Politics
Baltics, in Russia’s Shadow, Demand Tougher Stance From West
VILNIUS, Lithuania — Demanding assurances that the Baltic States is not going to grow to be Russia’s subsequent battleground, Lithuania’s president firmly instructed America’s high diplomat on Monday that warnings to discourage Moscow from additional aggressions are “now not sufficient.”
Hours later, Latvia’s overseas minister dismally predicted that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine would shatter any perception that the area may ever let down its guard towards President Vladimir V. Putin. “We have now no illusions about Putin’s Russia anymore,” International Minister Edgars Rinkevics mentioned. “I don’t see any good motive to imagine Russia may change its coverage.”
Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken is more likely to get the same earful on Tuesday in Estonia as he tries to persuade Baltic leaders, who’re additionally a part of NATO, that the USA is doing all it might probably to cease Russia’s assault on Ukraine from spreading throughout Europe — whereas remaining cautious to not set off a wider battle.
In a area that borders Russia, and which all too nicely remembers the pressured rule of the Soviet Union, the Baltics are warily watching the disaster in Ukraine as a bellwether for their very own safety. Ukrainian flags are hung from doorways and draped from balconies throughout the capitals of Lithuania and Latvia. Blue-and-yellow posters, lights and billboards broadcast the area’s help for Ukraine. In Vilnius, the Lithuanian capital, a commuter bus had changed its digital route show on Monday with a message that learn, merely, “Vilnius ? Ukraina.”
In Riga, the Latvian capital, Mr. Blinken mentioned it was “very shifting” to see the outpouring of help for Ukraine within the Baltics, which he praised as a longtime “democratic wall” towards authoritarian rule.
However Baltic leaders seem unhappy with the extent of navy help the USA is offering to assist deter Russian advances, both to Ukraine immediately or to its allies in Europe. Mr. Rinkevics additionally mentioned worldwide sanctions towards Mr. Putin’s allies may very well be toughened, and he referred to as on European states to cease the oil and fuel imports from Russia which have grow to be Moscow’s financial lifeline.
Russia supplies 10 % of the world’s oil and greater than a 3rd of the European Union’s pure fuel. Western sanctions are largely engineered to permit firms in Europe to proceed to purchase Russian vitality, and the White Home has resisted extra aggressive penalties for worry that they might drive up the value of gasoline and different vitality prices for People.
Europe, Baltic leaders instructed Mr. Blinken, has entered a brand new chapter.
“Sadly, the worsening safety scenario by means of the Baltic area is of nice concern for all of us and world wide,” mentioned President Gitanas Nauseda of Lithuania. “Russia’s reckless aggression towards Ukraine as soon as once more proves that it’s a long-term menace to European safety, the safety of our alliance, regardless of how the top of the battle in Ukraine comes.”
He added: “I have to say that strengthening deterrence is now not sufficient, and we want extra protection right here in place. In any other case, it will likely be too late right here, Mr. Secretary. Putin is not going to cease in Ukraine if he is not going to be stopped.”
Mr. Blinken sought to reassure the officers that, as fellow members of NATO, the Baltic States could be robustly defended ought to Russia attempt to transfer in.
Citing the NATO collective protection pack that “an assault on one is an assault on all,” Mr. Blinken mentioned the USA and the remainder of the navy alliance “will defend each, each inch of NATO territory ought to it come underneath assault.”
Russia-Ukraine Warfare: Key Issues to Know
“There must be little doubt about that on anybody’s thoughts,” Mr. Blinken mentioned.
It was a message he repeated all through the day.
There are already 1000’s of American troops within the Baltics, nearly all of which have been despatched within the face of Russia’s current aggressions, and Mr. Blinken famous that the Pentagon has despatched F-35 fighter jets because it considers a extra everlasting presence of U.S. forces to the area.
On the identical time, the USA and different NATO states have rushed greater than 17,000 antitank weapons, together with Javelin missiles, to Ukraine in an effort to assist the besieged nation defend itself from Russia’s much more highly effective navy. Mr. Blinken mentioned an estimated 70 % of help supplied by the USA is already in Ukraine’s fingers.
Although Ukraine’s leaders have pleaded for NATO to ascertain a no-fly zone over its skies — a requirement that the nation’s overseas minister, Dmytro Kuleba, delivered to Mr. Blinken this previous weekend at Ukraine’s border with Poland — neither the USA nor the remainder of the navy alliance is prepared to take that step, anxious that it will escalate a battle that has already created the most important refugee disaster in Europe since World Warfare II.
Mr. Blinken additionally sidestepped a query on Monday as as to if Poland would offer its fighter planes to Ukraine after being outfitted with American F-16 jets, though he mentioned earlier this week that the deal was being thought-about.
Whether or not it might probably go although rapidly sufficient to stanch the bloodshed in Ukraine, the place Russian shelling has killed civilians and thousands and thousands of individuals have been left homeless, is just not but clear.
What’s extra apparent is how closely the casualties are weighing on the Baltics.
“We can not afford for Ukrainian cities to grow to be one other Srebrenica, Grozny, or Aleppo,” mentioned Gabrielius Landsbergis, Lithuania’s overseas minister.
Politics
Supreme Court turns down challenge of California labor lawsuits by Uber, Lyft
The Supreme Court refused Monday to hear appeals from ride-hailing companies Uber and Lyft, which were asking to block California state labor lawsuits that seek back pay for tens of thousands of drivers.
Without comment, the justices turned down appeals from both companies. At issue, they said, was the scope of the arbitration agreements between drivers and the companies.
A state appeals court ruled last year that state labor officials are not bound by arbitration agreements which they did not sign or support.
In their appeal to the Supreme Court, lawyers for Uber and Lyft, joined by a coalition of California employers, contended the Federal Arbitration Act overrides state laws and blocks broad lawsuits seeking money for employees who had agreed to arbitrate claims as individuals. They said the case “represents California’s latest attempt to create a loophole” in the law.”
Four years ago, California Atty. Gen. Rob Bonta and Labor Commissioner Lilia Garcia-Brower sued the ride-hailing companies for the “misclassification of drivers as independent contractors” rather than as employees.
This left “workers without protections such as paid sick leave and reimbursement of drivers’ expenses, as well as overtime and minimum wages,” Garcia-Brower said at the time. The suit sought money “for unpaid wages and penalties owed to workers which will be distributed to all drivers who worked for Uber or Lyft during the time period covered by the lawsuits.”
The lawsuit continued even after voters approved Proposition 22 in 2020 to uphold the authority of companies to classify drivers as independent contractors.
Last year, the state appeals court in San Francisco ruled the state lawsuits may proceed because the state officials did not agree to be bound by the arbitration agreements.
“The people and the labor commissioner are not parties to the arbitration agreements invoked by Uber and Lyft,” said Justice Jon Streeter for the California court of appeals. He said the state officials are not suing on behalf of drivers, but instead enforcing the state’s labor laws.
“The relevant statutory schemes expressly authorize the people and the labor commissioner to bring the claims (and seek the relief) at issue here,” he said. “The public officials who brought these actions do not derive their authority from individual drivers but from their independent statutory authority to bring civil enforcement actions.”
In January, the state Supreme Court refused to hear an appeal. Uber and Lyft then asked the U.S. Supreme Court to weigh in.
In recent years, the conservative high court has regularly clashed with California judges over arbitration and ruled for businesses that sought to limit lawsuits.
Two years ago, the justices struck down part of state law that authorized private attorneys to sue on behalf of a group of employees, even though they had agreed to be bound by individual arbitration.
The California Employment Law Council, which represents about 80 private employers in the state, had urged the court to hear the Uber case and rule that the state may not sidestep arbitration agreements.
“The California courts have been clear. They don’t like arbitration,” said Paul Grossman, a Los Angeles lawyer with the Paul Hastings firm who represents private employers.
Politics
Early voting begins in California, Texas, 5 other states
The country’s two most populous states, California and Texas, begin early voting on Monday along with Montana, Georgia, Nebraska, New Hampshire and South Carolina.
Here is everything you need to know about the voter registration and early voting plans for each state.
Georgia is one of the most competitive states this cycle, and Montana offers a hotly contested Senate race
Georgia has voted Republican in all but two elections in the last four decades. The first was former President Clinton’s landslide win in 1992, and the second was 2020, when President Biden brought the state back to the Democrats by 11,779 votes.
A win for either candidate here would make their path to victory easier. The Peach State has 16 electoral votes on offer, and with recent polls showing a tight race, it’s ranked Toss Up on the Fox News Power Rankings.
Democrats do well in metro Atlanta, home to more than half the state’s population, and particularly its densest counties, Fulton and DeKalb. There is a higher concentration of Black and college voters there. The surrounding suburban areas also help Democrats run up the vote.
Republicans win big with rural voters, who can be found just about everywhere else. The GOP won all but 30 counties in the last election, with many of the largest victories in the sparse northwest and southeast regions.
Over in the northwest of the country, Montana is a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, but it also hosts one of the most competitive Senate races in the country this cycle. Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Tester faces Republican Tim Sheehy in a race where Trump’s popularity and Sheehy’s discipline gives the GOP an edge. It’s Lean R on the rankings.
Finally, absentee in-person voting begins today in Nebraska, where absentee voting is already underway. The state is home to three competitive races.
Key downballot races in today’s early voting states
Voting also begins today in nine House districts ranked Lean or Toss Up on the Fox News Power Rankings. For a full list of competitive races, see the latest Senate and House rankings.
- California’s 13th district: Incumbent GOP Rep. John Duarte is a freshman in this San Joaquin Valley district. He won the race by 564 votes in the midterms. Biden won the same area by more than 25,000 votes two years prior; a 10.9 point victory (Dave’s Redistricting). That’s what makes this such a competitive race this year. Duarte faces Democratic state assemblyman Adam Gray in this Lean D race.
- California’s 22nd district: It’s the same story in the 22nd district, home to east Bakersfield. Rep. David Valadao, one of two Republicans who voted to impeach Trump in 2021, kept this district on a three-point margin in the midterms, but Biden won it by 13 points in the last presidential election. Valadao’s strong centrist brand keeps this race, against former assemblyman Rudy Salas, at Toss Up this cycle.
- California’s 27th district: The 27th is another GOP-held, Biden-won district. Incumbent GOP Rep. Mike Garcia won here by more than six points in the midterms; Biden won the same area by more than 12 points two years prior. The 27th is north of Los Angeles and includes some parts of that county, including Santa Clarita. Garcia faces Democrat George Whitesides, the former CEO of Virgin Galactic, in this Lean D race.
- California’s 41st district: The Golden State’s 41st district is represented by Republican Ken Calvert, who has served in the House since 1993. He won his most recent race by under five points, and this year, he’ll face the same competitor: former federal prosecutor and Democrat Will Rollins. This race is a Toss Up.
- California’s 45th district: President Biden won this southern California district by six points last cycle; its heavy and right-leaning Asian American population makes it highly competitive. Incumbent Rep. Michelle Steel faces Democratic lawyer Derek Tran in this district, which includes parts of Los Angeles. It moved to Toss Up last month.
- California’s 47th district: Democratic Rep. Katie Porter ran unsuccessfully for the Democrats’ Senate nomination this cycle, leaving the 47th district wide open. This race will now feature Democratic state senator Dave Min and Republican former state assemblyman Scott Baugh. The district includes Orange County, which has leaned towards the Democrats in the Trump era. It’s a Power Rankings Toss Up.
- Montana’s 1st district: Montana’s 1st district is the less Republican of the two; incumbent GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke took it by a slim three-point margin in the midterms. He has an edge in this western district established just two years ago following redistricting, and will compete against the same Democrat he faced two years prior: Olympic rower Monica Tranel. It’s a Lean R race.
- Texas’ 28th district: Longtime 28th district Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar is seeking his tenth term this year. He won his last race by 13 points in the midterms; Biden won the area by seven in the last presidential election. In May, the Department of Justice indicted him on money laundering, conspiracy, and bribery charges. The embattled incumbent goes up against Republican former Navy commander Jay Furman. This race is Lean D.
- Texas’ 34th district: Down to southeast Texas, where incumbent Democrat Vicente Gonzalez is seeking a fifth term in congress. He won by eight and a half points in the midterms. He is facing Republican former congresswoman Mayra Flores, who briefly represented the district in 2022. This Gulf Coast district is ranked Lean D.
How to vote in California
This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for California.
Voting by mail
California began absentee voting on Monday, and the state will proactively send absentee ballots to actively registered voters. That ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.
Early in-person voting
California offers early in-person voting, but the dates vary by location. Check the state’s website for more information.
Voter registration
California residents can register to vote online or by mail through Oct. 21. They can register in-person during early voting from Oct. 7 through election day.
CHECK OUT THE LATEST FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS IN THE 2024 ELECTION
How to vote in Montana
This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for Montana.
Voting by mail
Montana began absentee voting on Monday. Residents do not need to provide an excuse in order to receive a ballot. State officials must receive a ballot request by Nov. 4, and that ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.
Early in-person voting
Montana offers early in-person voting beginning Oct. 7 and running through Nov. 4.
Voter registration
Montana residents can register to vote by mail through Oct. 7. They can register in-person during early voting from Oct. 7 through election day.
CLICK HERE FOR THE LATEST FOX NEWS POLLING IN THE HARRIS-TRUMP PRESIDENTIAL RACE
How to vote in Georgia
This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for Georgia.
Voting by mail
Georgia began absentee voting on Monday. Residents do not need to provide an excuse in order to receive a ballot. State officials must receive a ballot request by Oct. 25, and that ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.
Early in-person voting
Georgia offers early in-person voting beginning Oct. 15 and running through Nov. 1.
Voter registration
Georgia residents must have registered to vote by Oct. 7.
IN BID FOR DISGRUNTLED REPUBLICANS, HARRIS TEAMS UP WITH CHENEY IN GOP BIRTHPLACE
How to vote in Nebraska
This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for Nebraska.
Voting by mail
Nebraska began absentee voting last month. Applicants do not need to provide an excuse to receive a ballot. The state must receive a ballot application by Oct. 25, and that ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.
Early in-person voting
Nebraska began early in-person voting on Oct. 7, and it will run through Nov. 4.
Voter registration
Nebraska residents can register to vote online or by mail through Oct. 18. They can register in-person through Oct. 25.
How to vote in New Hampshire
This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for New Hampshire.
Voting by mail
New Hampshire began absentee voting on Monday. Applicants will need to provide an excuse to receive a ballot. The state must receive a ballot application by Nov. 4, and that ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.
Early in-person voting
New Hampshire does not offer early in-person voting.
Voter registration
New Hampshire does not offer voter registration by mail or online. Residents can register to vote in-person on election day. Check the state’s website for more information.
How to vote in South Carolina
This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for South Carolina.
Voting by mail
South Carolina began absentee voting on Monday. Applicants will need to provide an excuse to receive a ballot. The state must receive a ballot application by Oct. 25, and that ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.
Early in-person voting
South Carolina will begin early in-person voting on Oct. 21, and it will run through Nov. 2.
Voter registration
South Carolina residents can register to vote online, in-person and by mail by Oct. 14.
How to vote in Texas
This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for Texas.
Voting by mail
Texas began absentee voting on Monday. Applicants will need to provide an excuse to receive a ballot. The state must receive a ballot application by Oct. 25, and that ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.
Early in-person voting
Texas will begin early in-person voting on Oct. 21, and it will run through Nov. 1.
Voter registration
Texas residents must have registered to vote by mail or in-person prior to Oct. 7. By-mail requests must be postmarked by Oct. 7.
Politics
Column: Cool weather, hot races forecast for November
Today we discuss cliff-hangers, the Founding Fathers and legerdemain.
Let’s get to it. Who’s going to win the presidential race?
I haven’t a clue.
So what good are you?
That’s a question readers ask all the time.
What can you say about the race?
The contest will come down to seven or so highly competitive states and, maybe, the one electoral vote in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, which is anchored in the Omaha-Council Bluffs metropolitan area.
The key states are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In short, the battlegrounds that determined the outcome of the 2020 election.
Why the same states over and over? Why not, say, California?
Pull up your chair for a quick civics refresher.
The presidential race is determined not by the winner of the popular vote but which candidate takes a majority — 270 votes — in the electoral college. Some might recollect that two of our last four presidents — George W. Bush and Donald Trump — claimed the White House despite losing the popular vote.
That’s outrageous!
Can’t help you there. Blame the country’s founders. They wrote the rule book.
Go on.
Most states, including the biggies like California, Texas, Florida and New York, are locked into their partisan preferences. (California and New York are solidly Democratic while Texas and Florida — once the nation’s premier swing state — lean Republican.)
Given those inclinations, Kamala Harris can pretty much bank on 226 electoral votes. Trump can count on 219. That leaves 93 up for grabs in those seven states.
What was that about Omaha?
Just about every state awards their electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis. Nebraska is one of two — Maine being the other — that has a hybrid system awarding some electoral votes to the winner of the statewide vote and others based on the winner of each congressional district.
There’s a not-inconceivable scenario in which Harris finishes with 269 electoral votes and needs the one vote from Nebraska to avoid a tie in the electoral college, which would send the election to the House to decide. In that case, Trump would almost certainly prevail, as each state’s delegation would have one vote and Republicans are expected to control more delegations than Democrats.
Wasn’t there a recent effort to boost Trump by changing the law in Nebraska?
Yes there was and it failed, thanks to a single upstanding Republican state senator from Omaha, Mike McDonnell, who refused to go along.
Which was a good thing.
Why is that?
If you thought 2020 was fraught — with all the wrangling over pandemic-induced changes to the balloting process — or consider the 2000 contest to have been divisive — with a partisan Supreme Court vote delivering the White House to George W. Bush after Florida effectively ended in a tie vote — imagine if this election was decided by some last-minute Republican sleight of hand.
What about control of Congress?
That also appears up for grabs, though Republicans have a distinct advantage in the fight for the Senate.
Because of that French word you used?
Legerdemain? No. Because of mathematics.
There are 34 Senate races across the country. Democrats are defending 23 seats, Republicans 11. Worse for Democrats, several of the seats they’re trying to hang onto are in states Trump carried in 2020 — several of them rather handily.
Right now, Democrats hold a bare Senate 51-49 majority, which includes four independents who caucus with them. The party has ceded West Virginia, where one of those independents, Joe Manchin III, is retiring and where Trump won by nearly 40 percentage points in 2020. That puts the Senate at 50-50. Democrats could keep control if they win the White House, since the vice president casts the tie-breaking vote. But that would require the party to win every one of the seats now being fiercely contested.
And how’s that going for Democrats?
Not bad — but maybe not good enough.
At the moment, Democrats appear to be holding their own in Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania. But Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin look to be much closer. And Democrat Jon Tester appears to be in grave danger in Montana, a state Trump carried four years ago by 16 percentage points. Tester has a history of winning tough races, but this one is his toughest yet.
So it’s all gravy for Republicans?
Pretty much.
Democrats would love to flip GOP-held seats in Texas and Florida and help take out Sen. Deb Fischer in Nebraska, where independent Dan Osborn is making a strong run.
But all three states are virtually certain to back Trump in November and it’s getting increasingly difficult for Senate candidates to swim against the partisan tide. In 2016, for the first time since the direct election of U.S. senators began a century earlier, every Senate race went the same way as the presidential contest; if Trump won a state, the seat went Republican. If Hillary Clinton prevailed, the seat went Democratic.
That pattern held in 2020 with the exception of Maine, where Joe Biden prevailed and Republican Susan Collins was reelected to her fifth term.
What about control of the House?
That’s also too close to call.
Republicans currently hold a razor-wafer-tissue-thin (your choice!) majority of just four seats. All 435 seats are on November’s ballot, but the fight for the majority will come down to roughly two dozen contests.
Several of those are in California, which has become one of the country’s prime congressional battlegrounds after voters in 2008 took the power to draw district lines away from self-interested lawmakers. Democrats hope to flip Republican-held seats in Orange County, the Central Valley, the L.A. suburbs and Palm Springs. They’re also on the offense in New York, where the GOP made significant gains in the 2022 midterm election.
But Republicans aren’t just hunkered down trying to preserve their bare majority. GOP targets include a handful of Democratic-held seats in California as well as incumbents in Colorado, New Mexico, Ohio, Pennsylvania and elsewhere.
What do the polls say?
Ignore ‘em. Even the best are nothing more than an educated guess. No one knows what’s going to happen.
Honest.
Instead of obsessing over the latest higgledy-piggledy, do something useful. If you’re undecided, do some research. If you’re committed to a candidate, and have the time and inclination, volunteer to knock on doors or make phone calls.
Above all, be sure to vote and do so in time to make certain your ballot is counted.
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