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Analysis | Celsius Crypto FOMO Proved Irresistible to Finance Pros Too

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Analysis | Celsius Crypto FOMO Proved Irresistible to Finance Pros Too
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One other day, one other blowup within the hype-driven world of cryptocurrency lending.

And this time there’s a cautionary story the place even refined bankers and pension funds had been weak to crypto’s Worry Of Lacking Out (FOMO) chasing unrealistic rewards within the unregulated world of “decentralized finance.”

Celsius Community Ltd.’s freezing of withdrawals, swaps and transfers on its platform Monday got here simply weeks after the $60 billion implosion of stablecoin Terra, and barely a day after Celsius boss Alex Mashinsky dismissed speak of halted withdrawals as “misinformation.”

Even earlier than promoting strain started to batter DeFi platforms, regulators had been ringing alarm bells on Celsius for a while. The platform, which in 2021 stated it had over $20 billion in crypto belongings and 1 million clients, was hit by actions from a number of US states amid scrutiny on whether or not interest-bearing crypto accounts ran afoul of securities legal guidelines.

With profitable yields of as much as 18%, these warnings had been simply ignored — whilst phrases clearly said that collateral posted on the platform is probably not recoverable within the occasion of chapter.

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But the FOMO that gained over punters appears to have additionally labored its magic on skilled financiers, too. 

These apparently unsustainable rewards appeared to sway these answerable for Quebec’s 420 billion Canadian-dollar ($326.7 billion) pension fund, which along with venture-capital agency WestCap Group led a $400 million funding valuing Celsius at $3 billion final 12 months — even after the US warnings. 

To not point out the transfer by Royal Financial institution of Canada’s former chief monetary officer, Rod Bolger, to take up the identical place at Celsius in February — changing an government who was suspended after his arrest in Israel in reference to suspected fraud. (He rejected the allegations.) 

The official view from the Caisse de Depot et Placement du Quebec (CDPQ) on the time of its reported $150 million funding was that this was a wager on the disruptive potential of blockchain know-how — or, because the Quebecois say, “les chaines de blocs.”

These rewards appear to have drowned out the dangers of DeFi’s bank-like merchandise that lack bank-like oversight. Such dangers embrace the panic spiral of falling costs, compelled promoting and bank-run-style lack of confidence that might stretch a lending enterprise to the restrict.

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And the thrill of what CPDQ referred to as a hunt for a crypto “diamond within the tough” additionally appears to have relegated US fears over Celsius to the background.

Now, to be clear, it’s simple to criticize in hindsight. That is solely a drop within the ocean of the crypto market, which exceeded $3 trillion in November however slipped beneath $1 trillion Monday. (Bloomberg Opinion has reached out to the CDPQ and WestCap for remark.)

Nonetheless, even in calmer instances, Mashinsky’s personal description of Celsius’s enterprise mannequin final 12 months confirmed the strain to maintain swinging for the fence: With greater than 100,000-115,000 bitcoin held in return for 6-7% rates of interest, the platform had to generate 6,000-7,000 bitcoin “simply to interrupt even” with clients, he defined — therefore enlargement into Bitcoin mining, a capex-heavy and aggressive enterprise, and plans for a bank card.

For a pension fund unable or unwilling to instantly contact cryptocurrencies, this sort of enterprise might need appeared like an best “picks and shovels” play — particularly at a time of low rates of interest. However even then, solely after gulping a good quantity of blockchain Kool-Help and ignoring the rumblings of concern from watchdogs. 

As for Bolger’s personal view of his transfer to Celsius as CFO, it consists of pleasure in “a world-class danger administration group” utilizing practices “just like different giant monetary establishments” — and in addition a healthy dose of optimism that crypto lending reduces “limitations” to finance. None of that’s on show at this time.

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He wouldn’t be the primary banker to be tempted by the lure of crypto riches: The prospect of fewer regulatory constraints and extra money has seen loads of finance employees swap jobs. The employees flows from banks to fintech companies between 2020 and 2022 are revealing, such because the 37 Goldman Sachs Group Inc. workers who moved to Coinbase International Inc.

At the same time as crypto dominoes topple, the strain on banks and funds to clamber onto the crypto and DeFi practice gained’t go away simply: JPMorgan Chase & Co. needs to convey “trillions of {dollars}” of belongings into DeFi, and PWC’s annual crypto hedge fund report this 12 months discovered greater than 40% of funds used borrowing and lending to juice returns — maybe one purpose why Mike Novogratz thinks two-thirds of crypto hedge funds will fail.

But the irony now’s that as regulators sift via the wreckage, they’ll search to make DeFi look extra like banking — with the upper prices, decrease income and elevated box-ticking that means. ING Groep NV economist Teunis Brosens says of Celsius: “If this doesn’t illustrate why crypto regulation is welcome, I don’t know what does.”

When the primary banker strikes again to TradFi from DeFi, we’ll have Quebec’s pensioners to thank.

Extra From Bloomberg Opinion:

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• Crypto’s Worth Comes From Crypto’s Volatility: Tyler Cowen

• Matt Levine’s Cash Stuff: Crypto, Clearing and Credit score

• When Crypto’s Tulipmania Meets The Actual Financial system: Lionel Laurent

This column doesn’t essentially replicate the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its house owners.

Lionel Laurent is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist protecting digital currencies, the European Union and France. Beforehand, he was a reporter for Reuters and Forbes.

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Investors eye PCE, Costco shares under pressure: Yahoo Finance

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Investors eye PCE, Costco shares under pressure: Yahoo Finance

Wall Street is digesting this morning’s release of the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. Meanwhile, Costco (COST) shares are under pressure following the wholesale retail giant’s latest quarterly results. Despite recent increases in membership fees, the company fell short of sales expectations. Yahoo Finance’s trending tickers include BlackBerry Limited (BB), SuperMicro Computer (SMCI), and Coinbase (COIN).

Key guests include:
9:05 a.m. ET : Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Managing Director and Economist
9:30 a.m. ET Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones Senior Investment Strategist
10:15 a.m. ET Rich Lesser, BCG Global Chair
10:45 a.m. ET Stuart Kaiser, Citi Head of U.S. Equity Trading Strategy
11:30 a.m. ET Ed Hallen, Klaviyo Chief Product Officer & Co-Founder

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Biodiversity still a low consideration in international finance: Report

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Biodiversity still a low consideration in international finance: Report

Biodiversity-related projects have seen an increase in international funding in recent years, but remain a low priority compared to other development initiatives, according to a new report from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

The report found total official development finance (ODF) for such projects grew from $7.3 billion in 2015 to $15.4 billion in 2022. That’s still less than what the nearly 200 governments that signed the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) in December 2022 agreed would be needed to halt biodiversity loss: at least $20 billion annually by 2025, and $30 billion annually by 2030.

Government funding made up the bulk of the ODF for biodiversity-related projects in the OECD report, which is welcome news, Campaign for Nature (CfN), a U.S.-based advocacy group, said in a statement.

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“We welcome the increase in international biodiversity finance reported in 2022 but that good news is tempered by a range of concerns,” Mark Opel, finance lead at CfN, told Mongabay.

One concern, CfN notes, is that funding specifically for biodiversity as a principal objective declined from $4.6 billion in 2015 to $3.8 billion in 2022. CfN reviewed hundreds of projects from 2022, which formed the source for the OECD’s report, and found that many either had vague descriptions or focused on other policies like agriculture but were counted toward protecting or restoring nature.

“We need to see more emphasis on funding with a primary focus on biodiversity,” Opel said. “So-called ‘principal’ funding that has biodiversity as its primary goal continues to be down since its 2015 peak. Increases in this type of funding are essential to meet the goals of the GBF … These goals cannot be met through funding with biodiversity as only a ‘significant’ goal that mainstreams biodiversity into projects with other primary goals like humanitarian aid or agriculture.”

The report also found that funding for biodiversity-related activities represent just 2-7% of the total ODF portfolio.

“It is concerning that biodiversity considerations still represent a relatively low share of the total official development assistance,” Markus Knigge, executive director of Germany-based nonprofit foundation Blue Action Fund, told Mongabay. He added it was also problematic that most funding came via loans, which have to be repaid, rather than grants, which are often more appropriate for conservation finance.

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CfN says grants are preferable to loans because they don’t add to the debt burden of low-income recipient countries.

At the same time, development funding from major donors such as Germany, France, EU institutions, the U.S. and Japan have been cut in recent years.

“We have seen minimal announcements of new international biodiversity finance since [the GBF signing],” Opel said. “We estimate that only the equivalent of $162 million annually has been pledged since [then], which doesn’t come close to filling the $4.6 billion gap between the $15.4 billion in 2022 and the $20 billion commitment in 2025.”

Banner image: Javan lutung by Rhett A. Butler/Mongabay.

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30-year mortgage rate hits 2-year low

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30-year mortgage rate hits 2-year low

The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was nearly unchanged this week but reached its lowest level in two years.

Thirty-year mortgage rates averaged 6.08% as of Thursday, down from 6.09% a week earlier, according to Freddie Mac data.

Average 15-year mortgage rates rose one basis point to 5.16%.

As mortgage rates hover around 6%, potential buyers are tiptoeing back into the market, and some homeowners who bought when interest rates topped 7% are weighing refinancing. Mortgage applications jumped to the highest level in more than two years last week, driven largely by refinancing volumes.

“Given the downward trajectory of rates, refinance activity continues to pick up, creating opportunities for many homeowners to trim their monthly mortgage payment,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a statement. “Meanwhile, many looking to purchase a home are playing the waiting game to see if rates decrease further as additional economic data is released over the next several weeks.”

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Thirty-year mortgage rates have dropped more than a percentage point since May.

Read more: Mortgage and refinance rates today, September 26, 2024: Rates finally decrease

The Pending Home Sales Index, a measure of housing contract activity, rose 0.6% to 70.6 in August, improving slightly from July’s record-low reading, according to the National Association of Realtors. A level of 100 is equal to the amount of contract activity seen in 2001.

“Buyers are finally getting more comfortable with the rate,” said Selma Hepp, chief economist at real estate data provider CoreLogic. “I don’t think that’s going to mean a big boost for home sales this year given how low they’ve been so far, but still, it’s a little bit of improvement.”

Claire Boston is a senior reporter for Yahoo Finance covering housing, mortgages, and home insurance.

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