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Breakingviews – Porsche IPO leaves VW stock in Skoda territory

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Breakingviews – Porsche IPO leaves VW stock in Skoda territory

LONDON, Sept 29 (Reuters Breakingviews) – Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE) traders must be cheering. The German carmaker’s itemizing of its Porsche subsidiary has been a rip-roaring success: it priced on the prime finish of the vary amid a risky market. By promoting a 25% stake guardian VW will elevate 19.5 billion euros, a lot of which can assist its electrical car transition, they usually now have a market-endorsed worth for the posh unit. Sadly, the online impact is to make Volkswagen look extra like a Skoda.

A key aspect advantage of the itemizing was to crystallise the latent worth inside Volkswagen, a bit just like the 2016 Ferrari (RACE.MI) spinoff did with Fiat Chrysler, now Stellantis . But up to now, the advantages appear modest. Porsche’s market capitalisation almost matches that of its guardian, which was 81 billion euros on Thursday morning.

The German group might be price much more, in response to a tough sum-of-the-parts calculation. Assume the remainder of its automotive enterprise, which incorporates quantity manufacturers like Skoda and higher-end Audi, is valued on the common of friends Stellantis and Mercedes-Benz (MBGn.DE), or 1.4 occasions 2023 working revenue. That’s round 17 billion euros on Berenberg numbers. The overall carmaking operations can be price 92 billion euros, utilizing a 75 billion enterprise worth for Porsche, and the money raised by the IPO.

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Now throw within the guide worth of its monetary providers unit, price 39 billion euros. And add the Chinese language joint ventures, which might be price 17.4 billion euros if valued on the identical 8 occasions earnings a number of as peer SAIC (600104.SS), utilizing Berenberg’s 2023 internet revenue forecast. Lastly take off hybrid debt, pension liabilities and add again money and VW’s fairness worth might be 134 billion euros, some 65% above the present stage.

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The disconnect is probably going right down to VW’s personal governance. Its largest shareholder is the Porsche and Piëch household car, Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PSHG_p.DE), a special entity to the newly listed Porsche AG. And VW’s board is dominated by labour representatives and native politicians, with no voting rights for strange shareholders. By holding onto a 75% stake, VW will look extra like a holding firm, which usually benefit a reduction to issue within the problem of promoting a stake and lowered say.

The IPO may have been organized in a approach which noticed the Porsche and Piëch household scale back its maintain on VW, whereas rising management of Porsche. As a substitute, they preserve a grip of each. Porsche shares will now be break up into voting and non-voting rights, with 1 / 4 of the non-voting ones listed, and an analogous quantity of voting inventory bought to Porsche SE.

Which means VW shareholders have truly misplaced a bit of management. In the meantime, each VW and the posh carmaker will share the identical chief government, Oliver Blume, probably creating conflicts of curiosity. Till these points get resolved, VW’s valuation will keep within the gradual lane.

Comply with @Unmack1 on Twitter

(The writer is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his personal.)

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CONTEXT NEWS

Shares in sports activities automobile maker Porsche AG rose modestly after itemizing on Sept. 29, whereas these of guardian Volkswagen fell almost 5%.

The itemizing valued Porsche on the prime finish of the value vary at 82.50 euros for every choice share, implying a market capitalisation of 75 billion euros. Porsche listed 25% of its non-voting choice shares, whereas 25% plus one share of its voting inventory shall be bought to Porsche Automobil Holding SE, Volkswagen’s largest shareholder and the car of the Porsche and Piëch household.

Porsche AG shares had been buying and selling at 85.90 euros as of 1000 GMT, up 4%. Volkswagen’s choice shares had been down 3%, at 133.70 euros, after beforehand being down round 5%.

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Modifying by George Hay and Oliver Taslic

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TVLine Items: ID’s Nick and Aaron Carter Docuseries, Outlander Prequel Cast Additions and More

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TVLine Items: ID’s Nick and Aaron Carter Docuseries, Outlander Prequel Cast Additions and More


Nick and Aaron Carter Docuseries ‘Fallen Idols’ Release Date



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Russia sinks space nuke ban at UN amid rumors of Putin's orbital weapon

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Russia sinks space nuke ban at UN amid rumors of Putin's orbital weapon

A U.S.-led resolution that would prevent using nuclear weapons in outer space received dozens of co-sponsors, but Russia vetoed the measure amid reports it has deployed a weapon that can destroy satellites. 

“The detonation of a nuclear weapon in space would destroy satellites that are vital to communications, agriculture, national security, and more worldwide, with grave implications for sustainable development, and other aspects of international peace and security,” the U.S. Mission to the United Nations wrote in a press release prior to the vote. 

“The diverse group of cosponsors of this resolution reflects the strong shared interest in avoiding such an outcome,” the statement read. “We join these Member States in calling on the Security Council to meet this moment today and adopt the resolution unanimously, consistent with its mandate to maintain international peace and security.”

The U.S. and Japan presented the resolution to the U.N. Security Council for a vote on Wednesday, but Russia shot the measure down. Prior to the vote, Russia’s Deputy U.N. Ambassador Dmitry Polyansky reported that his country’s initial impression was that the resolution served as “yet another propaganda stunt by Washington” and called it a “very politicized” effort “divorced from reality,” The Associated Press reported. 

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The draft resolution, which received backing from 60 member states, states that “the prevention of an arms race in outer space would avert a grave danger for international peace and security.” It affirms that countries that ratified the 1967 Outer Space Treaty must comply with their obligations.

A Security Council meeting at United Nations headquarters, March 22, 2024. (Getty Images)

The tug-of-war over hypothetical space-based weapons follows claims from the White House in February that Russia had deployed a “troubling” anti-satellite weapon – though no one has yet confirmed the weapon is operational or even in a testing phase. 

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The weapon would allegedly be capable of destroying satellites by creating a massive energy wave when detonated, Foreign Policy reported. The weapon could therefore potentially cripple countless other satellites that serve both commercial and government purposes, including cellphone use and internet access.

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Russia United Nations

Vassily Nebenzia, Russia’s permanent representative to the U.N., attends a Security Council meeting at U.N. headquarters in New York City on April 14, 2024. (Fatih Aktas/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Russia at the time argued that it would uphold the international 1967 treaty, which bans the deployment of “nuclear weapons or any other kinds of weapons of mass destruction” into orbit or the stationing of “weapons in outer space in any other manner.” 

“Our position is quite clear and transparent: we have always been and remain categorically opposed to the deployment of nuclear weapons in space,” Russian President Vladimir Putin said in February. “Just the opposite, we are urging everyone to adhere to all the agreements that exist in this sphere.”

US Ambassador Green

Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the U.S. ambassador to the U.N., attends the Security Council meeting to demand an immediate cease-fire in Gaza on March 25, 2024, in New York. (Fatih Aktas/Anadolu via Getty Images)

However, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu cryptically added at another time that Russia has only developed space capabilities that “other nations, including the U.S., have.” 

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U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres later warned that “geopolitical tensions and mistrust have escalated the risk of nuclear warfare to its highest point in decades.”

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Russian rocket lifts off

Russia’s Soyuz-2.1a, carrying the Soyuz MS-25 spacecraft, was successfully launched from Kazakhstan’s Baikonur spaceport on March 23, 2024, according to TASS News Agency. (Roscosmos/Ivan Timoshenko/Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Putin, throughout the conflict with Ukraine, has dangled threats of nuclear weapons. He said that “from a military-technical point of view, we are, of course, ready,” when asked in March about a potential nuclear war. 

Putin has used the threat of nuclear weapons in Ukraine as a means of preventing more direct intervention from the U.S. and other NATO allies, repeatedly stressing that any deployment of troops or similar more direct moves against Russia would be viewed as intervening in the war. 

The Associated Press contributed to this report. 

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What do newly approved anti-money laundering rules cover?

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What do newly approved anti-money laundering rules cover?

EU lawmakers voted in a landslide in favour of new curbs on crypto, football clubs and cash transactions.

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EU lawmakers today voted 482 to 47 to set up a long-promised EU anti-money laundering agency, as part of a package that would also see large cash payments banned across Europe.

The move – taken by MEPs at their last voting session before June elections – means new rules apply for football deals and crypto transactions, as the bloc seeks to repair its reputation after a series of financial-sector scandals.

“Dirty money finances terrible crimes,” EU financial services commissioner Mairead McGuinness said, adding that there was an “absolute imperative to improve significantly on the current situation”.

Those views seemed largely shared across the political divide – including by Damien Carême (France/Greens), one of the MEPs who led negotiations.

Terrorists and fraudsters “exploit the loopholes in European legislation”, Carême told lawmakers. “We have to act decisively to ensure a robust system.”

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What do new EU money-laundering rules do?

New rules include a limit on professional traders accepting or paying cash for any transaction over €10,000 – given that big wads of untraceable banknotes can send alarm bells over financial crime.

Some lawmakers claim that’s an attack on financial freedom.

“Keep your hands off our cash and our digital currencies,” Patrick Breyer of the German Pirate Party told lawmakers. “We Pirates say no to this creeping financial disenfranchisement.”

Yet one of the most touchy subjects of the complex package has been geographical: the question of where to house a new EU anti-money laundering agency.

After a first-of-a-kind 12-hour public hearing, German financial centre Frankfurt won out, from a slate of candidates that also comprised Paris, Rome, Madrid, Vienna, Riga, Vilnius, Brussels and Dublin.

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Its 400-odd staff will directly supervise dirty-money controls at 40 of the bloc’s biggest financial institutions.

Expanded scope of new anti-money laundering laws

EU money laundering laws already apply to big institutions like banks, who are required to verify who their customers are, and report suspicious transactions to the authorities.

Those rules will also apply to high-risk sectors like traders in artwork, jewellery and luxury yachts. They’ll be extended to cover innovative services like cryptocurrency providers—as lawmakers are concerned bitcoin and other, even more anonymous assets can be used for illicit payments.

At MEPs’ insistence, the measures apply to major football clubs and agents – given the large amounts of sometimes dubious money that circulates between them.

More consistent rules

For the first time ever, the EU’s rules are set out in a regulation that will apply more or less consistently across the bloc.

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That means less discretion for each country to tweak rules for the national context – creating discrepancies that make it harder for legitimate businesses to operate across borders, and easier for criminals and terrorists to exploit the system.

A separate money laundering directive, also agreed today, resolves issues over how journalists and activists can trace the financial structures used to hide wealth.

Arrangements were thrown into disarray by a shock 2022 EU court judgment that restricted access to company ownership registers on privacy grounds.

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Why does the EU need new anti-money laundering rules?

Officials hope the new rulebook will help improve the EU’s reputation for dirty money, closing the chapter on a series of scandals.

Two EU members – Croatia and Bulgaria – currently sit on a “grey list” of suspect money laundering jurisdictions compiled by international standard-setter the Financial Action Task Force (FATF), and Malta was only recently taken off it.

The region also faced a series of financial-sector scandals involving institutions such as Danske Bank, Latvia’s ABLV, and Malta’s Pilatus bank.

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Danske was fined billions of euros by US and Danish regulators in 2022, after admitting that around €200bn was laundered through its Estonian arm between 2007 and 2015.

EU talks were given extra salience by the need to enforce sanctions imposed on Russia for its war in Ukraine – given fears that ultra-wealthy oligarchs can use shady financial structures to evade curbs.

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When will new EU money laundering rules take effect?

New anti-money laundering controls have been a long time coming, and it’s still not over.

Valdis Dombrovskis berated uneven enforcement and promised to examine a new EU agency in his hearing to become EU financial services commissioner as far back as October 2019.

After several last-minute wrangles, lawmakers and governments announced a tentative deal on the bulk of the law in January 2024.

Once nodded through by national ministers, much of the new regulation kicks in after three years, but there is some flexibility.

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Rules for the football sector will take five years to apply, and the new EU agency could start work later this year – though the law setting it up takes effect formally in July 2025.

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