Atlanta, GA

Eddie Rosario is starting to turn things around in September

Published

2 years ago

October 4, 2022

Eddie Rosario is starting to turn things around in September

Eddie Rosario has, for essentially the most half, appeared to be a disappointment for the Atlanta Braves this season. His slash line has left little to be desired with a .219/.270/.342, which has equated to a wRC+ of 69 (31 % beneath league common). So far as fWAR goes, which is an accumulate stat, it exhibits that no matter his plate appearances, he has added unfavorable worth. On the season, Rosario has a -1.1 fWAR. With 216 of his 265 at bats (on the time of this writing) being after his return from his eye problem, you’ll be arduous pressed accountable most of his unfavorable fWAR on his damage alone.

Rosario’s wOBA has additionally been effectively beneath league common as effectively. His 2022 .269 wOBA is way decrease than the MLB common of .316. His expectancy stats aren’t doing him any favors both. In actual fact, his xwOBA is even decrease at .258, the place the MLB common is .309.

Eddie Rosario has adjusted to not being dreadful in September but once more

Many followers will keep in mind how Eddie Rosario got here alive on the finish of the yr in 2021 and carried it over into the playoffs. In 2021, Rosario’s xwOBA by no means went above .315 earlier than August. Since then, he took it to a brand new stage. In August he had an xwOBA of .366, then an xwOBA of .382 to complete out the yr. For reference, if he would have had a wOBA of .382, he would have been 10^th in all of MLB in that timeframe, simply beating out Austin Riley.

Rosario has not been fairly as spectacular this yr by way of turning issues round, however he has but once more began to hit significantly better in September after having dreadful performances for a lot of the remainder of the season.

xwOBA by month

As could be seen within the graphic above, Rosario by no means had an xwOBA above .257 previous to September this yr. The fascinating half is that each single month that he performed, his xwOBA obtained higher. A .319 xwOBA isn’t thoughts blowing, however is respectable, contemplating the beforehand talked about league common. His on area outcomes have really been significantly better, with a wOBA of .354, and a wRC+ of 127 for the month of September. A 127wRC+ would place Eddie Rosario 49^th in all of MLB in that timeframe.

Why has Rosario appeared to show issues round?

It’s fairly apparent that early within the season Rosario’s eye problem was inflicting him to carry out poorly, and that positively performs an element, however it isn’t like he got here again from damage setting the world on hearth both. Rosario got here again from damage on July 4^th and through that month had an xwOBA of .232 and a wRC+ of 66. To be honest, there was most likely an adjustment time, however these numbers weren’t hanging confidence by any means.

Rosario, for many of his profession, has had fared significantly better towards righties than lefties, having a wRC+ starting from 106 to 136 throughout his 2018-2021 campaigns towards righties, whereas by no means having a wRC+ over 99 since 2015 towards lefties. So, it was regarding seeing him hit to a 76 wRC+ towards righties from July-August this yr, after his eyes had presumably been healed.

To get to the general wRC+ of 127 that Rosario has held in September, one thing needed to have modified, and it has. There are a number of “smoking weapons”, if you’ll, that time to how Eddie Rosario has been in a position to flip his output round within the month of September.

His wRC+ is presently sitting at 131 towards righties in September pointing to an adjustment in that area resulting in optimistic general manufacturing.

First, we will have a look at Rosario’s swing and miss percentages for the whole season. His swing and miss share are the best of his profession for fastballs, breaking pitches, and off pace pitches at 27.8 %, 36.4 %, and 33.3 % respectively.

Rosario’s swing and miss percentages for the season towards righties

Within the month of September, it has been a very totally different story on Rosario swinging and lacking than it has for the whole season. Trying on the chart beneath, we will see with out even getting particular numbers that his swing and misses have plummeted. His swing and miss share has dropped on fastballs, breaking pitches, and off pace pitches to 26.4, 20.6, and 21.7 respectively. These numbers are a lot nearer to Rosario’s “norm”.

Curiously, in September Rosario has seen his chase price be the best of any month this yr on fastballs and off pace pitches, and second highest of any month on breaking pitches. Nonetheless, that has not appeared deter him. His swing and miss price of pitches outdoors the strike zone have plummeted to the bottom of the yr for him towards each breaking pitches and off pace pitches. In different phrases, although he’s whiffing lower than earlier than, it isn’t as a result of he’s being extra selective.

Pitches swung at and missed outdoors of the strike zone vs RHP

It’s a very comparable story towards pitches contained in the strike zone as effectively. In July and August, Rosario swung and missed on 35.3 % and 32 % of the time respectively on breaking pitches and off pace pitches contained in the strike zone. In September, his swing and miss price contained in the zone has dropped all the way down to 10.5 % of the time on breaking pitches. Off pace pitches haven’t seen as a lot a drastic drop, however he’s solely swinging and lacking on 12.5 % of them in August and September after his price being 18.2 % in July.

Swung and missed contained in the strike zone vs RHP

One different space that has helped Rosario have extra success in September is his batted ball profile. There was a major shift the place and the way Rosario has hit the ball. Previous to September this yr, he was not spreading the ball effectively. He was pulling the ball 46.6 % of the time and going reverse area 14.3. The position of the hits in and of itself isn’t essentially a foul factor. Nonetheless, throughout that timeframe he was hitting line drives simply 18.8 % of the time, whereas hitting grounders 40.6 % of the time.

For the reason that begin of September, Rosario has began to unfold the ball throughout the sector extra. He’s pulling the ball 31.1 % of the time, whereas going reverse area 22.2 % of the time. When you do the mathematics, which means he’s hitting the ball up the center a whopping 46.7 % of the time. Mix this with him now hitting line drives at a significantly better price of 25.6 % of the time, and his grounder price being all the way down to 32.6 % of the time, and it’s a fairly apparent that his batted ball profile is a giant purpose he’s being extra productive. Curiously, his arduous hit price and comfortable hit price has not modified a lot, each altering lower than 3 % of the time, exhibiting it appears to be extra about hit sort and placement greater than hitting the ball tougher.

Recap

It has been enjoyable watching Rosario but once more flip issues round September. Rosario appears to have invested in altering his method and it has been paying nice dividends:

In opposition to righties, Rosario has lowered his swing and miss percentages as an entire on all pitch sorts
On off pace and breaking pitches towards righties, his swing and miss share of pitches outdoors the zone has plummeted
Rosario is making contact on breaking pitches and off pace pitches contained in the strike zone at a a lot larger price
Whereas hitting extra line drives and fewer groundballs, Rosario can be spreading the ball across the area higher as effectively.

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Atlanta, GA

Atlanta visits Chicago after Young's 43-point game

Published

3 hours ago

January 15, 2025

Press Room

Atlanta Hawks (20-19, ninth in the Eastern Conference) vs. Chicago Bulls (18-22, 10th in the Eastern Conference)

Chicago; Wednesday, 8 p.m. EST

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK LINE: Bulls -2; over/under is 245

BOTTOM LINE: Atlanta visits the Chicago Bulls after Trae Young scored 43 points in the Hawks’ 122-117 win against the Phoenix Suns.

The Bulls are 15-13 against Eastern Conference opponents. Chicago is 10-13 in games decided by at least 10 points.

The Hawks are 13-7 against Eastern Conference opponents. Atlanta is eighth in the league scoring 17.2 fast break points per game. Jalen Johnson leads the Hawks averaging 3.6.

The Bulls average 118.1 points per game, 1.7 fewer points than the 119.8 the Hawks give up. The Hawks average 13.2 made 3-pointers per game this season, 0.3 fewer makes per game than the Bulls allow.

TOP PERFORMERS: Nikola Vucevic is averaging 20.3 points, 10.2 rebounds and 3.3 assists for the Bulls.

Johnson is scoring 19.8 points per game and averaging 10.1 rebounds for the Hawks.

LAST 10 GAMES: Bulls: 5-5, averaging 120.7 points, 48.1 rebounds, 30.8 assists, 8.1 steals and 4.8 blocks per game while shooting 47.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 119.8 points per game.

Hawks: 6-4, averaging 120.2 points, 42.5 rebounds, 29.8 assists, 11.1 steals and 5.0 blocks per game while shooting 47.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 120.4 points.

INJURIES: Bulls: Adama Sanogo: day to day (knee), Torrey Craig: day to day (leg), Ayo Dosunmu: day to day (achilles).

Hawks: Kobe Bufkin: out for season (shoulder), Larry Nance Jr.: out (hand), Jalen Johnson: day to day (shoulder), Cody Zeller: day to day (personal), De’Andre Hunter: day to day (foot).

___

The Associated Press created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Atlanta, GA

Atlanta's Arctic air impact: Uncertainty looms over MLK weekend forecast

Published

12 hours ago

January 14, 2025

Press Room

Atlanta's Arctic air impact: Uncertainty looms over MLK weekend forecast

Tuesday Night Weather Update

Clear and cold overnight with lows in the 20s to low 30s in town. Sunny and cool Wednesday afternoon. Milder by the end of the week and rain for Saturday. Here is the latest.

ATLANTA – Residents across Georgia can expect a mix of rain, cold, and the possibility of snowflakes in the coming days as winter weather patterns continue to shift.

What we know:

According to FOX 5 Storm Team Chief Meteorologist David Chandley, widespread rain is forecast for the weekend, with extreme northern areas possibly seeing snowflakes late Sunday into Monday. Significant snow accumulation is not expected.

“Yeah, this go-around into the weekend, really, we’re just going to see some rain across North Georgia,” Chandley stated. He added that next week’s forecast remains uncertain, with Arctic air potentially influencing weather conditions. “We’ve got a whole week to kind of hash that out. All the things can change.”

The Martin Luther King Jr. holiday on Monday will likely be chilly but dry for much of Georgia. “It’s going to be chilly, but it looks like dry conditions for the MLK holiday celebration,” Chandley explained.

In metro Atlanta, Tuesday could bring a slight chance of wintry precipitation as temperatures drop. “January is very active, no doubt about it,” Chandley noted.

Metro Atlanta forecast

Tonight: Partly cloudy, low near 30°F.
Wednesday: Sunny, high around 48°F.
Thursday: Sunny, breezy, high near 53°F.
Friday Night to Saturday: Rain moves in late Friday, with showers likely Saturday. Highs in the mid-50s.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, high near 48°F. A few snowflakes possible in extreme North Georgia late.
MLK Day (Monday): Mostly sunny, high near 37°F. A slight chance of rain or snow.

Extreme North Georgia Mountains forecast

Tonight: Partly cloudy, low near 20°F.
Wednesday: Sunny, high near 42°F.
Thursday: Sunny, breezy, high near 46°F.
Friday Night to Saturday: Showers likely Friday night into Saturday, high near 49°F.
Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, low near 20°F.
MLK Day (Monday): Slight chance of snow, mostly sunny, high near 34°F.

Meanwhile, in Washington, D.C., the snow should move out before noon for the swearing-in ceremony on Capitol Hill. Highs will be in the 20s and lows will be around 12 degrees under mostly cloudy skies.

Possible snow in Georgia?

What we don’t know:

While the immediate forecast is becoming clearer, there is still uncertainty surrounding next week’s weather patterns. FOX 5 Meteorologist Jonathan Stacey highlighted the potential for snow but emphasized that forecasts remain in flux. “I know many of you are thinking about some snow because you’re hearing about some snow,” Stacey said. “At this point, all we can do is just pay attention and see what’s out there. As we get closer, we’ll look for consistency.”

Key questions remain:

Will Arctic air and other weather systems converge to create snow across Georgia?
How might fluctuating temperatures impact the likelihood of wintry precipitation?

Will it snow in Atlanta again?

The temperature is expected to take a plunge this weekend, with wet weather on the way. How likely is it that this precipitation will turn into snow? Here’s a look ahead with FOX 5 Storm Team Meteorologist Jonathan Stacey.

Snow next week?

Timeline:

Here is a look at the timeline of weather for the next week:

Tuesday: Slight chance of wintry precipitation in metro Atlanta as temperatures drop.
Friday Night to Saturday: Rain moves into the region.
Sunday to Monday: Snowflakes possible in extreme North Georgia; the rest of the state remains chilly with mostly dry conditions.
MLK Day: Chilly but dry conditions for holiday celebrations.

What’s next:

Meteorologists will continue monitoring weather models throughout the week. Residents are encouraged to stay updated via trusted local forecasts, including FOX 5, and prepare for any changes in the weather as Arctic air moves closer. “All we can do is just pay attention,” Jonathan Stacey advised, underscoring the importance of staying alert to new developments.

The Source: This article is sourced from original forecasting by the FOX 5 Storm Team.

Winter WeatherNewsGeorgia

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Atlanta, GA

PREVIEW: Suns Begin Long Road Trip vs Hawks

Published

19 hours ago

January 14, 2025

Press Room

PREVIEW: Suns Begin Long Road Trip vs Hawks

The Phoenix Suns (19-19) embark on a five-game road trip tonight when they take on the Atlanta Hawks (19-19), looking to extend their win streak to four games and move above .500 in a crowded Western Conference.

Phoenix could be facing a very short-handed Atlanta team tonight, as the Hawks listed Trae Young (illness) and Bogdan Bogdanovic (right knee inflammation) as questionable, while Jalen Johnson (right shoulder inflammation) remains out.

For the Suns, only Jusuf Nurkic (illness) is out, while Grayson Allen (left knee soreness) is probable.

After having a game postponed due to weather conditions on Saturday, the Hawks have not played since falling to the Suns 123-115 last Thursday at Footprint Center. Meanwhile, the Suns have picked up victories over the Utah Jazz and Charlotte Hornets since this meeting.

With a fully healthy rotation, one big key for the Suns tonight is to continue to utilize their depth and solidify the lineups that work the best in this stretch.

Bradley Beal coming off the bench has provided a huge spark for that unit, but Phoenix’s other bench players have stepped up as of late as well.

In Sunday’s 120-113 win over Charlotte, the Suns ran a nine-man rotation and closed with a lineup that consisted of three bench players – Beal, Royce O’Neale and Oso Ighodaro alongside Devin Booker and Kevin Durant. O’Neale and Ighodaro hit some huge shots in the closing minutes to seal the game.

The only bench player that did not play in the clutch was Allen after he left the game at halftime with left knee soreness after recording 13 points before halftime.

Phoenix’s bench all of a sudden looks like one of the best in the league, and it all began in the Atlanta game when Allen and Beal combined for 48 points. O’Neale returning from a six-game absence due to an ankle injury against Charlotte strengthened the unit even more.

With a depleted Hawks roster, expect Phoenix to once again try to take advantage of its firepower coming off the bench.

One area for improvement tonight for the Suns is their paint defense and rebounding. In their last two games, the Suns have been outrebounded by a combined 25 rebounds, giving up 15 offensive rebounds to Charlotte and 21 to the Jazz Saturday.

Mark Williams feasted against Phoenix’s centers in the first half Sunday, recording a season-high 22 points and 13 rebounds in the first half alone.

However, the Suns made a lot of good defensive adjustments that worked against Williams (0 field goals in second half) and the Hornets down the stretch (won fourth quarter 27-15).

Phoenix will have to fine-tune its defense to make sure it comes out of the gates stronger, but has shown that it can adjust as needed on that side of the ball.

Right now for the Suns as they begin this road trip, it’s all about finding an identity on both sides of the ball and discovering the best methods for victory as they look to continue to build momentum.

Tonight’s game tips off shortly after 5:30 p.m. Arizona time.

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