The Denver Broncos (0-3) face the Chicago Bears (0-3) Sunday in Week 4 NFL action. Kickoff from Soldier Field is at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Broncos vs. Bears odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

There are just 4 winless teams remaining in the NFL and their fanbases are starting to panic. After Sunday, provided they don’t tie, only one of these teams will remain without a victory.

Denver lost 70-20 as a 6-point underdog at the Miami Dolphins in Week 3. QB Russell Wilson threw for 306 yards, nearly the same as Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa‘s 309 yards, but the defense allowed 10 touchdowns, resulting in the most points allowed in a single game since 1966. Miami averaged 8.1 yards per carry and totaled 350 yards on the ground while Denver had just 69 yards with a 3.5 yards per carry average.

The Broncos started their season as favorites against both the Las Vegas Raiders (-3) and the Washington Commanders (-3.5) but they lost those games by a combined 3 points.

Chicago has failed to cover in every game so far, most recently a 41-10 loss at the Kansas City Chiefs as 13-point favorites in Week 3. The Bears trailed by just 7 points after the 1st quarter but the Chiefs scored 27 points in the 2nd quarter to take a 34-0 lead. Chicago scored its only points in the final quarter, connecting on a 21-yard field goal just 86 seconds in and a 9-yard TD pass to WR DJ Moore with 4:20 remaining.

The Bears’ defense has been a liability this season, giving up 27 or more points in their 3 games, which combined with QB Justin Fields playing as a pocket passer instead of a running quarterback, have put the Bears in a tough position.

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Broncos at Bears odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:23 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Broncos -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Bears +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
• Against the spread (ATS): Broncos  -3.5 (-105) | Bears +3.5 (-115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Broncos at Bears key injuries

Broncos

• LB Frank Clark (hip) out
• C Lloyd Cushenberry (illness) questionable
• LB Josey Jewell (hip) out
• DL Mike Purcell (ribs) out
• S Justin Simmons (hip) questionable

Bears

• CB Josh Blackwell (hamstring) out
• CB Eddie Jackson (foot) out
• CB Jaylon Johnson (hamstring) out

Broncos at Bears picks and predictions

Prediction

Broncos 22, Bears 17

Moneyline

It’s difficult to bring up stats on the Denver Broncos after last week’s horrendous loss since giving up 70 points in 1 of the 3 games you play skews everything.

The Bears rank 31st in passing yards per game (148.3), 30th in offensive sack percentage (12.87) and 29th in completion percentage (57.95). They have just a 1% sack rate on defense, the worst in the NFL, and allow 8.7 yards per pass, which is 31st.

Despite playing in Chicago I think it’s a tough ask to beat a Denver that will look to bounce back from an historical loss in Week 3.

PASS on the moneyline and look to the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

Home ‘dogs this year are 7-10-1 against the spread. This line opened at Bears +2.5 before moving to +3.5, so the money coming in is on the Broncos.

With the injuries the Bears have in the secondary, there will be plenty of opportunities for Wilson to throw deep and pad Denver’s score.

BET BRONCOS -3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Both teams have struggled to score this season. The line is surprisingly high for this matchup, most likely because both defenses seem to be significant liabilities for their team.

However, I still like the Under. The Bears are 25th in 3rd down conversions (34.21%) and the Broncos are just as bad (34.29%). Combine that with Denver’s 45% red-zone touchdown percentage (25th in the NFL) and it seems prime for a low-scoring matchup.

LEAN UNDER 46 (-110).

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DENVER — A driver was arrested after they crashed into a building in Denver’s West Highland neighborhood Friday night.

The incident happened in the area of Speer and Federal boulevards.

One person was taken to the hospital with minor injuries, according to the Denver Fire Department. It is unclear if that person was the driver, a passenger or someone inside the building at the time of the crash.

The driver was arrested for suspicion of DUI, according to the Denver Police Department.

Denver Fire said crews are working to remove the vehicle and shore up the building. Drivers should expect delays in the area.

After our fearless—if often luckless—Twinkie Town leader has covered my Minnesota Vikings-loving butt for the entire month of September, I’m paying it forward tonight for noted Friday fiend James Fillmore (who may or may not be freebasing pain medication this very moment).

Some might call this “meaningless baseball”—what with the Twins having clinched all they can clinch and the Colorado Rockies in triple-digit losses—but us die-hards know better. Any baseball can be fun baseball and tonight’s clash was actually pretty entertaining!

The Twins jumped out to an early lead in this one as some small-ball plated Jordan Luplow on a Kyle Farmer single in the top of the first inning.

Shortly thereafter, Michael A. Taylor Tater did the opposite of small ball by (presumably) briefly being inhabited by the ghost of Matt Wallner and crushing a 468-foot homer in the top of the 2nd for a 3-0 Twins advantage.

Alas, Coors Field giveth and Coors Field taketh away. The Rockies home park is not a good match for noted homer-giver-upper Joe Ryan, and three innings + three dingers later Colorado owned a 6-4 lead.

Undeterred, Twins batsmen remembered “hey—two can play at this game” and dongs from Trevor Larnach and Ryan Jeffers knotted the score at 6-6 in the top of the 7th.

After—somewhat remarkably—an inning in which no balls were hit over fences, Jeffers singled to open the 9th and as soon as his foot touched 1B was lifted for bespectacled pinch runner Andrew Stevenson. A Farmer single off the body of Rockies infielder Elehuris Montero allowed Speedy Stevie (TM) to make third base and then a warning track fly from Max Kepler (should have had that extra bowl of Wheaties!) put the Twins up 7-6.

That would be your final, Twins Territory, as Emilio Pagan managed to keep the sphere safely within the playing confines and sew up the save.

Remarkably, the Twins are no closer to knowing their Wild Card Round opponent or start times for next week, as Seattle keeps hanging around and Houston isn’t exactly using the playoff front door at the moment. Hopefully, the fact that the Astros, Mariners, Rangers, & Blue Jays all have to empty their respective chambers just to make the playoffs—while our guys can coast in—will pay dividends at Target Field starting next Tuesday!

Studs

• Justin Morneau & Trevor Plouffe for their witty banter alongside Dick Bremer in the BSN TV booth.

• Emilio Pagan for locking down the save. Nothing ground-breaking in terms of leverage, but considering we all wanted this guy either burned at the stake or ejected into orbit (ala Kevin Jepsen) his turnaround this season has been remarkable.

Duds

• Joe Ryan’s continued gopher-ball tendencies. Fortunately, Minneapolis is closer to sea level.

Comment of the Game

• James (hopefully now deeply ensconced in the arms of medicinal substances) dropping an Einstein reference—proof he saw Oppenheimer this past summer.