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Ukraine’s resistance offers a useful lesson to Taiwan

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Ukraine’s resistance offers a useful lesson to Taiwan

Russia’s conflict in Ukraine has taught the world’s autocrats some helpful classes:

Invasions could also be more durable than they give the impression of being.

It’s unwise to go to conflict with a military that hasn’t had a lot apply towards critical opponents.

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The US and its allies might seem divided, however they’ll nonetheless pull collectively in a disaster.

And when unusual individuals resolve to defend their houses, they’ll put up a surprisingly good battle.

These classes may have sensible affect half a world away from Ukraine within the standoff between China and Taiwan.

Regaining Taiwan has been a significant objective of China’s ruling Communist Celebration because it took energy in 1949. China’s president, Xi Jinping, recurrently reconfirms that he intends to return Taiwan to the motherland — by peaceable means if attainable, by unpeaceful means if not.

So it’s affordable to imagine Xi and his aides have been paying shut consideration to the issues their quasi-ally Vladimir Putin has encountered in his brutal marketing campaign to revive Russia’s management over its smaller neighbor, Ukraine.

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In some methods, Taiwan appears like a better goal than Ukraine. It’s smaller — 24 million individuals, not 44 million. Its army is one-tenth the scale of China’s, and it hasn’t constructed the form of territorial protection pressure Ukraine is utilizing to nice impact proper now. In the meantime, China’s navy and marine corps (sure, that’s its identify) have spent many years engaged on the power to mount amphibious landings towards an island like Taiwan.

However Taiwan has benefits Ukraine didn’t have.

The Taiwan Strait is greater than 100 miles broad, which might make an amphibious invasion daunting.

Taiwan has a safety dedication from america — not as robust because the treaty that pledges america to defend NATO allies, however greater than Ukraine had. (President Biden made a degree of mentioning it in his dialog with Xi on Friday.)

Lastly, america has a extra direct financial curiosity in Taiwan than in Ukraine; Taipei is a significant buying and selling companion, the supply of greater than half of the world’s high-end microchips.

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“What we’ve seen in Ukraine raises critical questions for China concerning the dangers of army exercise towards Taiwan,” Evan Medeiros of Georgetown College, a former Nationwide Safety Council official, advised me final week.

“China’s principle has been that if we’ve got to make use of pressure, will probably be fast and profitable and that economically the West wants China greater than it wants Taiwan. All these assumptions at the moment are open to query.”

However there have been necessary classes for Taiwan too.

The largest shock in Ukraine past the poor efficiency of Russia’s military has been the success of Ukraine’s Territorial Protection Forces, its military of reservists and erratically educated civilians.

“That’s the actual lesson of Ukraine for Taiwan: You want civilians who know use a rifle,” stated Bonnie Glaser, a China professional on the German Marshall Fund. “Taiwan may simply do one thing like that, however they haven’t.”

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U.S. protection planners have lengthy been urging Taiwan to undertake a method they name “uneven protection” — recognizing China’s huge benefits in manpower and gear, and aiming to lift the price of an invasion. The objective, retired Adm. James Stavridis wrote lately, ought to be to make the island a “porcupine — a spiny and indigestible entity that might deter China from utilizing pressure.”

However over a lot of the final decade, Taiwan moved in the wrong way: It minimize the scale of its common military and decreased the coaching of its reserves. It invested in high-end weapons beloved by army brass, like F-16s and Abrams tanks, as a substitute of extra mundane instruments that may deter a shipborne invader: antiaircraft weapons, anti-ship missiles and superior mines.

Taiwan’s president, Tsai Ing-wen, has embraced the U.S. argument, not less than rhetorically.

“The latest state of affairs in Ukraine proves that, along with worldwide assist and help, it boils all the way down to the unity of our individuals to safeguard our nation,” she stated lately.

However progress has been gradual. Tsai has promised to extend protection spending to three% of gross home venture from the present 2.1% (the U.S. spends about 3.5%). However even after Taiwan’s legislature authorized extra protection spending, it’s going to take greater than 5 years to get there.

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So U.S. officers have privately been urgent one other lesson from Ukraine: The US and different international locations might help Taiwan defend itself, however provided that the Taiwanese present that they’re prepared and keen to battle.

“Individuals love a fighter,” famous Elbridge Colby, a former prime Protection official within the Trump administration. “If Ukraine had folded, the worldwide assist for them wouldn’t be occurring.”

The longer Ukraine reveals {that a} decided inhabitants could make an invasion expensive, it’s giving small international locations like Taiwan a mannequin of defend themselves — and with luck, deter the following invasion earlier than it begins.

In that case, the horrible toll of Ukraine’s conflict may yield not less than one constructive aspect impact: It’s simply attainable that this battle might have decreased the possibilities of a battle in Asia.

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Trump Discusses Tax Cuts for New Yorkers With G.O.P. Lawmakers

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Trump Discusses Tax Cuts for New Yorkers With G.O.P. Lawmakers

President-elect Donald J. Trump reiterated his support for undoing a major provision of his 2017 tax law on Saturday when he told more than a dozen House Republicans at his Florida estate to come up with a plan for increasing the state and local tax deduction, according to four lawmakers who attended.

Republicans put a $10,000 cap on the deduction, often called SALT, during Mr. Trump’s first term to help cover the cost of the broader 2017 tax law they passed along party lines. The change upset lawmakers from both parties in high-tax states like New York and New Jersey, who have since made it a central political promise to restore a valuable deduction for residents in their states.

The yearslong quest to restore the deduction — or at least increase its limit — got a boost during the presidential campaign when Mr. Trump said he would “get SALT back.” But the House Republicans demanding an increase to the limit have not yet agreed among themselves on the details.

Some have called for raising the limit for the deduction as high as $200,000. Others have more modest ambitions, including a smaller increase in the deduction’s limit that would be paired with gradual hikes over time that match the pace of inflation. Right now, the $10,000 cap applies to both individuals and married couples, and the group seems in agreement that couples should take a larger deduction than individuals.

At the meeting on Saturday, House Republicans from New York, New Jersey and California offered a variety of ideas to Mr. Trump about how to address the issue, according to the attendees. Among the concepts discussed was the possibility of persuading local leaders to hold off on tax increases in return for a higher deduction for their residents.

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“Maybe we increase the deduction, but maybe the deduction goes even higher if your state freezes or lowers the tax rate,” said Representative Nicole Malliotakis, a New York Republican and member of the Ways and Means Committee who attended the meeting. “These are all ideas we are entertaining.”

Mr. Trump largely listened to the House Republicans, who were served coconut shrimp and Trump-branded bottled water during the hourlong meeting, and asked the group to reach a consensus, the attendees said. Any proposed change would also need nearly unanimous support from other congressional Republicans, many of whom are skeptical of providing tax relief to largely high-income residents of states governed by Democrats.

Lifting the cap on the deduction is expensive, and Republicans are already grappling with the vast cost of the tax bill they plan to pass this year. Lawmakers have explored the possibility of limiting the ability of businesses to deduct state and local taxes from their federal bills to try to cover the cost of any changes.

“It can’t be unlimited, and we still need a cap,” said Representative Jeff Van Drew, a New Jersey Republican who attended the meeting. “We have to find that sweet spot.”

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Trump tasks blue state Republicans with 'homework' as GOP plots massive conservative policy overhaul

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Trump tasks blue state Republicans with 'homework' as GOP plots massive conservative policy overhaul

President-elect Donald Trump is giving Republicans his blessing to negotiate on a key tax that could prove critical to the GOP’s negotiations for a massive conservative policy overhaul next year.

Trump met with several different groups of House Republicans at Mar-a-Lago over the weekend, including blue state GOP lawmakers who make up the House SALT Caucus – a group opposed to the current $10,000 cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions that primarily affect urban and suburban residents in areas with high income and property taxes, such as New York, New Jersey, and California.

“I think it was productive and successful,” Rep. Nicole Malliotakis, R-N.Y., said of the meeting. “The president supports our efforts to increase the SALT deduction. He understands that mayors and governors in blue states are crushing taxpayers and wants to provide relief from the federal level.”

JOHNSON BLASTS DEM ACCUSATIONS HE VOWED TO END OBAMACARE AS ‘DISHONEST’

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President-elect Donald Trump told New York Republicans he would work with them on a number of priorities (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

But Trump also signaled he was aware of the opposition from others in the House GOP conference, particularly rural district Republicans, who have viewed SALT deductions as tax breaks for the wealthy. Before the cap was imposed in 2017, there was no limit to how much state income and local property taxes people could deduct from their income when filing their federal returns.

“He gave us a little homework to work on, a number that could provide our middle class constituents with relief from the high taxes imposed by our governor and mayor, and at the same time, you know, something that can build consensus and get to [a 218-vote majority],” Malliotakis said.

 “I think we pretty much know that it’s not going to be a complete lifting of the SALT cap. There’s not an appetite within Congress or even among American taxpayers to lower taxes for the ultra-wealthy.

“Our efforts are really targeted to middle-class families, and that’s what we’re focused on in trying to achieve the right balance.”

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The current SALT deduction cap has been opposed by New York and California lawmakers for much of its existence, since being levied in Trump’s Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA).

RFK JR. TO MEET WITH SLEW OF DEMS INCLUDING ELIZABETH WARREN, BERNIE SANDERS

Rep. Nicole Malliotakis

Rep. Nicole Malliotakis told Fox News Digital that Trump would work with New York Republicans on congestion pricing (Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

Trump suggested he would change course during his second administration as early as September last year, when he posted on Truth Social that he would “get SALT back, lower your taxes, and so much more.”

The discussions are part of Republicans’ wider talks about passing a massive fiscal and conservative policy overhaul via a process known as “reconciliation.”

By lowering the Senate’s threshold for passage to a simple majority instead of two-thirds, the process allows the party in control of both houses of Congress and the White House to pass certain legislation provided it deals with budgetary and other fiscal matters.

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Some pro-SALT deduction Republicans, like Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., had signaled they could withhold support from the final bill if the cap was not increased.

“The only red line I have is that if there is a tax bill that does not lift the cap on SALT, I would not support that,” Lawler told Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures.

Lawler also said Trump agreed that SALT deduction caps needed to be raised.

House Republicans have virtually no room for error with a razor-thin majority from Trump’s inauguration until likely sometime in April.

Rep. Mike Lawler said SALT deduction caps were a "red line" for his support on a budget reconciliation bill

Rep. Mike Lawler said SALT deduction caps were a “red line” for his support on a budget reconciliation bill (Tierney L. Cross)

Meanwhile, Trump also told New York Republicans that he would help them fight their state’s controversial congestion pricing rule that levies an added cost to drive in parts of Manhattan.

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“He understands how unfair this is and how it would impact the city’s economy and the people we represent and so we’re currently working with him on legal options to reverse the rubber stamp of the Biden administration,” Malliotakis said. “If there’s a legal option, if there’s a legal option for him to halt congestion pricing, he will.”

“You have, you know, cops, police, firefighters, nurses, the restaurant workers that have to go in at odd hours, and they drive because they don’t feel that the transit system is clean or safe.”

Congestion pricing took effect in New York City earlier this month.

Fox News Digital reached out to the Trump transition team for comment on this weekend’s meeting.

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Newsom suspends landmark environmental laws to ease rebuilding in wildfire zones

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Newsom suspends landmark environmental laws to ease rebuilding in wildfire zones

Landmark California environmental laws will be suspended for wildfire victims seeking to rebuild their homes and businesses, according to an executive order signed Sunday by Gov. Gavin Newsom.

Requirements for building permits and reviews in the California Environmental Quality Act and the California Coastal Act — often considered onerous by developers — will be eased for victims of the fires in Pacific Palisades, Altadena and other communities, according to the order.

“California leads the nation in environmental stewardship. I’m not going to give that up,” Newsom told Jacob Soboroff on NBC’s “Meet the Press.” “But one thing I won’t give into is delay. Delay is denial for people: lives, traditions, places torn apart, torn asunder.”

Dan Dunmoyer, president and chief executive of the California Building Industry Assn., said the governor’s action represents an early and strong statement about the future of these areas. Newsom is making clear, Dunmoyer said, that the state will encourage homeowners to go back to their neighborhoods rather than deem development there too risky.

“He’s put a marker down to say we’re going to rebuild these communities,” Dunmoyer said.

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Waivers of the environmental quality act, known as CEQA, and the Coastal Act could shave years off the process for homeowners in the Palisades, he said, but building permits issued by local governments represent another major hurdle.

“Those two banner ones are important,” Dunmoyer said, referring to the state laws, “but if the locals don’t come up with an expedited process, that’s where it could get stuck.”

Newsom’s order calls for the state housing department to work with affected cities and the county to develop new permitting rules that would allow for all approvals to be issued within 30 days.

In the wake of the fires, housing analysts have renewed calls for the city of Los Angeles to speed up its processes. A 2023 study found that the average unit in a multifamily property in the city took five years to complete, with a substantial portion of that time related to bureaucratic approval.

Mayor Karen Bass has acknowledged the problems and pledged that the city will accelerate permitting.

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“We are going to clear the red tape and unnecessary delays and costs and headaches that people experience in ordinary times so that we can rebuild your homes quickly,” Bass said at a news conference Thursday.

Bass reiterated the promise at a news conference Sunday morning, applauding the governor’s action, and said she plans to release details on the effort this week. L.A. County Board of Supervisors Chair Kathryn Barger, who represents Altadena, similarly lauded the governor’s executive order.

“I want to thank the governor for hearing my request and taking swift action to ensure that our residents will not be burdened by unnecessary requirements as they begin the process of recovery and rebuilding,” said Barger, a Republican.

However, many GOP members across the state said Newsom’s order was too little, too late.

“Wildfire victims deserve much more from Gavin Newsom. When his track record includes lying about and underfunding wildfire prevention efforts, he owes Angelenos answers on how he and local Democrat leaders could have been so unprepared for these devastating wildfires,” said California Republican Party Chairwoman Jessica Millan Patterson. “No more blame game and excuses. We need accountability from this governor, and we need it now.”

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Environmentalists also noted that the governor’s executive order restates an existing provision in the Coastal Act that provides exemptions for fire rebuilds.

The California Coastal Commission, which is tasked with coordinating with local officials in enforcing the Coastal Act, noted last week that the state law already clearly lays out that reconstruction of homes, businesses and most other structures destroyed by a disaster are exempt from typical coastal development permits — as long as the new building is sited in the same location and not more than 10% larger or taller than the destroyed structure.

In the 2018 Woolsey fire, which devastated areas in and around Malibu, the commission coordinated with city and county officials to help homeowners rebuild. Coastal officials also noted that over the years, following other devastating natural disasters, the commission has processed hundreds of “disaster rebuild waivers” in other coastal areas that are directly regulated by the commission.

“When the time comes to rebuild, both the Coastal Act and the Governor’s Executive Order provide a clear pathway for replacing lost structures quickly and easily,” Kate Huckelbridge, the commission’s executive director, said in a statement. “Our hearts go out to all the residents of the L.A. area whose homes and communities have been destroyed by these horrific fires.”

President-elect Donald Trump and other conservatives have castigated Newsom and other Democratic leaders in California for embracing environmental policies that they argue laid the groundwork for this month’s historic destruction. Calling Newsom “incompetent,” Trump said he should resign, and made false statements about water being redirected to protect small fish and about Federal Emergency Management Agency policy.

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“The fires are still raging in L.A. The incompetent pols have no idea how to put them out,” Trump wrote Saturday night on Truth Social, his social media platform. “Thousands of magnificent houses are gone, and many more will soon be lost. There is death all over the place. This is one of the worst catastrophes in the history of our Country. They just can’t put out the fires. What’s wrong with them?”

Trump’s transition team did not respond to requests for comment on Saturday.

Newsom, during the NBC interview, said he had asked the incoming president to come view the devastation in person, as Barger did Saturday.

“We want to do it in the spirit of an open hand, not a closed fist. He’s the president-elect,” Newsom said. “I respect the office.”

While noting that many of the buildings that survived the fires were more likely to be built under modern building codes, Newsom said he was worried about the amount of time it would take to rebuild. So his executive order eliminates some CEQA requirements, modifies Coastal Act provisions and ensures property tax assessments are not increased for those who rebuild.

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CEQA was signed into law by then-Gov. Ronald Reagan in 1970 amid the burgeoning environmental movement. The Coastal Act was created after a landmark voter proposition in 1972 that was led by a fervent statewide effort to save the coast from unchecked development and devastating oil spills like the 1969 disaster in Santa Barbara that was considered the “environmental shot heard round the world.”

Both have faced challenges for decades, and governors of both parties have argued for more than 40 years that CEQA needs to be reformed. Several of the act’s requirements were temporarily suspended by an executive order issued by Newsom during the pandemic. He argues that now is the time again.

Asked on the news program whether this month’s wildfires are the worst natural disaster in the nation’s history, Newsom noted that recent fires had resulted in a greater loss of life but said, “I think it will be in terms of just the costs associated with it in terms of the scale and scope.”

He called for a California version of the Marshall Plan, the American effort to rebuild Western Europe after World War II.

“We already have a team looking at reimagining L.A. 2.0,” he said, “and we are making sure everyone’s included, not just the folks on the coast, people here that were ravaged by this disaster.”

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