Illinois

Wisconsin-Green Bay (Green Bay) vs. Illinois – Chicago (UIC) Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 12-12-2023

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The Green Bay Phoenix (4-6, 1-1 Horizon) pay a visit to the Windy City and Credit Union 1 Arena on Tuesday to play the UIC Flames (6-3, 0-1 MVC). Green Bay was defeated by Western Illinois 68-59 on Saturday night and the Phoenix have lost two straight and three of the last four. UIC defeated Jacksonville State 55-49 on Saturday, snapping a two-game losing skid for the Flames. 

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Green Bay must score more points

Green Bay is scoring an average of only 63.0 points per game which is 349th in the nation. The Phoenix are shooting 44.4% overall and 31.6% from 3-point territory which are 198th and 254th respectively. Green Bay is making 65.4% of its free throws which is 316th. Noah Reynolds is leading Green Bay in scoring with an average of 17.3 points per game while shooting 48.3% overall but just 21.6% from downtown. Elijah Jones averages 9.4 points per game, which is second best, while shooting 59.7%. Reynolds is the leader in assists with an average of 5.1 dishes per game. Green Bay averages 11.8 assists and 13.0 turnovers per game.

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The Green Bay defense is holding its own, allowing an average of 66.2 points per game which is 72nd in the nation. Opponents are shooting 41.5% overall and 30.8% from 3-point land which are 125th and 109th respectively. Green Bay is averaging 34.2 rebounds per game, led by Jones with an average of 7.4 boards per game. Jones is the leader in blocked shots with an average of 0.6 per game and Amari Jedkins is the leader in steals with an average of 0.9 per contest.

UIC is playing well offensively, but it’s defense is one of the best

UIC is scoring an average of 72.2 points per game which is 243rd, while shooting 46.6% overall which is 109th and 34.4% from 3 point land which is 136th. The Flames are making 65% of their free throws which is a disappointing 321st. Isaiah Rivera is the leading scorer for UIC with an average of 15.8 points per game and the guard is shooting 55.6% overall and 51.3% from downtown. Toby Okani is the second leading scorer with an average at 12.4 points per game and shoots 45.1% overall and 32.0% from long distance. CJ Jones averages a team best 4.9 assists per game. UIC averages 14.1 assists and 13.9 turnovers per contest

UIC prides itself on a solid defense that is holding opponents to an average of only 61.1 points per game which is 13th best in the nation. Opponents are making only 37.4% of their field goal attempts which is 13th in the country and just 21.6% of their three-point attempts which is first in the nation. UIC is averaging 37.6 rebounds per game led by Okani with an average of 8.4 boards per game. Okani averages a team best 1.6 steals per contest and is the swat leader and rim protector with an average of 2.4 blocked shots per game.

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The UIC Flames will use their suffocating man to man defense to shut down Green Bay’s below average offense. UIC allows just 61.1 points per game which is 13th lowest in the nation. The Flames are allowing the 13th lowest field goal shooting percentage and the lowest three-point shooting percentage in the nation. On offense, UIC receives excellent shooting from Isaiah Rivera and Toby Okani and Okani cleans the boards well with a team best 8.4 rebounds per game and is also the rim protector swatting away 2.4 shots per game. Green Bay struggles to score, averaging only 63.0 points per game and will find it very difficult to score on a regular basis against the UIC defense. Green Bay’s defense is relatively strong at 66.2 points per game allowed but will not be enough to make up for how difficult it will be for the Green Bay offense to score against UIC. The Flames have covered the spread in seven of the last eight, while Green Bay is just 5-4 ATS in its last nine.

Prediction: UIC Flames

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 Green Bay and UIC are both defensive-minded teams as Green Bay is allowing an average of 66.2 points per game while scoring just 63.0 points per game and UIC has one of the best defenses in the nation allowing just 61.1 points per game. The total has finished under in six of Green Bay’s last nine games and in six of UIC’s last eight games. Green Bay has an adjusted tempo of just 64.5 which is 339th in the nation, while UIC is 172nd at 69.1, which produces fewer possessions for both teams.

Prediction: UNDER

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Written By
Kevin Vallego , “Kevin V.”

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin’s best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.

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