Business
China Outlines Plan to Stabilize Economy in Crucial Year for Xi
BEIJING — Plowing previous international anxieties over the battle engulfing Ukraine, China set its financial system on a course of regular growth for 2022, prioritizing development, job creation and elevated social welfare in a 12 months when the nationwide chief, Xi Jinping, is poised to assert a brand new time period in energy.
The annual authorities work report delivered to China’s Nationwide Folks’s Congress by Premier Li Keqiang on Saturday didn’t even point out Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and it took an implacably steady-as-it-goes tone on China’s financial outlook.
The implicit message seemed to be that China might climate the turbulence in Europe, and would concentrate on attempting to maintain the Chinese language inhabitants at dwelling contented and employed earlier than an all-important Communist Celebration assembly within the fall, when Mr. Xi is more and more sure to increase his time in energy.
“In our work this 12 months, we should make financial stability our high precedence and pursue progress whereas guaranteeing stability,” Mr. Li mentioned.
By saying a goal for China’s financial system to broaden “round 5.5 p.c” this 12 months, Mr. Li strengthened the federal government’s emphasis on shoring up development within the face of world uncertainty from the coronavirus pandemic and the battle in Ukraine. That purpose is slower than the 8.1 p.c rebound within the financial system that China reported final 12 months, however increased than many economists consider the nation can obtain with out large authorities spending applications.
Mr. Li upset anybody who might need thought he would have something to say about Ukraine. The Chinese language authorities’s annual work stories typically keep away from new bulletins on international coverage, and this 12 months’s was no exception. Beijing has sought to keep up its partnership with Russia whereas attempting to distance China from President Vladimir V. Putin’s resolution to go to battle.
“China will proceed to pursue an unbiased international coverage of peace, keep on the trail of peaceable growth, work for a brand new sort of worldwide relations,” Mr. Li mentioned in his report — the closest he got here to a touch upon worldwide developments.
Nonetheless, leaders in Beijing additionally signaled — in numbers, reasonably than phrases — that they had been making ready for an more and more harmful world. China’s navy price range will develop by 7.1 p.c this 12 months to about $229 billion, in accordance with the federal government’s price range report, additionally launched Saturday. Mr. Li indicated that there could be no slowing in China’s efforts to modernize and overhaul its navy, which incorporates increasing the navy and growing an array of superior missiles.
“Whereas financial growth offers a basis for a doable protection price range enhance, the safety threats China is going through and the calls for for nationwide protection functionality enhancement brought on by these threats are the driving elements,” International Occasions, a Communist Celebration-run newspaper, wrote in a report this week that predicted China’s rise in navy spending. “Over the previous 12 months, the U.S. additionally rallied its allies and companions around the globe to impress and confront China militarily.”
In December, america Congress permitted a price range of $768 billion for the American navy. However salaries and gear manufacturing prices are far increased in america, which has prompted some analysts to recommend that China’s navy price range is quickly catching up in precise buying energy.
The plan Mr. Li outlined means that China values financial development greater than attempting to make probably painful changes to shift the financial system towards larger reliance on home shopper spending. Beijing has been attempting, with restricted success, to maneuver the financial system away from dependence on debt-fueled infrastructure and housing building.
China had managed to cut back barely final 12 months its debt relative to financial output. It wanted to take action as a result of this ratio had climbed, through the first 12 months of the pandemic, to a stage that economists considered unsustainable.
However assembly this 12 months’s development goal would require extra borrowing, undoing most or all the progress made final 12 months in decreasing the debt burden, mentioned Michael Pettis, an economist with Peking College. He mentioned that it was laborious to see how China might break its dependence on reaching excessive development targets at the least partly by heavy borrowing.
Mr. Li acknowledged that the Chinese language financial system would face challenges this 12 months, pointing to the sluggish restoration of consumption and funding, flagging development in exports and a scarcity of sources and uncooked supplies. By the final three months of final 12 months, the financial system was rising solely 4 p.c.
A part of that financial slowdown mirrored a collection of presidency coverage shifts aimed toward reining in unsustainable growth in some sectors. Housing hypothesis was discouraged. Stringent limits had been imposed on the after-school tutoring business. And nationwide safety businesses imposed tighter scrutiny on the tech sector.
China’s big building business is stalling as dwelling patrons flip cautious, with builders starting to default on money owed. Dwindling revenues from land gross sales have made some native governments extra cautious about constructing further roads and bridges. Continued lockdowns and journey restrictions to stop the coronavirus from spreading have brought about a downturn in spending at lodges and eating places.
Mr. Li gave few clues as to if China may shift away from its stringent “zero Covid” pandemic technique, which has relied on mass testing and occasional lockdowns. He urged officers to deal with native outbreaks in a “scientific and focused method.”
Russia-Ukraine Warfare: Key Issues to Know
He additionally individually alluded to the widespread public outrage that erupted in current weeks over the kidnapping of girls and youngsters. “We’ll crack down laborious on the trafficking of girls and youngsters and defend their lawful rights and pursuits,” he mentioned.
The outcry was set off after a blogger posted footage of a lady seen shackled in a windowless hut in east-central China’s Jiangsu Province, who had reportedly given delivery to eight youngsters. Official investigators mentioned the lady had been kidnapped in 1998, a discovering that individuals on social media mentioned uncovered longstanding issues with bride trafficking and insufficient protections for ladies. The lady turned an emblem of injustice, and censors have since sought to delete on-line discussions of her. (Mr. Li didn’t point out her.)
To bolster the financial system, Mr. Li issued a authorities price range for this 12 months that known as for further spending, and the issuance of extra bonds to pay for it.
The central authorities, which has pretty little debt, will enhance by 18 p.c this 12 months its transfers of cash to provincial and native governments, lots of that are closely indebted. The provincial and native governments perform a lot of China’s social spending and infrastructure building.
Social welfare and schooling outlays are each set to extend about 10 p.c this 12 months. That features elevated central authorities assist for China’s old-age pension funds, which should assist a fast-expanding inhabitants of retirees. The price range additionally contains heavy spending to assist rural households and to construct extra rental housing.
Many Chinese language provinces have set their very own development targets at 7 p.c or increased, because the Communist Celebration seeks to reassure the general public that financial growth stays a significant purpose, mentioned Feng Chucheng, a companion at Plenum, a political and financial consulting agency in Beijing. “They should challenge an image the place the get together places development targets as a high precedence,” he mentioned.
Keith Bradsher reported from Beijing, and Chris Buckley from Sydney. Li You, Liu Yi and Claire Fu contributed analysis.
Business
California's ban on certain hemp products clears early legal challenge
California’s emergency ban on certain hemp products cleared a legal challenge Friday brought by cannabis businesses that sought to block the new rules.
Los Angeles County Superior Court Judge Stephen Goorvitch denied the businesses’ request that he issue an order which would have temporarily allowed hemp sales while a lawsuit over the ban proceeded. The new regulations took effect in September.
In a ruling filed Friday, the judge called the temporary restraining order sought by the businesses a “drastic remedy” because it would have meant hurriedly blocking the implementation of the emergency regulations before a trial when the state and businesses would be able to fully present their cases.
“The potential harm to Californians, especially children, outweighs the potential that individual hemp businesses will not be able to adapt to the new regulations,” Goorvitch said in the ruling.
The decision is a blow to cannabis companies that filed a lawsuit challenging the new rules over concerns that hemp businesses will lose millions of dollars and some small businesses will be forced to shut down.
Jonathan Miller, general counsel of the U.S. Hemp Roundtable, said in a statement that the group is “disappointed with the court’s decision” and is reviewing its next steps in what could be a long legal process.
“We still hold out hope that Governor [Gavin] Newsom will come to the table and work with industry to achieve our mutual goal — to robustly regulate hemp products and keep them out of the hands of children — without devastating hemp farmers, business and consumers as does his emergency regulation,” Miller said.
The ruling keeps in place emergency regulations the state issued as part of an effort to protect young people from potentially dangerous hemp products. The U.S. Hemp Roundtable and hemp businesses such as JuiceTiva, Blaze Life and a cannabis company run by comedy duo Cheech Marin and Tommy Chong sued a California public health agency to block the enforcement of the new rules.
The regulations ban the sale of hemp-based food, beverages and dietary products containing detectable amounts of THC, a compound found in the cannabis plant that contributes to the mind-altering high associated with cannabis use, along with other intoxicating chemical substances. The new rules also state that people must be at least 21 years old to purchase hemp products and limit the number of servings of hemp products to five per package.
In denying the preliminary injunction, Goorvitch said the hemp coalition had failed to meet its burden of demonstrating it was likely to prevail at trial and that it stood to suffer irreparable harm if the ban on sales wasn’t blocked. Businesses can still sell hemp products without detectable levels of THC and “non-final food products” such as hemp flour and lotions with detectable levels of THC, the ruling said.
Jim Higdon, co-founder of Cornbread Hemp and a U.S. Hemp Roundtable member, said he thinks the judge doesn’t fully understand the industry and made the “wrong decision.”
“There’s a whole class of hemp businesses this ruling will destroy,” he said.
Higdon said his Kentucky business, which sells products such as hemp gummies and oil, has California retailers it wants to work with but it hasn’t been able to get its product on the retailers’ shelves because of the “regulatory uncertainty” in the state.
The California Department of Public Health proposed the ban because of concerns that hemp products with THC could harm young people whose brains are still developing. Consuming some of these products could “negatively impact cognitive functions, memory, and decision-making abilities,” the agency said in its findings. The agency didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment but typically doesn’t comment on pending litigation.
“We applaud the court for refusing to block California’s hemp regulations to protect consumers, especially children,” Tara Gallegos, a spokesperson for Newsom, said in a statement. “The court didn’t buy this attempt to reopen a loophole used by bad actors in the hemp industry to push dangerous intoxicating products into gas stations and corner markets.”
Some people consume hemp products with THC for relief from pain, anxiety, insomnia and other issues. People who rely on products for medical needs will still be able to obtain them through licensed adult-use and medical cannabis dispensaries, according to the state.
In the lawsuit, filed in Los Angeles County Superior Court, hemp businesses called the new rules “draconian” and compared them to “requiring candy to stop containing sugar.” The businesses allege in the lawsuit the agency violated state and federal laws, including those that legalized the production of hemp and govern the rulemaking process.
A trial setting conference is scheduled in late November.
Business
Video: Elon Musk Unveils Tesla ‘Robotaxi’
new video loaded: Elon Musk Unveils Tesla ‘Robotaxi’
transcript
transcript
Elon Musk Unveils Tesla ‘Robotaxi’
The company’s chief executive said the new autonomous vehicle, which does not have a steering wheel, would cost less than $30,000, but the technology still faces hurdles.
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As you can see, I just arrived in the “Robotaxi,” the “cybercab.” It’s really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. You could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. This can carry up to 20 people. And it can also transport goods.
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Business
Younger daters are tired of swiping. A host of new L.A. startups is vying for their attention
When Joseph Feminella matched with his would-be wife on Hinge in 2020, he was already growing tired of traditional dating apps. He told her he’d like to meet in person right away, and they met that night.
The pair were married three years later, and Feminella launched his dating app First Round’s on Me nationwide in August after a four-year incubation period. The app is designed to help people meet in real life and was inspired by his own experiences, Feminella said.
The El Segundo-based app skips the swiping and encourages users to schedule a time and place for a date. Any user can send a date invite to another user, and the chat opens only 24 hours before the planned meeting time.
Feminella’s venture is one of several in Los Angeles and beyond that are trying to challenge the traditional dating app format by introducing innovative ways to encourage in-person interactions. In an industry that relies on the steady demand for human connection, new players are emerging as younger daters are starting to use the major apps less.
Los Angeles has become a hotbed for dating app startups that hope to gain attention in a crowded market and take advantage of cracks beginning to form within the most popular apps.
A select handful of apps including Tinder, Bumble and Hinge dominate the online dating market but have recently been struggling to grow, experts say (Match Group owns both Los Angeles-based Tinder and New York-based Hinge; Bumble is headquartered in Austin, Texas).
One reason: Gen Z uses online dating less than the broader population by about 11%, according to Match Group survey data from financial services firm Oppenheimer Holdings.
“The online dating industry is still making money, but from a growth perspective, they’re facing challenges right now,” said Andrew Marok, an industry analyst at Raymond James. “The customer base is changing and there are differences in the ways Gen Z and millennials want to meet people.”
Bumble, which once distinguished itself from other dating apps by requiring the woman to send the first message, has seen its shares plummet 55% so far this year after missing revenue expectations. Its share price closed Thursday at $6.57, up 1.08%.
Tinder — the dating app giant launched in 2012 — recorded the highest number of paying users in 2022, which peaked at 10.8 million after years of rapid growth. The number of paying users on the app dropped by 5% in 2023, and declined 8% in the second quarter from a year ago.
Match Group, which owns Match.com, reported a 5% drop in operating income in the second quarter to $205 million.
Still, Chief Executive Gary Swidler said in an earnings call this year he believes the company is on track to reach $1 billion a year in annual revenue.
A move away from the ‘swipe model’
When online dating got its start in the mid-’90s, the platforms were largely profile-based and matched users with shared interests and values. It was common for users to take a personality quiz or fill out a questionnaire in order to meet matches.
The release of Los Angeles-based Tinder introduced a swipe model in which users can decide if they “like” or “dislike” a potential date based on photos and a short bio. Other apps such as Grindr, which is headquartered in West Hollywood and caters to gay men, use a location-based model where users can browse potential dates in their area.
“You’re continuing to see some product evolution in the marketplace, but over the last few years the swipe-based model has been the one that’s attracted the lion’s share of attention,” Marok said. “We’re seeing that that doesn’t resonate quite as well with younger users.”
Gen Z daters prefer a slower, more intentional approach to finding a partner, Marok said, one based more on substance and less on split-second decisions. Younger daters are also more likely to turn friends into partners, he said.
“When you look at the swipe-based apps, their objective is to get a large volume of strangers in front of the user, which is kind of antithetical to how Gen Z wants to meet people,” Marok said.
Newer dating apps are trying to offer users a break from swipe fatigue and an abundance of startups in L.A. are embracing more advanced matchmaking services and group events for singles.
Feminella’s First Round’s on Me hosts group social events, such as a recent pickleball gathering in West Hollywood that attracted around 100 singles. The privately held app has garnered about 175,000 users and, like its competitors, has a freemium model in which customers can elect to pay for certain features.
Feminella, 34, hopes his app can offer users a different experience than what they’ve already found on the most popular cohort of dating apps.
“I saw that dating apps were becoming non-intentional and validation driven,” Feminella said. “I think they’re missing the point.”
Several other apps hold in-person events in Los Angeles, including London-based Feeld, which has been available in California since its inception in 2014.
“We strongly believe that people unlock people, not apps, so it was important to create another dimension in real life for our members to connect,” said Feeld Chief Executive Ana Kirova.
Summer, a dating app launched in 2022 by Marina del Rey-based tech company 9count, also aims to prioritize in-person meetups and is creating a members-only social club. When a user matches with someone on the app, they only have 25 messages to arrange a date before the conversation locks.
Based in Venice, Lox Club hosts regular events for its members such as weekly Shabbat dinners. The company recently released two more community-based dating apps: Jade Club for East Asian daters and Amara Club for South Asians. Lox Club is also getting ready to introduce a matchmaking service powered by artificial intelligence and human matchmakers, which has attracted a wait list of 10,000 people, according to Head of Marketing Samantha Ratiner.
“The consensus is that people are over using all these apps and doing all this swiping,” Ratiner said. “It’s so overwhelming and it can be a waste of time.”
Other tech-enabled matchmaking services that stray away from traditional dating app formats already exist in Los Angeles, like the self-described “modern matchmaking” company Three Day Rule.
There’s seemingly a dating app for everyone and every niche. The League is a platform for students and alumni of elite colleges to find each other; Kippo is a dating app for video gamers; the Fruitz app allows users to search for others seeking the same kind of relationship.
“There’s definitely room for apps that are focused on specific interest groups or specific demographics,” Marok said. “In the app-based dating market, the barriers to entry are relatively low but the barriers to scale are pretty high.”
Despite the plethora of smaller apps, the vast majority of the market remains dominated by Grindr, Bumble and Match Group, the three publicly traded dating app companies, said Oppenheimer & Co. analyst Jason Helfstein.
Tinder serves approximately 50 million monthly average users, a scale that no other app in the category has reached, according to a Match Group spokesperson. A 2023 poll conducted by OnePoll on behalf of Tinder showed that 55% of singles between the ages of 18 and 25 in the U.S., U.K., Australia and Canada have been in a serious relationship with a partner they met on Tinder.
Match Group is building its own assortment of community-based dating apps, making the space even more crowded for startups. Between 2020 and 2023, Match Group’s apps for gay men, single parents, Christians and the Black and Latino communities saw direct revenue grow at an annual compound rate of more than 70%, the spokesperson said.
Feminella said his company First Round’s on Me sees subscription and revenue growth month over month and has had success with in-person events. He did not disclose financial details, but said he knows he can’t realistically compete with apps such as Tinder and Hinge.
“For me to even get to that point, they would probably just buy me out,” Feminella said.
After a certain amount of growth, smaller dating app companies are likely to fizzle out or be sold to one of the major players, Helfstein said.
“For the private companies that focus on a small niche, it eventually gets too expensive to grow,” he said. “There will never be another publicly traded dating company.”
Helfstein described the dating app industry as profitable but somewhat stagnant — Match Group had 37% profit margins last year and is on track for 36% this year.
But Tinder downloads fell for the third year in a row this year and Bumble shares dropped 30% in August after missing Wall Street estimates. Artificial intelligence and other new technology could completely transform the industry and offer revitalization, Helfstein said.
“Maybe in five years from now, online dating will be reborn through virtual reality,” he said. “Right now it’s a healthy business, but what the market likes is growth.”
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