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China reverses roles in arms trade with Russia

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China reverses roles in arms trade with Russia

For practically 30 years, Russia has been enabling China’s rise as a army energy. Russian weapons producers have provided the Individuals’s Liberation Military with missiles, helicopters and superior fighter jets to the tune of a median of $1.5bn a 12 months.

Now, the tide is popping. As reported by the Monetary Occasions this month, Russia has requested army help from China to take care of its invasion of Ukraine. In accordance with intelligence the US shared with allies, Russia requested provides together with surface-to-air missiles, drones, intelligence-related gear and armoured and logistics autos.

Arms commerce specialists mentioned that if these requests had been made after the beginning of the warfare, the procuring listing pointed to a army in dire want of primary assist. “Vehicles are one thing that Russia produces quite a lot of. In the event that they need to ask for that, that will inform you what unhealthy situation their armed forces are in,” mentioned Siemon Wezeman, an arms commerce specialist on the Stockholm Worldwide Peace Analysis Institute.

Each governments have denied that Moscow made a request for Chinese language help with army gear for its Ukraine warfare.

Such assist would mark a task reversal in China’s long-running defence commerce relationship with Russia, and one which analysts mentioned would spotlight a broader change already beneath means within the bilateral energy dynamics.

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Sipri’s arms transfers database, which tracks offers from 1950 to 2021, information scores of Russian weapons exports to China, with none going the opposite means. However China is clearly outgrowing its conventional reliance on Russian for provides of superior arms.

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China over the previous twenty years has more and more manufactured beneath licence defence merchandise it traditionally purchased from Russia. Such licensing offers helped China develop the flexibility to construct its personal frigates, plane carriers and superior fighters — and even their vastly advanced engines — as a substitute of counting on Russia suppliers.

Extra lately, China has shipped some arms elements to Russia.

If China meets Russia’s latest gear requests, it could be the primary time it has provided arms to Russia as army help, however not the primary it has executed in order “a part of regular military-technical co-operation”, mentioned Alexander Korolev, an skilled on the China-Russia safety relationship on the College of New South Wales in Sydney.

Vassily Kashin, a number one skilled on the Chinese language military-industrial advanced on the Russian Academy of Sciences, advised Russian media that China had exported a batch of Haval off-road autos for driving command personnel in addition to drone elements and naval engines.

Korolev mentioned Moscow was shopping for the naval engines for Russian coastguard ships and for its Buyan class missile corvettes from Henan Diesel Engine Trade Co to exchange MTU model engines made by Energy Methods, a German enterprise division of Rolls-Royce. In accordance with Waimaobang, a Chinese language exterior commerce database, marine energy plant producer Henan Diesel Engine Trade Co has accomplished greater than 300 transactions with Russian prospects.

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An internet announcement by a Chinese language firm buying and selling in diesel engines suggests such shipments began as early as 2017.

“Russia [has also been] taken with procuring manufacturing know-how of space-grade, radiation-resistant digital elements from the state-owned China Aerospace Science and Trade Company for Russian weapons,” Korolev mentioned.

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Different Russian analysts have identified that China is best positioned than Russia to provide some weapons as a result of its armed forces purchase bigger portions of refined objects comparable to naval ships, and it has a stronger manufacturing sector.

Nonetheless, defence specialists believed it was unlikely that the Russian authorities would enable the nation to develop depending on Chinese language arms provides.

“Russia has been very targeted on being self-reliant for weapons and there may be an virtually cultural resistance about treating China as an equal,” Wezeman mentioned. “They must overcome their pleasure.”

Previously, Russia sourced some elements for its weapons programs in Europe. However Moscow tried to get rid of any reliance on overseas suppliers from its military-industrial advanced after it was focused by western sanctions in 2014 over its annexation of Crimea and fomenting a proxy separatist warfare in jap Ukraine.

Throughout the identical interval, co-operation with China on army and dual-use programs elevated. “There are joint initiatives in satellite tv for pc navigation going again to 2015,” mentioned Korolev.

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China’s Beidou and Russia’s Glonass satellite tv for pc programs are anticipated to make use of the identical sign and the international locations plan to co-operate in creating functions. The joint satellite tv for pc communication system is believed to have the ability to compete with the US-backed Iridium community, Korolev mentioned.

Russian president Vladimir Putin in 2019 additionally revealed that the international locations had been co-operating on the event of superior weapons programs, together with missile defence. Furthermore, Moscow has expressed curiosity within the Yilong, a Chinese language military-use reconnaissance drone also called the Pterodactyl.

A Chinese Yilong II unmanned reconnaissance-strike drone on display at an air show in Guangdong Province in September 2021
A Chinese language Yilong II unmanned reconnaissance-strike drone on show at an air present in Guangdong Province in September 2021 © Chen Xiao/VCG/Getty Photographs

However, pointing to the Russian army’s shortcomings in reconnaissance throughout their Ukraine marketing campaign, analysts mentioned business drones had been the most certainly merchandise China may usefully provide shortly.

“Small, super-short vary drones of the sort you should purchase in toy retailers may already assist them as a result of they’ll simply look across the nook and people are utilized by the People and Europeans by the lots of,” Wezeman mentioned.

He mentioned that it was possible that “ultimately” a drone produced in China however operated by the Russian army could be found in Ukraine.

“You can’t cover that as a result of ultimately, one will come down. What you’ll be able to cover on this case is Chinese language authorities involvement as a result of these are business merchandise that don’t want an export licence,” he mentioned.

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Boeing to cut 17,000 jobs and delay 777X jet as revenues fall short

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Boeing to cut 17,000 jobs and delay 777X jet as revenues fall short

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Boeing will cut about 17,000 jobs and delay the first delivery of its 777X jet as the plane maker confronts deepening losses and the effects of a weekslong strike by its largest labour union.

Chief executive Kelly Ortberg announced the cuts, equivalent to 10 per cent of its workforce, in a message to staff on Friday. “Our business is in a difficult position, and it is hard to overstate the challenges we face together,” he said.

Financial troubles have escalated at Boeing since the start of the year, when a door panel blew off one of its 737 Max jets on a passenger flight. Regulators demanded a slowdown in manufacturing to fix quality problems, which reduced the amount of cash flowing into the company.

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Last month, 33,000 workers walked out of Boeing plants in Washington state after members of the machinists’ union overwhelmingly rejected a new contract. The work stoppage halted production of the company’s 767 and 777 planes, further cutting revenue, putting strain on its suppliers and customers.

The debt rating agency S&P this week warned of a possible downgrade of Boeing’s bonds to junk status. Analysts expect the company to look to raise at least $10bn in new equity to shore up its financial position.

In a separate statement after the market closed on Friday, Boeing warned investors that its third-quarter results, which are due on October 23, would “recognise impacts” related to the strike as well as charges in both its commercial and defence divisions.

The company said it had $10.5bn in cash and marketable securities at the end of September after burning through $1.3bn in cash during the quarter. Losses for the period totalled nearly $10 per share, in part reflecting pre-tax charges of $5bn in the quarter, including $3bn on the 777X and 767 commercial plane programmes and $2bn for its defence, space and security business.

Boeing said revenues for the quarter would come in at $17.8bn, a figure that would fall short of analysts’ expectations by about 3 per cent.

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Ortberg, a former CEO of avionics manufacturer Rockwell Collins, was appointed in late July to replace Dave Calhoun. He arrived soon after Boeing had pleaded guilty to misleading US regulators about a flight control system that caused two fatal crashes of the 737 Max in 2018 and 2019.

Boeing continues to face federal investigations over the 737 Max accident on an Alaska Airlines flight in January, which killed no passengers but led to new questions about quality control inside the company.

The machinists strike came after union members turned down a 30 per cent pay increase offered by the company. In an attempt to conserve cash, Boeing had begun stopping purchase orders with suppliers, freezing new hiring and furloughing tens of thousands of employees.

Ortberg said that, because of the planned job cuts, the company would not proceed with the next round of furloughs. The International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers union did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Boeing needed “to reset our workforce levels to align with our financial reality and to a more focused set of priorities”, he said, adding that the cuts would include executives, managers and employees. Boeing had 171,000 employees at the end of 2023.

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Ortberg announced that first delivery of Boeing’s 777X jet — which was first due to enter commercial service in 2020 — would be delayed again, from 2025 to 2026.

Boeing shares were down about 1.7 per cent in after-hours trading.

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How one woman is seeking atonement this year during Yom Kippur

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How one woman is seeking atonement this year during Yom Kippur

A man throws bread into a creek in Boulder, Colorado as part of a tashlich ceremony, which involves symbolically casting away sins.

Jeremy Papasso/Digital First Media/Boulder Daily Camera via Getty Images


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Jeremy Papasso/Digital First Media/Boulder Daily Camera via Getty Images

In the fall of 2021, 67-year-old Nancy Piness couldn’t bring herself to pick up the phone and call her friend, even though they had known each other for decades.

Earlier that year, they had something of a falling out. There was no one terrible thing that happened, but over the years they had disagreements, differences of opinion and tension. One day, it just became too much and they stopped talking.

“I deliberately avoided her street,” Piness said. “I deliberately hoped I wouldn’t run into her at the grocery store.”

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This time of year, Piness thinks about her friend a lot.

That’s because Friday night marks the beginning of Yom Kippur (the Day of Atonement) — the holiest day of the Jewish year. It’s observed with fasting, prayer and deep introspection.

“Yom Kippur is seen as this really special window where if you express an actual regret and you ask to be absolved, then God will absolve anything — literally anything,” explains Rabbi Chana Leslie Glazer, interim rabbi at a congregation in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania.

“There is one little caveat, though. If you don’t make right with the other people that you’ve hurt, then that can’t be forgiven,” said Glazer.

This idea is central to the Jewish High Holidays. And in the weeks leading up to Yom Kippur, many Jews try to repair broken relationships.

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“There are a lot of people who will go around,” said Glazer, ”writing up a list of all the people that they need to ask forgiveness from and that they want to apologize to.”

But this process requires preparation.

One way this is done is through a service called selichot, which happens within the week before the Jewish New Year (Rosh Hashanah). The word selichot means pardons, and the service is designed to help one reflect on the ways in which they’ve fallen short in the past year.

For the sins we have committed

On a humid Saturday night in northwest Washington, DC a small group of congregants gather together at Temple Micah. Nancy Piness was one of them.

Standing in a circle, they lit a braided candle, sipped from a ceremonial cup of wine, smelled sweet spices and recited the blessings that mark the ending of Shabbat. Then they filed into the sanctuary, and began the selichot service.

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One of the prayers they recited is the Al Chet — a communal confession of sins which is said many times over the course of the High Holidays. It pairs with another prayer called Ashamnu, in which many congregants clench their right hand in a fist and pound their heart as they recite each sin.

This is the fourth High Holiday season that Piness has been out of regular contact with her friend, who isn’t Jewish. This year, she finally feels ready to have a conversation. And she’s been thinking a lot about what she’ll say.

“I can tell it’s emotional now and I can feel the lump in my throat and I may burst into tears, which she doesn’t always understand,” said Piness. When she finally picks up the phone to call or text, she said her message will be something like: “Too much time has gone by. I miss you. And I hope we can find some time soon to talk.”

Forgiveness is a process

The Jewish philosopher Maimonides outlined four steps that make up the process of seeking atonement or forgiveness. Glazer explains that the first step is to recognize the improper action and stop. Second, to verbally confess. Third, to genuinely regret the action. And the fourth is to make sure not to do it again.

For years, Piness was stuck between those steps.

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“I could be in services for hours on end and think about things. But I’m a feeler, and I’m a doer. And it’s time to act,” said Piness.

So this year, she finally did reach out.

“I was anxious,” said Piness. “I was really anxious. And I didn’t want to pick up the phone and call because she’s not a phone person. And so I texted.”

She asked how her friend was doing and if they could talk in person.

“She wrote back minutes later. And she said, ‘Hi Nancy — thank you for being in touch. I’m willing to get together, but right now I’m the one with too many things going on.’”

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Piness plans to sit down with her friend, as soon as they both can. But she knows there’s still a lot of work to do, and it won’t be done before Yom Kippur begins at sundown on Friday. 

Glazer advises a lot of people who are having trouble making amends, and who may feel pressure to do it on deadline around Yom Kippur.

“We talk about at the end of Yom Kippur that it’s the closing of the gates and that’s the end of your window. And that’s more meant to inspire people to really think deeply, as deeply as they possibly can about what they’ve done and to really go as far as they can with it,” Glazer said.

“But also it’s important to understand that if you don’t quite get all the way there by the end of Yom Kippur, it’s perfectly fine to go in later and do the rest of your work.”

Piness is relieved that even though things aren’t completely resolved, at least she’s taken these first steps.

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How a Fox News host’s misleading question about migrant children morphed into a Trump talking point

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How a Fox News host’s misleading question about migrant children morphed into a Trump talking point

Former President Donald J. Trump and his surrogates have repeatedly accused the Biden administration of losing tens of thousands of migrant children, distorting, conflating and inflating government statistics.

The misleading claim, now a staple of Mr. Trump’s stump speeches, appears to have originated from Fox News and snowballed. Its evolution shows Mr. Trump’s penchant for exaggeration as well as his symbiotic relationship with the network.

June 2, 2024

Mr. Trump is interviewed on Fox News.

When the Fox News host Rachel Campos-Duffy told Mr. Trump that the Biden administration had “lost” 80,000 children, Mr. Trump expressed surprise at her ensuing question.

“Will you commit to finding those children?” she asked.

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“I haven’t been asked that question, but the answer is yes. It’s a simple answer,” Mr. Trump responded, adding: “Many of them are dead. They have done such a bad job.”

Ms. Campos-Duffy’s claim referred to migrant children who arrive at the border unaccompanied by adults. Under government protocols, the children, once apprehended by border officials, are placed in the care of the Health and Human Services Department’s refugee resettlement office. The office then releases the children to sponsors, sometimes family members, who undergo a background check. The New York Times reported last year that the office, which checks on the children via phone calls, was unable to reach 85,000 children, or about a third of cases, in 2021 and 2022. The Times did not report that the children were “lost,” but that they were more susceptible to exploitative and illegal working conditions.

June 6, 2024

Days later, Mr. Trump invokes the figure at a town hall in Phoenix.

Railing against President Biden’s border policies, Mr. Trump added once again that many children were now “dead” and “if it were me, it would be the biggest story.”

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In fact, when Mr. Trump was in office, his administration also tried to contact — and was also unable to reach — thousands of migrant children who had left the refugee office’s care. And there is no evidence that thousands of the children died under either Mr. Biden or Mr. Trump.

Under Mr. Trump, the Health and Human Services Department could not reach 19 percent of migrant children (about 1,500) who were placed with sponsors from October to December 2017, or 11.6 percent of children or their sponsors (about 9,200 calls) from August 2018 to December 2020. In comparison, a Biden administration official testified to Congress that 19 percent of the refugee office’s calls to the children or their sponsors went unanswered.

When Democrats accused the Trump administration of “losing” unaccompanied children, the health department said in 2018 that those claims were “completely false” and that sponsors “simply did not respond or could not be reached when this voluntary call was made.”

At the time, a Trump administration official said that there were various reasons sponsors or children might not pick up the phone. They may be hesitant to answer calls from unknown government agents, especially if they have unauthorized status or a fear of traffickers. Sponsors may also simply have different telephone numbers.

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June 7, 2024

Mr. Trump repeats the figure in an interview with Dr. Phil.

“We have 88,000 missing children. Now, can you imagine if that were Trump that had 88,000 missing children? 88,000. That’s a holocaust.”

July 9, 2024

Mr. Trump doubles the number
at a rally in Doral, Fla.

“The Biden-Harris administration has lost track of an estimated 150,000 children, many of whom have undoubtedly been raped, trafficked, killed or horribly abused.”

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Mr. Trump appeared to extrapolate this figure from government data showing that nearly 400,000 children had been placed with sponsors over the past four years. Assuming that the office was still unable to reach a third of them, that is equivalent to about 133,000 children.

Aug. 22, 2024

A month later, Mr. Trump distorts a new government report to inflate the number to 300,000 migrant children.

A report from the Department of Homeland Security’s inspector general provided Mr. Trump with new fodder. The report, released in mid-August, noted that out of some 448,000 unaccompanied migrant children placed into the custody of the refugee office from the 2019 to the 2023 fiscal years, about 32,000 children had failed to appear for their immigration hearings. Another 291,000 did not receive “notices to appear” in immigration court at all.

Again, these children were not “lost,” though the report chided immigration officials by noting that without an ability to monitor the location of the children, they were more susceptible to “trafficking, exploitation or forced labor.” Moreover, about half of that period — the 2019 and 2020 fiscal years, and part of the 2021 fiscal year — was during the Trump administration.

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Aug. 23, 2024

Mr. Trump campaigns in
Glendale, Ariz.

“According to a new D.H.S. report, Kamala Harris also lost, and this is impossible to believe, listen to this, 325,000 migrant children are gone. They’re missing. She allowed them to be trafficked into our country.”

Aug. 30, 2024

Mr. Trump speaks in
Johnstown, Pa.

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By now, the claim, updated with the inflated figure, has become a common refrain for Mr. Trump.

Sept. 13, 2024

Mr. Trump addresses a news conference in Ranchos Palos Verdes, Calif.

“Under this administration, 325,000 migrant children are missing, 325,000. In other words, take your biggest stadium in California and you could fill it up five or six times. Those are all missing children.”

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Sept. 29, 2024

Mr. Trump appears at
a rally in Erie, Pa.

“This is not even possible to believe. 325,000 migrant children are missing, many of whom have been trafficked and raped. As California attorney general, she lost them all.”

Oct. 1, 2024

Senator JD Vance repeats the number at the vice-presidential debate, but adds caveats.

Mr. Vance, Mr. Trump’s vice-presidential pick, advances the talking point on the national stage, though he uses more tempered language in claiming that the children have been “effectively lost.” He does not repeat Mr. Trump’s contention that “many” have died.

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Oct. 6, 2024

Mr. Trump, addressing supporters at a rally in Juneau, Wis., reverts to shorthand to refer to the number.

“She doesn’t mention how bad inflation was, how bad the 325,000 children that we just mention.”

Mr. Trump abbreviates the misleading claim into a simple two-word phrase: “325,000 children.” Like other phrases — “laptop from hell” or “$85 billion in equipment” — the shorthand suggests that his audience is now familiar with his distortions after months of repetition.

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