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‘What so many people told us was impossible’: Progressives promote early midterm success

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‘What so many people told us was impossible’: Progressives promote early midterm success

Eight years in the past, Jessica Cisneros was an intern for Texas’ Rep. Henry Cuellar.

Two years in the past, she got here inside 4 share factors of forcing the veteran Democratic congressman out of workplace.

And this week, she held her former boss under the brink essential to win the district’s Democratic nomination, triggering a Might 24 runoff.

“What we’re doing proper now’s what so many individuals instructed us was inconceivable,” Cisneros, a 28-year-old immigration lawyer, instructed supporters at a main night time marketing campaign occasion Tuesday. “And right here we’re.”

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Tuesday’s primaries in Texas, the nation’s earliest, provide the primary glimpse into what the midterm election cycle has in retailer for each events. As Democrats try to take care of their razor-thin majorities within the Home and Senate, Cisneros’ sturdy displaying within the twenty eighth District has reignited debate round which wing of the occasion holds momentum heading into the first season.

Her marketing campaign represents the sort of story liberal Democrats have sought to share over latest cycles: that progressive insurance policies on every thing from healthcare to local weather change are well-liked, even in a various district like Cuellar’s, which stretches from the border city of Laredo to San Antonio, one of many fastest-growing cities within the nation.

Over the previous few election cycles, progressives have demonstrated they will topple well-funded and established centrist Democrats, even in components of the nation that don’t seem to be sturdy territory for the far left.

However progressives have but to show that they will draw out sufficient new voters to win normal elections within the sort of swing districts the place the Democratic institution prefers to run moderates.

Can a candidate who backs the Inexperienced New Deal and “Medicare for all” win a aggressive seat in a normal election? A handful have come shut.

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“The narrative going into this election has been that progressives try to go too far too quick, that our politics aren’t resonating with People,” stated Pedro Lira, co-director of the Texas Working Households Occasion, which endorsed Cisneros and three different congressional candidates who both received their primaries outright or superior to a runoff. “We’re clearly displaying in Texas that that’s not true.”

Republicans used the 2021 redistricting course of to shore up their incumbents, which means that solely two of the state’s 38 congressional districts are seen as aggressive. The seat Cisneros is searching for is one in every of them. Following Tuesday’s outcomes and the extended Democratic main, election forecasters on the Prepare dinner Political Report rated the seat a toss-up.

The opposite Texas Democrat to earn the endorsement of progressive leaders Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) was Greg Casar, a former Austin metropolis councilman and tenants’ rights organizer, who received a main in a closely Democratic district.

Few victories would provoke progressives like taking down Cuellar, one in every of a handful of conservatives left within the Home Democratic Caucus.

The race can also be a key one for abortion rights teams. Cuellar is the final Democrat within the Home against abortion rights. Final 12 months he was the only Democrat to hitch Republicans in voting in opposition to a invoice to stop states from limiting entry to abortions.

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Whereas Cuellar has tried to color Cisneros as too liberal for the district, significantly on border safety and oil and gasoline points key to the area, Cisneros has argued that Cuellar is out of step as a consequence of his conservative stances on abortion, immigration and gun management.

In latest weeks, Cisneros leaned right into a political reward within the type of an FBI raid on Cuellar’s residence and workplace. Whereas Cuellar has not been accused of any crimes and has stated the investigation will reveal no wrongdoing on his half, he pulled again on public campaigning after the information broke. Although the investigation hasn’t helped him, it wasn’t sufficient at hand Cisneros a victory, both: Cuellar took 48.4% of the vote to her 47%.

“The runoff goes to be hard-fought and actually shut,” stated Ross Morales Rocketto, co-founder of Run for One thing, a political motion group that recruits progressive candidates. “I believe folks underestimate Henry Cuellar and the connections he has with the communities in south Texas.”

For Democrats, the intraparty battle usually presents itself as a David vs. Goliath contest between an entrenched incumbent and an upstart progressive. In firmly Democratic districts, progressives who beat extra reasonable members of their occasion have gone on to simply win the final election, like Ocasio-Cortez in New York and Reps. Ayanna Pressley and Marie Newman in Massachusetts and Illinois.

Moderates, nonetheless, argue that there’s a distinction between nominating a Casar within the liberal enclave of Austin, and, doubtlessly, a Cisneros within the mixed rural, city and border communities that make up Texas’ twenty eighth District.

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“If Cisneros wins her runoff, it isn’t in any respect clear that she’s going to have the ability to win the final election,” stated Matt Bennett, a co-founder of the centrist Democratic suppose tank Third Manner.

“We hope she does; we’d be very strongly behind her,” he added. “However there’s a fairly unhealthy monitor file for candidates endorsed by the far left in swing normal elections.”

Bennett pointed to 2 progressives — Kara Eastman of Nebraska and Dana Balter of New York — who beat reasonable Democrats in 2018 primaries however misplaced their normal elections in addition to rematches in 2020.

Progressive teams like Our Revolution and Justice Democrats “have by no means, ever flipped a seat — not as soon as ever,” stated Bennett. “That’s what the secret right here is … creating majorities and beating Republicans in robust districts.”

Not solely have progressives did not flip seats, centrists say, however the insurance policies they promote may also be liabilities for moderates working in aggressive seats.

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Final 12 months Third Manner launched Defend PAC, an effort to guard reasonable Democrats working in purple districts from being tied to progressive insurance policies they don’t help. Former centrist Democratic Reps. Xochitl Torres Small of New Mexico, Joe Cunningham of South Carolina and Kendra Horn of Oklahoma signed on as advisory members.

The three flipped Republican-held seats in 2018 however misplaced their reelection bids in 2020 after GOP opponents claimed they supported progressive insurance policies just like the Inexperienced New Deal and Medicare for all.

President Biden, in his State of the Union speech on Tuesday, provided a blueprint to candidates combating to plant their flag within the reasonable camp: He rejected calls to “defund the police” by ad-libbing, “fund them, fund them,” and referred to as for safer borders, whereas glossing over or ignoring progressive issues like local weather change, abortion rights and pupil mortgage debt.

“I believe he was making an attempt to mannequin habits right here for Democrats and say to them, ‘Look, you’ve got to articulate a really clear place on these points,’” Bennett stated of the president’s effort to stake out claims to stances that enchantment to extra centrist voters.

Nonetheless, for progressives in different races, the leads to Texas renewed hope that their idea of elections is appropriate — that sturdy grassroots actions centered round their favored insurance policies can draw out sufficient voters to win primaries and normal elections, even within the hardest races.

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“It was encouraging to see that the motion that we’re constructing in locations like Kentucky — but additionally locations like Texas — they’re gaining help,” stated Charles Booker, a progressive Democrat searching for to unseat Republican Sen. Rand Paul in Kentucky. “We’re definitely taking some inspiration in our personal proper.”

That is Booker’s second Senate marketing campaign, having misplaced the 2020 Democratic nomination to former Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath. McGrath’s supporters had argued that as a former congressional candidate with a deep battle chest, she was one of the best candidate to take a run at then-Senate Majority Chief Mitch McConnell. In addition they argued that a few of Booker’s coverage positions, like help for the Inexperienced New Deal in a coal-producing state, put him out of contact with voters.

Booker, who had solely ever received a state legislative seat, entered the 2020 race after McGrath had already received the backing of the occasion equipment.

However he skilled a surge in help over his sturdy stance on racial justice, together with his presence at Black Lives Matter protests, and misplaced the first by lower than 3 share factors.

McGrath went on to lose by practically 20 factors to McConnell, regardless of outraising him by $30 million. Kentucky has not despatched a Democrat to the Senate in three a long time.

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Booker has cleared the Democratic area this time, however trails Paul in fundraising and polls.

He says that if extra Democrats invested in his marketing campaign as a substitute of questioning whether or not he’s a viable candidate, it might make the distinction.

“The query that some will ask,” he stated, “is ‘Are you able to win as a progressive?’… What you’re really asking is ‘Are you able to win with out assist?’”

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How Biden – and Trump – helped make the pardon go haywire

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How Biden – and Trump – helped make the pardon go haywire

The pardon debate – individual, group, partisan, preemptive – is spinning out of control.

In his “Meet the Press” interview, Donald Trump mocked Joe Biden’s repeated assurances about Hunter: “‘I’m not going to give my son a pardon. I will not under any circumstances give him a pardon.’ I watch this and I always knew he was going to give him a pardon.”

In a portion of that interview that did not air but was posted online, the president-elect complained to Kristen Welker:

“The press was obviously unfair to me. The press, no president has ever gotten treated by the press like I was.”

BIDEN’S PARDONING OF HUNTER INDICATES HE HAS ‘A LOT MORE TO HIDE’: LARA TRUMP

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Why did he appear on “Meet the Press”? “You’re very hostile,” Trump said. Her response: “Well, hopefully, you thought it was a fair interview. We covered a lot of policy grounds.”

“It’s fair only in that you allowed me to say what I say. But you know, the answers to questions are, you know, pretty nasty. But look, because I’ve seen you interview other people like Biden.”

“I’ve never interviewed President Biden,” Welker responded. Trump said he was speaking “metaphorically.”

The pardon debate has been re-invigorated by President Biden’s decision to issue one to his son, Hunter, despite repeated assurances of the contrary. (Reuters/Getty/AP Images)

“I’ve seen George Stephanopoulos interview. And he’s a tough interviewer. It’s the softest interview I’ve seen. CNN interview. They give these soft, you know, what’s your favorite ice cream? It’s a whole different deal. I don’t understand why.”

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The strength of Welker’s approach is that she asked as many as half a dozen follow-ups on major topics, making more news. When she asked, for instance, whether he would actually deport 11 million illegal immigrants, as he’d said constantly on the campaign trail, he answered yes – which for some reason lots of news outlets led with. But a subsequent question got Trump to say he didn’t think the Dreamers should be expelled and would work it out with the Democrats.

As for Trump, he reminded me of the candidate I interviewed twice this year. He was sharp and serious, connecting on each pitch, fouling a few off. This was not the candidate talking about sharks at rallies. 

BIDEN, TRUMP BOTH RIP DOJ AFTER PRESIDENT PARDONS HUNTER

With one significant misstep, he made the case that he was not seeking retribution – even backing off a campaign pledge that he would appoint a special prosecutor to investigate Biden.

That misstep, when Trump couldn’t hold back, was in saying of the House Jan. 6 Committee members, including Liz Cheney: “For what they did, honestly, they should go to jail.”

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He did add the caveat that he would let his attorney general and FBI chief make that decision, but it allowed media outlets to lead with Trump wanting his political opponents behind bars. For what it’s worth, there’s no crime in lawmakers holding hearings, and this business about them withholding information seems like a real stretch.

Now back to the pardons. This mushrooming debate was obviously triggered by the president breaking his repeated promise with a sweeping, decade-long pardon of his son, a 54-year-old convicted criminal.

But then, as first reported by Politico, we learned that the Biden White House is debating whether to issue a whole bunch of preemptive pardons to people perceived to be potential targets of Trumpian retaliation.

But the inconvenient truth is that anyone accepting such a pardon would essentially admit to the appearance of being guilty. That’s why Sen.-elect Adam Schiff says he doesn’t want a pardon and won’t accept one.

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But many of those potential recipients don’t even know they’re under consideration for sweeping pardons covering anything they may or may not have done.

It is a truly awful idea, and with Biden and Trump both agreeing that DOJ engages in unfair and selective prosecutions – which in the Republican’s case made his numbers go up – the stage is set for endless rounds of payback against each previous administration.

I remember first thinking about the unchecked power of presidential pardons when Bill Clinton delivered a last-minute one to ally and super-wealthy Marc Rich.

Bill Clinton

Former President Bill Clinton used his pardoning power to let off Marc Rich, an uber-wealthy ally of his. (Photo by Julia Beverly/Getty Images)

So it’s time to hear from Alexander Hamilton, who pushed it into the Constitution. Keep in mind that in that horse-and-buggy era, there were very few federal offenses because most law enforcement was done by the states.

In Federalist 74, published in 1788, Hamilton said a single person was better equipped than an unwieldy group, and such decisions should be broadly applied to help those in need.   

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“In seasons of insurrection or rebellion,” the future Treasury secretary wrote, “there are often critical moments, when a welltimed offer of pardon to the insurgents or rebels may restore the tranquillity of the commonwealth.”

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Otherwise, it might be too late.

But another founding father, George Mason, opposed him, saying a president “may frequently pardon crimes which were advised by himself. It may happen, at some future day, that he will establish a monarchy, and destroy the republic. If he has the power of granting pardons before indictment, or conviction, may he not stop inquiry and prevent detection?”

An excellent argument, but Hamilton won out.

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As Hamilton envisioned, George Washington, in 1794, granted clemency to leaders of the Whiskey Rebellion to calm a fraught situation.

Something tells me that Biden, Trump and their allies aren’t poring over the Federalist papers. But it’s still an awful lot of sweeping power to place in the hands of one chief executive, for which the only remedy is impeachment.

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Column: Trump hoped his Cabinet picks could escape serious vetting. He was so wrong

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Column: Trump hoped his Cabinet picks could escape serious vetting. He was so wrong

In a normal presidential transition, the president-elect spends weeks carefully considering candidates for the most important jobs in his Cabinet. Potential nominees undergo rigorous private vetting by trusted aides and lawyers, then by the FBI. It’s a painstaking process that often consumes the entire three months between the election and the inauguration.

But when has Donald Trump ever recognized any value in traditional norms?

He refused to authorize the FBI to begin its customary background checks, because he hoped to do without them or because he didn’t trust the G-men, or both.

Instead of waiting for investigations, he announced most of his nominees in three weeks — apparently imagining that the tsunami would force the Senate to confirm them quickly.

He even proposed skipping the constitutionally required step of Senate confirmation entirely, pushing to fill his Cabinet through the back door of “recess appointments.” He was apparently surprised when otherwise loyal GOP senators quietly refused to roll over for that audacious power grab.

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His nominations set a new record for speed, if not for quality.

The outcome was predictable. His most controversial nominees — picked apparently with little or no private vetting — were followed by a parade of skeletons streaming out of closets. (Some of the skeletons had been strutting in public for years.)

The ensuing media leaks were embarrassing. They made the second Trump administration look just as chaotic as the first. But there were substantive political effects as well.

Most presidents use their transition, and the honeymoon period that normally follows, to build public support for their policies and programs. But Trump must now spend most of his time jawboning GOP senators to back his nominees.

Opinion polls show that his support in the public hasn’t grown since election day; he’s still stuck at the 50-50 mark in favorability.

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And it was all avoidable.

“When the Senate confirmation process works properly, it’s in the best interest of the president — even though presidents are usually annoyed by it,” said Gregg Nunziata, a former Senate Republican aide who handled dozens of nominations. “There’s an existing protocol to handle allegations confidently and discreetly. If that protocol isn’t followed, the interest [in a nominee’s background] is going to spill out into other channels” — mainly the news media.

That’s what’s happening now. The vetting of Trump’s Cabinet is being done after the fact, mostly by the news media. The results have not been pretty.

Matt Gaetz, the former Florida congressman Trump proposed for attorney general, somehow thought he could skate past the House Ethics Committee’s evidence that he had paid a 17-year-old for sex. (The New York Times reported that Trump chose Gaetz impulsively after a meeting with Gaetz and Tesla founder Elon Musk aboard the president-elect’s private jet.)

Eight days after the nomination was announced, CNN reported that Gaetz had a second illicit encounter with the girl. His nomination was finished by nightfall.

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Next up was Pete Hegseth, the Fox News host known for his opposition to women in combat roles and his war on “woke” generals. Trump proposed Hegseth for secretary of Defense, a job that entails managing almost 3 million people and an $849-billion budget, even though he had never run anything remotely comparable.

At first, the National Guard veteran looked headed for confirmation, as GOP senators fell into line. Then a whistleblower told Trump aides that a woman had accused Hegseth of raping her in a Monterey hotel in 2017, and the story promptly leaked. (Hegseth said the encounter was consensual.) Two days later, it emerged that Hegseth had paid the accuser in exchange for a nondisclosure agreement.

Skeletons continued their march. The New York Times reported that Hegseth’s mother had sent him an email scolding him for abusing women. (She disavowed the message and denounced the newspaper for revealing it.) The New Yorker reported that Hegseth’s former employees at a veterans’ organization said he had been intoxicated and disorderly at company events. NBC quoted his former Fox News colleagues saying he drank there, too. (“I never had a drinking problem,” said Hegseth, who promised to stop drinking.)

Hegseth’s support among Republican senators began to erode, with many saying he needed to undergo a full FBI investigation.

Last week, Trump mused to aides that he might replace Hegseth with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. But by Friday, the president-elect turned defiant on social media: “Pete is a WINNER, and there is nothing that can be done to change that!”

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So the Hegseth battle will continue — at a potential further political cost.

“His confirmation hearings are going to be completely brutal,” a Republican strategist warned. “There will be weeks of coverage on cable TV, which is a medium Trump cares about. How much stomach does he have for that when he’s about to take office?”

Hegseth isn’t the only nominee who faces a struggle. Some GOP senators have expressed concern about Tulsi Gabbard, the former Democrat designated for director of national intelligence. Kash Patel, his nominee for FBI director, will have to defend his goal of using the law enforcement agency as a weapon of retribution against political opponents. And Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will need to explain his long-proclaimed belief that no vaccine is safe.

The scrutiny of those nominees has barely begun.

Now Trump faces an unpalatable choice: long, bruising and public fights to put controversial nominees into office, or quick decisions to cut failing candidates loose as he did with Gaetz.

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It isn’t unusual for incoming presidents to lose a Cabinet nominee or two.

If they fail quickly, the damage is rarely great. Who remembers that President Biden couldn’t win confirmation for his first nominee as budget director, Neera Tanden, or that Trump couldn’t get his first-term nominee as Labor secretary, Andrew Puzder, confirmed?

But Trump has made a potentially irreparable mistake.

By proposing so many nominees with flagrantly weak qualifications beyond political loyalty, he has turned their confirmations into zero-sum tests of his ability to compel obedience from prideful senators. With only a 53-47 majority in the chamber, the loss of any four could mean defeat.

Even before his inauguration, the president-elect has already failed in two respects. His abortive proposal to finagle nominees into office without Senate confirmation alienated legislators whose help he will need over the next four years.

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And he may have thought he could get the jump on his opponents by announcing his nominees early — yet another miscalculation. He merely gave the news media enough time to subject them to the scrutiny they deserved from the beginning.

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Trump nominates Harmeet Dhillon, Mark Paoletta to key posts, backs KC Crosbie for RNC co-chair

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Trump nominates Harmeet Dhillon, Mark Paoletta to key posts, backs KC Crosbie for RNC co-chair

President-elect Trump on Sunday nominated Harmeet K. Dhillon as the assistant attorney general for civil rights in the Justice Department.

Trump said Dhillon has consistently protected civil liberties throughout her career, including taking on Big Tech for censoring free speech, representing Christians who were not allowed to pray together during the COVID-19 pandemic, and suing corporations who use woke policies to discriminate against their employees.

“Harmeet is one of the top election lawyers in the country, fighting to ensure that all, and ONLY, legal votes are counted,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “She is a graduate of Dartmouth College and the University of Virginia Law School and clerked in the U.S. Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals.”

“Harmeet is a respected member of the Sikh religious community,” he added. “In her new role at the DOJ, Harmeet will be a tireless defender of our Constitutional Rights and will enforce our Civil Rights and Election Laws FAIRLY and FIRMLY.”

GET TO KNOW DONALD TRUMP’S CABINET: WHO HAS THE PRESIDENT-ELECT PICKED SO FAR?

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Harmeet Dhillon (Kyle Grillot/Bloomberg via Getty Images/File)

Trump also wrote in a separate post that Mark Paoletta will return as general counsel of the Office of Management and Budget.

In the role, Trump said, Paoletta will work closely with the Department of Government Efficiency to cut the size of “our bloated government bureaucracy and root out wasteful and anti-American spending.”

Trump called Paoletta a brilliant and tenacious lawyer, crediting him with working to advance his agenda in the first term, while leading the charge to find funding to build a wall at the southern border.

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Mark Paoletta, Clarence Thomas laugh

Mark Paoletta (Mark Paoletta)

Mark is a partner at the law firm Shaerr Jaffe LLP and a senior fellow at the Center for Renewing America.

“Mark has served as a Chief Counsel for Oversight and Investigations in Congress for a decade and was a key lawyer in the White House Counsel’s Office to confirm Justice Clarence Thomas to the U.S. Supreme Court in 1991,” Trump wrote. “Mark is a conservative warrior who knows the ‘ins and outs’ of Government – He will help us, Make America Great Again!”

And finally, Trump announced that KC Crosbie is running to become the next co-chair of the Republican National Committee to replace Lara Trump.

TRUMP NOMINATES FORMER WISCONSIN REP. SEAN DUFFY FOR SECRETARY OF TRANSPORTATION

CPAC Lara Trump

Lara Trump (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images/File)

“Lara, together with Chairman Michael Whatley, transformed the RNC into a lean, focused, and powerful machine that is empowering the MAGA Movement for many years to come,” the president-elect said. “Thank you for your hard work, Lara, in MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!”

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The incoming president also said Crosbie has helped “real” Republicans get elected across the U.S. and would make a tremendous co-chair.

“KC will work on continuing to ensure a highly functioning, fiscally responsible, and effective RNC that makes Election Integrity a highest priority,” Trump said. “KC Crosbie has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next Co-Chair of the RNC!”

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