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A Democratic Super PAC’s Ad Buy Shows a Widening Battle for House Control

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A Democratic Super PAC’s Ad Buy Shows a Widening Battle for House Control

WASHINGTON — The Home Democrats’ major political motion committee is spending practically $102 million to order promoting spots in 50 media markets, from Bangor, Maine, to San Diego, Calif., a battlefield that’s significantly bigger and dearer than it was prior to now two congressional elections.

The breadth of the congressional map reveals the scope of Democrats’ worries about holding seats in midterm elections. Areas as soon as thought-about secure, like South Texas, higher Pittsburgh and Seattle will see Democratic promoting.

However Democrats can be taking part in some offense, too, particularly in California, the place redistricting has opened up Republican targets.

“We’re doing no matter it takes to carry the bulk, and there are alternatives throughout the map,” mentioned Abby Curran Horrell, the manager director of the Home Democrats’ political motion committee, generally known as Home Majority PAC, including, “We really feel assured concerning the races that we plan to play in.”

Her Republican counterpart, Dan Conston of the Congressional Management Fund, mentioned the massive expenditure is an indication of weak point and an admission that inflation, rising crime charges and an unpopular Democratic president is not going to solely value Democrats swing districts but in addition make some districts President Biden gained handily fiercely aggressive.

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“I feel they consider they’ve already misplaced the bulk,” he mentioned. “That is about staving off losses in some deep blue, historically Democratic areas.”

The spending comes at the same time as redistricting has shriveled the variety of districts thought-about aggressive primarily based on election leads to 2020. Home district maps gerrymandered by each events have left fewer than 40 seats — probably far fewer — that will have been intently divided between Republican and Democratic voters in 2020. However the brand new promoting reservations level to a map that has expanded far past these districts.

Wednesday’s reservations in 51 markets stand out, even in current historical past. In 2020, Home Majority PAC made preliminary promoting reservations in 29 media markets, with half the cash it’s spending Wednesday. Within the Democratic wave yr of 2018, $43 million was put down early for reservations in 33 markets.

Democrats holding swing seats will see promoting spent on their behalf. Among the many beneficiaries can be Representatives Jared Golden of Maine, Abigail Spanberger and Elaine Luria of Virginia, Cindy Axne of Iowa, Sharice Davids of Kansas, Angie Craig of Minnesota and Elissa Slotkin of Michigan.

However with Mr. Biden’s approval rankings hovering close to 40 %, Home Majority PAC is reserving promoting time to defend some entrenched Democratic incumbents, whose political holds are weakened not simply by the president however by newly drawn districts. Consultant Sanford Bishop, as an example, has represented a swath of southern Georgia since 1993. But the PAC is reserving $2.6 million of advert area in three media markets to spice up his re-election.

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A member of the Kildee household has represented the world round Flint, Mich., for 45 years — first Dale Kildee, then his nephew Dan, who took the seat practically a decade in the past. However new district traces and a stiff political headwind have pressured Home Majority PAC to make a hefty promoting reservation of greater than $1 million to attempt to save the youthful Kildee’s Home profession. Media stations in Wilkes-Barre, Pa., will get greater than $1.7 million because the PAC tries to avoid wasting Consultant Matt Cartwright, one other veteran.

In Colorado, the final a number of elections appeared to show the districts round Boulder and Denver right into a dependable shade of blue. However redistricting and the retirement of Consultant Ed Perlmutter have prompted Home Majority PAC to pony up $4.4 million within the Denver media market to defend the state’s seventh and eighth districts.

And the marked motion of Hispanic voters towards the Republican Occasion is forcing Democratic spending in South Texas to attempt to safe two Home districts that stretch from the as soon as reliably Democratic Rio Grande Valley to San Antonio and its suburbs.

Democrats are additionally making ready to spend huge to stave off defeats in Southern California, focusing their defenses on Representatives Katie Porter and Mike Levin.

The promoting reservations additionally present how painful it will likely be to defend the seats of the 31 Home Democrats who’ve introduced their retirements or are in search of different places of work. Tens of millions of {dollars} can be spent to avoid wasting the seats of Mr. Perlmutter and different retiring Democrats, together with Ron Form of Wisconsin, Ann Kirkpatrick of Arizona, Cheri Bustos of Illinois and G.Okay. Butterfield of North Carolina.

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The multitude of races in some states can also be difficult Democratic efforts. In Nevada, as an example, the place Democrats are attempting to carry onto the governorship, a Senate seat, and three Home seats, Home Majority PAC is shelling out $11.6 million in Las Vegas alone.

The promoting reservations should not all defensive. Thanks largely to California’s nonpartisan redistricting fee, Home races within the state could also be broad open affairs. The PAC is concentrating on Republican Representatives David Valadao, Mike Garcia and Michelle Metal, in addition to the seat vacated in December by Consultant Devin Nunes, one other Republican.

Ms. Horrell known as California a “jackpot.”

Ms. Horrell famous different alternatives may come up after pitched redistricting fights are settled in Florida, Ohio and Maryland.

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However, general, the promoting reservations present a Democratic Occasion on its heels. Early reservations ought to save Home Majority PAC cash as promoting prices rise nearer to the election. Earlier this month, Consultant Sean Patrick Maloney of New York, the chairman of the Democratic Congressional Marketing campaign Committee, mentioned that his largest fear is the sum of money being raised by outdoors Republican teams.

The $101.8 million being spent on Wednesday represents greater than double Home Majority PAC’s money readily available.

“It’s at all times a roll of the cube,” Ms. Horrell mentioned. However, she conceded, “we’re at all times going to wish extra.”

Shane Goldmacher contributed reporting.

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Disasters like Helene and Milton test leaders. Trump fails every time

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Disasters like Helene and Milton test leaders. Trump fails every time

In 2019, residents of Alabama were unnecessarily alarmed after then-President Trump incorrectly said Hurricane Dorian was headed their way. However, instead of acknowledging he made a mistake, Trump questioned the National Weather Service and showed Americans a falsified weather map — which is against the law.

Opinion Columnist

LZ Granderson

LZ Granderson writes about culture, politics, sports and navigating life in America.

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Today the former president is spewing lies about relief efforts and federal resources at a time when those affected by Hurricanes Helene and Milton need guidance and aid. State and local Republicans have asked him to stop, because apparently misinformation mucks up rescue and relief efforts. Of course, Trump doesn’t care so long as his lies also muck up the election.

What can I say? Same Trump, different year.

After he intentionally played down the threat of COVID-19 in those initial months of 2020, Trump said he purposefully misled the public to prevent panic. As a result, we were ill-prepared as a country. Our hospitals became quickly overrun, with people dying in school gyms and bodies held in refrigerated trucks as morgues overflowed.

The pandemic began with him lying to us about the severity of the virus. Four years later, and once again Trump’s instinct as a leader during a national crisis is to lie to the American people and complain about “The View.”

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Elections have consequences. The first Trump term added $8.4 trillion to the national debt and forced rape victims to give birth after the overturning of Roe vs. Wade by Trump justices. If you flip through Project 2025, the plan conservatives put together to reshape the federal government under a second Trump administration, you’ll see that Round 2 would be much worse.

Trump would even make natural disasters worse.

The 2025 blueprint calls for chopping up and selling off large chunks of the federal government’s agency devoted to gathering data about weather — the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That’s where the National Hurricane Center is housed. The expert who suggested that Trump scrap this agency for parts, Thomas F. Gilman, was a lifer in the automobile industry before joining Trump’s Commerce Department in 2019, the same year Trump redrew the route of a hurricane with a Sharpie.

Project 2025 sets out to replace tens of thousands of experienced civil servants who have relevant expertise with political appointees who are first loyal to Trump — people like Gilman. If you’re still wondering how bad that could be, consider that while the nation was bracing for Hurricane Milton — on the heels of Hurricane Helene — one of Trump’s allies, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), used her platform to tell Americans “they” control the weather.

She didn’t say who “they” are, how “they” are doing it or what House Republicans would do to stop … “they.” It sounds nonsensical because it is. But do not conflate nonsensical with inconsequential. Elections have consequences.

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Greene might believe 9/11 was a hoax, but Republicans who know better placed her on the Homeland Security Committee to appease Trump. The committee’s official website states that it was formed “in 2002 in the aftermath of September 11, 2001,” and yet GOP leadership put a denier on the panel to appease someone who they know is lying about hurricane relief efforts right now. Loyalty to Trump is the only currency that matters to some of these people. Not expertise, not traditional conservative values, not integrity.

That’s how the party of Lincoln has sadly become the party that responds to national emergencies by scapegoating others: claiming “they” control the weather; “they” are eating pets; “they” are paid actors rather than traumatized survivors of a school shooting. To this day, House Speaker Mike Johnson refuses to say who won the 2020 election. Instead when reporters ask, he accuses them of hurling “gotcha questions” at him, which may be good for his relationship with Trump but doesn’t help the country in any way.

All of which brings me here: For more than 50 years, since Richard M. Nixon faced off against John F. Kennedy, televised debates have been a benchmark in presidential politics. With Trump at the center of attention, the first Republican primary debate of 2016 gave Fox the most-watched nonsports event in cable history. The second debate also brought high ratings. Trump didn’t start skipping debates in the primary until Fox News announced it would be using video of previous appearances to hold candidates accountable for their words.

That’s why he and his running mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio), oppose fact-checking during debates and interviews. Accountability is why Trump avoided debating Ambassador Nikki Haley during the 2024 primary. It’s why he got into a fight with journalists at a news conference this past summer. It’s why he’s afraid to debate Vice President Kamala Harris again.

When a businessman is accustomed to escaping consequences for his misdeeds by filing for bankruptcy as often as Trump has, I can see why he’d be uncomfortable with being held accountable.

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However, a president or candidate doesn’t get to avoid accountability any more than the country can escape the consequences of an election. Trump’s lies in office did damage. His lies today are hurting people who need help. And no one should be surprised: In every crisis, Trump has shown himself to be a liar, not a leader.

@LZGranderson

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Video: Vance Refuses to Acknowledge That Trump Lost the 2020 Election

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Video: Vance Refuses to Acknowledge That Trump Lost the 2020 Election

“In the debate, you were asked to clarify if you believe Trump lost the 2020 election. Do you believe he lost the 2020 election?” “I think that Donald Trump and I have both raised a number of issues with the 2020 election, but we’re focused on the future. I think there’s an obsession here with focusing on 2020. I’m much more worried about what happened after 2020, which is a wide-open border, groceries that are unaffordable. And look—” “Senator, yes or no? Did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?” “Let me ask you a question. Is it OK that big technology companies censored the Hunter Biden laptop story, which independent analysis have said cost Donald Trump millions of votes?” “Senator Vance, I’m going to ask you again, did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?” “Did big technology companies censor a story that independent studies have suggested would have cost Trump millions of votes? I think that’s the question.” “Senator Vance, I’m going to ask you again. Did Donald Trump lose the 2020 election?” “And I’ve answered your question with another question. You answer my question and I’ll answer yours.” “I have asked this question repeatedly. It is something that is very important for the American people to know. There is no proof, legal or otherwise, that Donald Trump did not lose the 2020 election.” “You’re repeating a slogan rather than engaging with what I’m saying, which is that when our own technology firms engage in industrial scale censorship, by the way, backed up by the federal government, in a way that independent studies suggest affect the votes, I’m worried about Americans who feel like there were problems in 2020. I’m not worried about this slogan that people throw, ‘Well, every court case went this way.’ I’m talking about something very discrete: a problem of censorship in this country that I do think affected things in 2020, and more importantly, that led to Kamala Harris’s governance, which has screwed this country up in a big way.” “Senator, would you have certified the election in 2020, yes or no?” “I’ve said that I would have voted against certification because of the concern that I just raised. I think that when you have technology companies—” “The answer is no.” “When you have technology companies censoring Americans at a mass scale in a way that, again, independent studies have suggested affect the vote, I think that it’s right to protest against that, to criticize that. And that’s a totally reasonable thing.” “So the answer is no. And the last question, will you support the election results this time and commit to a peaceful transfer of power?” “Well, first of all, of course we commit to a peaceful transfer of power. We are going to have a peaceful transfer of power. I, of course, believe that peaceful transfer of power is going to make Donald Trump the next president of the United States. But if there are problems, of course, in the same way that Democrats protested in 2004 and Donald Trump raised issues in 2020, we’re going to make sure that this election counts, that every legal ballot is counted. We’ve filed almost 100 lawsuits at the R.N.C. to try to ensure that every legal ballot has counted. I think you would maybe criticize that. We see that as an important effort to ensure election integrity, but certainly we’re going to respect the results in 2024. And I feel very confident they’re going to make Donald Trump the next president.

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Hunter Biden legal saga is ‘real war’ that 'preoccupied' outgoing president, new Woodward book claims

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Hunter Biden legal saga is ‘real war’ that 'preoccupied' outgoing president, new Woodward book claims

President Joe Biden’s decision to exit the presidential race in July was motivated in no small part by the high-profile struggles that plagued his son, Hunter Biden, in the final years of his first term — leaving him with a “crushing” sense of guilt that those close to the outgoing president say plagued him more than the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.

In his new book, “War,” famed Watergate reporter Bob Woodward offers readers an intimate look inside both the Trump and Biden presidencies at some of their most vulnerable moments; offering a rare, split-screen view into the thinking of two very different leaders as they stared down some of the biggest foreign policy challenges and security risks in modern memory. 

Fox News obtained an early copy of the book ahead of its release next week. 

Woodward’s book captures the more intimate moments of both presidencies, as well. For Biden, this includes the aftermath of his disastrous performance at the first presidential debate in June — watched by an estimated 51 million people — and the torrent of pressure it unleashed within the Democratic Party for Biden to exit the race. 

Among party leaders and donors, it crystallized long-held fears that Biden, 81, was no longer fit to hold his own in a second match-up against Donald Trump. Their panic was matched only by their sense of urgency and the ticking clock they had to select a suitable nominee.

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BIDEN WON’T PARDON HUNTER, WHITE HOUSE REAFFIRMS, BUT CRITICS AREN’T SO SURE

President Joe Biden and former U.S. President Donald Trump during the first presidential debate.  (Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

As Woodward reports, Biden struggled mightily to accept that consensus — first, by attempting to brush off his catastrophic performance as a bad night and an event he could recover from in the months ahead. The tsunami of pressure on him to drop out only got stronger.

In fact, according to Woodward, Biden was leaning in the direction of staying in the race on July 4, when he met with Secretary of State Antony Blinken for a private lunch. Blinken, who had shown up to the lunch prepared for a difficult conversation, told Woodward that Biden still believed he could win a second term as president — a title he had chased all his life and finally achieved. 

In his telling, among the factors ultimately driving his decision to bow out was the scrutiny and legal troubles surrounding his son Hunter.

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The toll his son’s troubles had taken was apparent when the two met, Woodward reports. Blinken, in his telling, spoke frankly to Biden about dropping out. “I don’t want to see your legacy jeopardized,” he said. 

’60 MINUTES’ DEFENDS HANDLING OF HUNTER BIDEN LAPTOP COVERAGE AS IT HITS TRUMP FOR SKIPPING INTERVIEW

Biden and son Hunter on DNC stage

President Biden hugs his son Hunter Biden during the Democratic National Convention Monday, Aug. 19, 2024, in Chicago.  (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

Sensing little headway, Blinken then tried a different approach. “Do you really want to be doing this for the next four years?” he asked.

Biden’s first term included overseeing the U.S. recovery from a global pandemic, the first war on European soil since World War II, and the start of Israel’s wars in Gaza and Lebanon. Each day was charged with turmoil and lasting consequence. And yet, those close to Biden say it was his younger son, Hunter Biden, whose struggles seemed to weigh most heavily on the president.

Hunter’s troubles are described in the book as Biden’s “real war”: a constant source of preoccupation for the president, who was constantly fighting against his fatherly instincts to protect his son, his “beautiful boy,” as he called him — and to reconcile the deep sense of guilt he felt, in knowing his presidency had been a driving factor behind much of the scrutiny surrounding his son.

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POLITICAL STORM: ON TRUMP ‘ONSLAUGHT OF LIES,’ BIDEN URGES FORMER PRESIDENT TO ‘GET A LIFE, MAN’

Hunter Biden, Jill Biden, and Melissa Cohen Biden leaving court

Hunter Biden, accompanied by his mother, first lady Jill Biden, and his wife, Melissa Cohen Biden, exit federal court in  Wilmington, Del. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

For Biden, this knowledge left him “heartbroken” and affected him more than the major crises playing out abroad in Europe and the Middle East, sources told Woodward. These things took the president “off an even keel,” preoccupied him and taken “a lot out of him” in recent years. 

In describing the president’s inner turmoil to Woodward, Blinken himself teared up, thinking of his own relationships with two young children.

Biden, Blinken explained, “desperately” wanted to pull Hunter “out of the abyss” — to reel him in, to protect him — but his attempts and best efforts had failed.

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The book does not detail the extent to which Hunter’s legal woes and investigations were directly involved in the president’s decision to step down, which was likely the result of myriad factors, internal party pressures, and deeply personal considerations. The White House did not respond to Fox News’s request for comment on the matter.

The book offers an unflinching look at one of the president’s most emotionally difficult struggles, one which staying in the race would have ultimately exacerbated. 

“War” will be out on bookstore shelves October 15.

Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub.

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