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Analysis: How these seven top Denver mayoral candidates could make the runoff

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Analysis: How these seven top Denver mayoral candidates could make the runoff


Simply days earlier than Denver’s mayoral election, not a lot is clearer than it was a month in the past.

Thousands and thousands of {dollars} have been spent by the campaigns and their outdoors supporters. Dozens of boards and debates have given the 16 energetic contenders an opportunity to distinguish themselves. They’ve touted a great deal of endorsements.

But because the first-round election approaches on Tuesday, no clear frontrunners have emerged to depart the remainder of the sector of their mud. Undecided voters nonetheless appear to make up the most important bloc, as evidenced by the glacial tempo of poll returns. Lower than 14% of mail ballots had been returned as of Friday, in response to the Denver Elections Division.

“Persons are on the lookout for a standout candidate, they usually’re on the lookout for a cause to vote,” mentioned James Mejía, a Denver civic chief, former metropolis official and mayoral candidate in 2011. “This one has thrown folks for a loop. It’s unprecedented in Denver historical past in so some ways.”

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The big discipline, a operate of each the primary open race for mayor in 12 years and a brand new public financing program, has been powerful for a lot of voters to slender down as additionally they make selections for Metropolis Council, different places of work and poll questions. There’s additionally been a dearth of public polling to verify which candidates may be catching traction within the weeks since a pair of February polls reported that no candidate had registered help above the only digits.

It’s doable some voters will throw up their arms and look forward to the runoff on June 6. For now, a number of outstanding elected officers and main unions have stayed on the endorsement sidelines.

However the race isn’t all a muddle. Seven candidates have the perfect shot of constructing the runoff, in response to a spread of outdoor political observers and marketing campaign insiders who shared their reads of the race primarily based on each clear floor indicators and extra refined components. As long as no person receives greater than 50% of the vote — the requirement to win outright on Tuesday — the highest two finishers will advance to the following spherical.

Mejía suspects they doubtlessly may make the runoff with as little as 15% of the vote.

“It’s anyone’s race — it’s going to be whoever will get out the vote” amongst these prime contenders, mentioned Jeff Fard, a 5 Factors neighborhood activist, often known as Brother Jeff, who’s carefully adopted the election.

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Right here’s a take a look at which candidates are finest positioned and the components, moreover robust fundraising, that would propel them to the runoff.

Denver mayoral candidate Kelly Brough speaks throughout a Honest Elections Fund mayoral debate in Claver Corridor at Regis College on Feb. 9, 2023. Seated behind her are fellow candidates Lisa Calderón and Chris Hansen. (Photograph by Andy Cross/The Denver Submit)

Kelly Brough

The reasonable candidate has attracted a raft of multinational endorsements, together with from former Gov. Invoice Ritter, previous Denver Metropolis Council members and present suburban mayors. Huge backing from the enterprise neighborhood has helped make her the highest fundraiser. A former chief of employees to then-Mayor John Hickenlooper earlier than she led the Denver Metro Chamber of Commerce, Brough lacked a recognizable title amongst most voters. However she’s met that problem with a continuing stream of TV adverts introducing herself, alongside along with her compelling private story.

An out of doors group has spent almost $1 million backing her up with a separate advert marketing campaign and floor sport. Brough earned the endorsement of the Denver Gazette’s editorial board, together with the backing of former candidate Kwame Spearman.

Former state Sen. Mike Johnston answers one of many questions directed at him by fellow candidates
Former state Sen. Mike Johnston, middle, solutions one in every of many questions directed at him by fellow candidates throughout a Denver metropolis mayoral debate at McAuliffe Worldwide Faculty on Tuesday, March 14, 2023, in Denver. (Photograph by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Submit)

Mike Johnston

After operating unsuccessfully for governor and U.S. senator, Johnston has mounted a powerful marketing campaign for mayor, outlined by a optimistic outlook. The previous educator and state senator from northeast Denver has relied on robust ties inside his former district — together with within the Black neighborhood, regardless of a marketing campaign flyer misstep — whereas tapping a large donor community that was buttressed by his time main Gary Neighborhood Ventures, a philanthropic basis.

His allies are on observe to spend greater than $2 million independently on mailers and the race’s most sturdy advert marketing campaign by far, dwarfing the Johnston marketing campaign’s personal adverts buys. Johnston additionally earned the endorsement of The Denver Submit’s editorial board (which is separate from The Submit’s information operation).

Denver mayoral candidate Leslie Herod speaks during the Fair Elections Fund mayoral debate
Denver mayoral candidate Leslie Herod speaks throughout the Honest Elections Fund mayoral debate in Claver Corridor at Regis College February 9, 2023. (Photograph by Andy Cross/The Denver Submit)

Leslie Herod

The state consultant entered the race with a powerful base of supporters, owing to years of outstanding work within the legislature on felony justice reform and different points. TV adverts haven’t figured strongly in her marketing campaign technique, which was targeted on constructing a community of neighborhood-level grassroots supporters early on. She attracted the early endorsement of former Mayor Wellington Webb, together with backing from notable figures in native and state politics, together with former Colorado first girl Dottie Lamm.

Herod has benefited from an outdoor group that’s spent almost $170,000 in help of her candidacy, together with on modest TV advert buys and canvassing.

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Lisa Calderón asks a question across the stage during a Denver city mayoral debate at McAuliffe International School in Denver on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. (Photo by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Post)
Lisa Calderón asks a query throughout the stage throughout a Denver metropolis mayoral debate at McAuliffe Worldwide Faculty in Denver on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. (Photograph by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Submit)

Lisa Calderón

Although she hasn’t held elected workplace, Calderón has constructed on her help base from the 2019 mayoral election, when she gained 18.5% of the vote to complete third. She additionally has robust neighborhood ties from activist work on felony justice and Latino points. Lately Calderón, the chief of Emerge Colorado, gained the backing of a trio of progressive teams, together with the Colorado Working Households Celebration and the Denver Democratic Socialist of America, that are also working to elect progressive Metropolis Council candidates — although that coordination has prompted current marketing campaign finance complaints.

That backing, together with assured debate performances, ought to assist Calderón compete with Herod for progressive voters. Although Calderón hasn’t purchased any TV advert time, she gained one energy, by luck, that no different candidate has: the highest poll place.

Chris Hansen listens as Thomas Wolf speaks during a Denver city mayoral debate at McAuliffe International School in Denver on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. (Photo by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Post)
Chris Hansen, middle, listens as Thomas Wolf speaks throughout a Denver metropolis mayoral debate at McAuliffe Worldwide Faculty in Denver on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. (Photograph by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Submit)

Chris Hansen

It might be simple to depend out the state senator from east Denver. He took a threat by being the primary candidate to air marketing campaign adverts, beginning in mid-February, however was unable to maintain the preliminary tempo of advert buys after fundraising didn’t sustain. However Hansen has a base of help and title recognition from six years within the legislature, together with endorsements from a number of present and former legislators and former Gov. Roy Romer. He’s additionally drawn modest outdoors spending help in current weeks.

Denver mayoral candidate Debbie Ortega discusses housing issues in the city and her platform at the Denver Police Protective Association and PPA Event Center during a forum with other candidates in Denver on Thursday, Feb. 23, 2023. (Photo by Hyoung Chang/The Denver Post)
Denver mayoral candidate Debbie Ortega discusses housing points within the metropolis and her platform on the Denver Police Protecting Affiliation’s PPA Occasion Middle throughout a discussion board with different candidates in Denver on Thursday, Feb. 23, 2023. (Photograph by Hyoung Chang/The Denver Submit)

Deborah “Debbie” Ortega

The three-term at-large Metropolis Council member is the one candidate that voters have seen on their ballots in every of the final three municipal elections — and she or he led the sector of at-large candidates citywide every time. Ortega, who earlier represented a council district in west and northwest Denver for a number of phrases, has deep ties within the Latino neighborhood. She’s drawn a raft of endorsements from political figures from the town’s previous, together with state Sen. Lucía Guzmán, and has been endorsed by a number of unions, together with these representing Denver sheriff’s deputies and firefighters; the latter union has reported spending greater than $120,000 independently in help of Ortega.

Denver mayoral candidate Andy Rougeot takes part in a forum with other candidates at the Denver Police Protective Association and PPA Event Center in Denver on Thursday, Feb. 23, 2023. (Photo by Hyoung Chang/The Denver Post)
Denver mayoral candidate Andy Rougeot takes half in a discussion board with different candidates on the Denver Police Protecting Affiliation’s PPA Occasion Middle in Denver on Thursday, Feb. 23, 2023. (Photograph by Hyoung Chang/The Denver Submit)

Andy Rougeot

The entrepreneur and Military veteran may very well be the most important stretch on this listing, since he’s a Republican operating in a metropolis with simply shy of 10% of voters sharing his affiliation. However the largely self-funding candidate — he’s reported loaning his marketing campaign $850,000 up to now — has hammered messages targeted on getting powerful on crime and cracking down on homelessness in a 12 months many are annoyed with these issues. His advert, connecting his army service in Afghanistan to his mission for Denver, has been a fixture on TV for weeks.

Stranger issues than a Republican breaking by may occur, however as political analyst Eric Sondermann factors out, it’s doubtless {that a} reasonable similar to Brough will siphon off conservative voters who see her as extra viable in a runoff.

The remainder of the sector

A number of different candidates have damaged $100,000 in fundraising, demonstrating wholesome bases of help, even when they have been aided by public matching funds. Ean Thomas Tafoya and Terrance Roberts, particularly, entered the race with expertise in grassroots activism.

Don’t write off the possibility {that a} lesser-known candidate would possibly break by to complete among the many prime names, particularly with six of the seven main candidates — all however Calderón — clustered within the second half of the poll order.

Keep up-to-date with Colorado Politics by signing up for our weekly e-newsletter, The Spot.

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Keeler: CU Buffs’ Deion Sanders loses 15 guys in 17 days? It’s not them, Coach Prime. It’s you.

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Keeler: CU Buffs’ Deion Sanders loses 15 guys in 17 days? It’s not them, Coach Prime. It’s you.


BOULDER — For a cat with a private jet, Deion Sanders sure seems to lose a lot of his luggage.

“We’re good. We’re good,” the CU Buffs’ second-year football coach said during a news conference Thursday, roughly a week ahead of the program’s April 27 spring game. “I trust our recruiting team. I trust the coaches. And please have some faith in me.”

More faith than some of his players, at any rate. The transfer portal for FBS players opened Tuesday. According to On3.com, as of early Thursday afternoon, 15 Buffs had jumped into the portal since April 1.

The company line, one Coach Prime doubled down on, is that the losses were strictly cosmetic. Benchwarmers. Nobody who was going to, ya know, actually play.

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Colorado Buffaloes cornerback Cormani McClain (1) makes his way through the tunnel for warmups before playing the Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium September 23, 2023. (Photo by Andy Cross/The Denver Post)

Only here’s the thing: Some weren’t nobodies. Actually, a handful were very, very much set up to be somebodies. Cormani McClain was the top cornerback recruit in the country, Deion’s first five-star get at CU. He bailed.

Alton McCaskill IV was a four-star transfer tailback from Houston, the 2021 AAC Rookie of the Year — a 6-foot-1 banger, Big 12 fast and Big 12 big, potential thunder to Dylan Edwards’ lightning. He’s gone, too.

2023: We coming!

2024: They going!

Oh, brother. Are they ever going.

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“I think this would be (the same with) every school. That’s not just here,” Sanders said when I asked about the quantity of departures. “That’s what every school (deals with). You (media) guys just are compensated to pay attention to us a little more than anybody else.”

Well, yes … and no.

As a point of reference, 15 departures with two weeks until the portal closes is more than any other Big 12 school. Like, a lot more. In fact, the only peer even close to that kind of turnover is Houston, with 11 players reportedly leaving. The other 15 Big 12 football programs have averaged 2.9 portal jumps this month.

Last year, Sanders’ roster makeover was historic, cold and callous. But it was also allowed, and, objectively, understandable given the university’s desire to slash or burn everything associated with a 1-11 dumpster fire in 2022.

But this? This is Prime chucking his own Louis Vuittons from the jet bridge.

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The company line, again, is that more mass departures out of CU equals more talent coming in, and fair enough. Although that’s only so far been proven in terms of skill positions and in the secondary.

Deion is a star who recognizes stars, hangs with stars and knows how to chase and woo them. But outside of The Chosen Ones, his own children and Travis Hunter, has he developed many stars as a coach?

The Jackson State Era produced two NFL draft picks. Sanders doesn’t have the patience. Or the time. He’s got a TV show. He’s got a promotional appearance. He’s got a book signing. He’s got a lake that won’t fish itself.

The 247Sports.com database lists 72 players as part of CU’s 2023 recruiting class, 51 of them transfers. As of 2 p.m. local time Thursday, 27 of them had either entered or re-entered the portal. That includes nine of the 21 non-transfers.

It’s not them, Deion.

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It’s you, my man.

You can’t help it. It’s the only road you know. The only song in the hymnal. The player standards are high, which is noble. But the strike zone enforcement, some have intimated, is all over the map. If the wrong guy doesn’t fit, move ’em along. The grass is always greener.

Of course, some of those “wrong guys” sure do come in handy after a few of the “right” guys happen to get hurt. Which they inevitably will.

And yes, some of that Louis luggage absolutely did this to themselves. Sanders made it very clear last fall, and early on, that McClain had set up a futon in Prime’s doghouse. That the road out was going to be long and hard, that responsibilities weren’t being met, and it was up to him to shape up or ship out.

The kid shipped.

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“I want the best for him. I really do,” Coach Prime said of McClain. “I want that kid to soar. I want him to man up. I want him to be the best possible athlete and human being he can be. I want him to fulfill all those dreams that his mother and he desire. I really, really do.”

McCaskill’s situation, though, is more nebulous. He was hurt in 2023, or beat out, depending on when you asked and whom.

Colorado Buffaloes running back Alton McCaskill (22) rushes the ball down the field during the second half as the Colorado Buffaloes lost 16-28 to the UCLA Bruins at Rose Bowl Stadium on October 28, 2023 in Pasadena, California. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post)
Colorado Buffaloes running back Alton McCaskill (22) rushes the ball down the field during the second half as the Colorado Buffaloes lost 16-28 to the UCLA Bruins at Rose Bowl Stadium on October 28, 2023 in Pasadena, California. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/The Denver Post)

The young man’s father muddied the waters more when he posted on social media that the younger McCaskill “was ready last year … he’s 100% this year …unfortunately have to find another home where there’s no favoritism and he is valued, appreciated and has no doubts about RB1 …. he is the best RB in Colorado … but (he’s) not settling! We going!”

A statement which, to be fair, sounds a lot like a dad looking out for his son. A political position Coach Prime understands intimately.

“A lot of people are fighting for backups,” Sanders said. “When a guy is a starter and he transfers, you’ve really gotta think about that. We have some coming in for visits pretty soon, we can attract those type of players, but I don’t think we’re losing those type of players. And if we do, we’re good.”

Yeah, but 16-20 departures every spring? That’s not how you develop a program, Coach. It’s how you develop a rep. It’s how you develop baggage. And not the cheap stuff, either.

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Reward for information into man’s killing outside Denver aquarium increases to $3,000

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Reward for information into man’s killing outside Denver aquarium increases to $3,000


DENVER — The reward for information into the deadly shooting of a man outside the Denver aquarium in mid-February has been increased by Denver police in the hope that a suspect can be brought to justice.

Dacien Salazar, 19, was killed in a drive-by shooting on Feb. 14 near the Denver aquarium. At the time of the shooting, the reward for information was $2,000.

On Thursday, however, police raised that amount to $3,000, as they continue to search for the suspect behind the deadly shooting.

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Family of teen killed outside Denver aquarium increases reward for information

4:49 PM, Mar 12, 2024

“This does not appear to be a random incident and family and friends are pleading with anyone with information about this case, especially those who might have seen suspicious vehicles or individuals around the time of the shooting, to come forward,” police said in a Crime Stoppers bulletin.

Anyone with information is asked to call Metro Denver Crime Stoppers at (720) 913-7867.


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Storied Denver vinyl shop opens 2nd location in time for Record Store Day

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Storied Denver vinyl shop opens 2nd location in time for Record Store Day


Pink Floyd, Bob Dylan, Black Sabbath and the Eagles all released major albums in 1975. So did Bruce Springsteen, Steely Dan, Paul Simon and Led Zeppelin. And you can still find some of them (probably most of them) at Wax Trax Records, which opened in Denver that year and has been Capitol Hill’s neighborhood record shop for three generations of music fans.

But you’ll also find vinyl pressings by modern stars like Olivia Rodrigo, Harry Styles and Taylor Swift, not to mention fringe bands and local acts, which isn’t something most people would have predicted in the 1990s as CD sales and online music put an end to the record business.

Or so it seemed – a resurgence in interest in physical records began about a decade ago when stores like Urban Outfitters began selling cheap turntables to Gen Z. In 2013, 6.8 million vinyl albums were sold in the United States, according to Statista. Five years later, annual sales had reached 16.1 million, and in 2023, record makers sold 49.6 million vinyl albums.

“The record industry has had its ups and downs and we have been there for a lot of that,” said Pete Stidman, the majority owner of Wax Trax, 638 E. 13th Ave.

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“Right now, things have really come back. … People have started to crave something more than ethereal, digital, have-it-whenever-you-want-it musical experiences,” he added. “Vinyl is not only a direct connection to the music because it is analog, but it is a physical object – and the cover art is a lot of it. That physical piece is important to people.”

Shoppers check out the selection at the new Wax Trax Broadway Bazaar. The almost 50-year-old vinyl shop has opened a second location on South Broadway in time for Record Store Day 2024. (Michael McGrath)

So important that Stidman has opened a second, satellite store, Wax Trax Broadway Bazaar, alongside a friend’s vintage clothing business at 200 S. Broadway. Both locations will host big parties for Record Store Day on Saturday, April 20 (see below for details).

The new shop began as a holiday popup last November, but it did so well, Stidman decided to keep it going with additional hours; he’ll open up the full space for the first time this weekend. “People like having a record shop in their neighborhood, being able to walk to it,” he explained. “It doesn’t have the depth that the other store has, but it has what people want.”

Stidman took over at Wax Trax in March 2020, at the beginning of the pandemic, after spending 20 years in Boston. But he was very familiar with the store. His father, Dave, and Dave’s business partner Duane Davis, had run it since 1978 when they bought it from its previous owners.

During the pandemic closure, he set about cleaning it up and reorganizing the layout – “restoring it to its former glory from the ‘80s and ‘90s,” as he phrased it – and began thinking about opening a second location. South Broadway was the obvious choice, he figured, because of its ties to Denver’s music scene, its location near various venues and its counter-culture vibe.

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He wanted to new spot to have its own personality, however. “The Capitol Hill location has a lot of dust on it. Some of the posters on the wall go back to the 1970s. The Broadway location is a lot cleaner and has a lot more sunshine in it. Each place will be unique.”

Record Store Day

Wax Trax will feature hundreds of official RSD releases at both locations and beginner turntable giveaways from Denver-based Victrola. The 13th Avenue store will feature four Denver bands: The Tammy Shine, Quits, Bad Boy Bug, and Cherry Spit. It opens at 8 a.m. on Saturday, April 20. The Broadway store, opening at 10 a.m., will feature DJ Moe Velez from KUVO Jazz radio.

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