 fractional odds. The disappointing offseason mixed with the loss of numerous key off-field personnel make this a play to AVOID.
The Oakland Athletics and Colorado Rockies are tied for the longest odds at +50000. Backing the Brewers (+9000) to win the World Series is NOT worth a play here.
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Milwaukee Brewers playoff odds
Will they make the playoffs: Yes +350 | No -520
The Brewers rotation lost too many players, including Burnes and RHP Brandon Woodruff. Milwaukee dealt away its ace, and there are a plethora of teams that could eye other players. There’s no telling if that’s the start of a domino effect of trades for Milwaukee.
With Burnes and Woodruff gone and a plethora of prospects on the rise, it is a realistic concern whether or not the team trades LF Christian Yelich as well. There’s just too much uncertainty, but betting against the Brewers here offers no value.
Ultimately, AVOID this play.
Milwaukee Brewers win total
Over/Under: 76.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
If you haven’t noticed, there isn’t much love for this Brewers team. The main reason to be skeptical is the loss of Stearns. He took over at the start of the 2016 season, and the Brewers had topped this total in all but 1 year (not including the COVID-19 shortened 2020 season).
With Milwaukee looking to get younger and contend in a few seasons, along with the departure of several key rotational pieces, the Brewers could struggle more than expected.
The Brewers have replaced steady pitchers with young guns like LHP Robert Gasser and RHP Jacob Misiorowski. The assumption is they won’t take that next step this season, and that’s worth betting on.
BET UNDER 76.5 (-105).
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To win NL East Division
- St. Louis Cardinals +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
- Chicago Cubs +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Cincinnati Reds +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
- Milwaukee Brewers +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
- Pittsburgh Pirates +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
Milwaukee’s implied probability of winning the NL Central is 12.5% or 7/1 fractional odds. There are many other threats here, and all 3 of the teams sitting ahead of it had a better offseason and have more promising young prospects.
That said, this is ultimately a PASS.
To win National League
Odds: +4500 (bet $100 to win $4,500)
Like with the other long-shot plays for Milwaukee, this one isn’t worth considering either.
The Brewers are a wild card in the division with more downside than upside, and assuming they can top well-developed teams like Atlanta and Los Angeles is just a dream at this point. In a few years, they may have a shot, but not in 2024.
PASS on them to win the NL.
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