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2026 NBA Playoffs: Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 4 best bet

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2026 NBA Playoffs: Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 4 best bet


The Minnesota Timberwolves have a chance to put their foot on the Denver Nuggets’ throat when they host Game 4 Saturday in the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs at the Target Center at 8:30 p.m. ET. Minnesota beat the brakes off Denver 113-96 in Game 3 Thursday to take a 2-1 series lead.

Now, both teams have -110 odds to win this series at DraftKings. The T-Wolves are slight home underdogs — +1.5 on the spread and +102 on the money line — and the total is 229.5.

WHY BETTING THUNDER -9.5 AGAINST THE SUNS FEELS LIKE A SAFE PLAY IN A LOPSIDED SERIES

In an unexpected twist, the Timberwolves have made Nuggets’ three-time NBA MVP Nikola Jokic seem mortal. Although Jokic is still getting his numbers, he’s been less efficient. The Joker is shooting just 40.0% from the field and 20.8% from behind the arc with a -6 net rating.

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Minnesota Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert contests a jumper by Denver Nuggets C Nikola Jokic during Game 2 of their first-round series in the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Ball Arena in Colorado. (Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images)

Denver’s other major concern is the health of its only good defensive player, forward Aaron Gordon, who missed Game 3 and is “questionable” for Saturday. Even if Gordon plays Game 4, how effective will he be? And does it matter anyway? That’s what I’m here to discuss.

Best Bet: Minnesota Timberwolves +102 moneyline, up to -120

I’m expecting a Jokic bounce-back game Saturday. He’s just too good. Nikola has averaged a triple-double in three of his last four NBA playoffs, and he usually balls up T-Wolves C Rudy Gobert.

However, this is a bad matchup for the Nuggets because they need PG Jamal Murray to play like an All-Star, and the Timberwolves have two of the best perimeter defenders in the NBA, Anthony Edwards and Jaden McDaniels.

Denver Nuggets PG Jamal Murray drives to the paint on Minnesota Timberwolves SG Anthony Edwards in Game 3 in the first round of the 2026 Western Conference Playoffs. (Abbie Parr/AP)

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Murray is averaging 25.3 points per game in this series, but he is shooting 35.9% from the field and 22.2% from 3-point range. That’s just not going to cut it. And it won’t get easier for him either because McDaniels is picking Murray up full-court.

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Meanwhile, with or without Gordon, Denver has a terrible defense. Sure, having Jokic gives the Nuggets a chance to beat anyone, but you can’t win a title with the 21st-ranked defensive efficiency in the Association.

Also, Minnesota is one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the NBA, and role players shoot better at home. The T-Wolves are sixth in 3-point shooting percentage and allow the fewest 3-pointers per game on defense.

Minnesota Timberwolves All-Star Anthony Edwards shoots over Denver Nuggets PG Jamal Murray in Game 3 of their first-round NBA playoff series at Target Center in Minneapolis. (Abbie Parr/AP)

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Lastly, this will be a contrarian bet with the public most likely backing Denver because people will think, “The Nuggets won’t go down 3-1 in this series. They are the better team with the best player in the world.”

Well, I’m here to tell you those people are wrong, and the Timberwolves are winning Game 4.

Prediction: Timberwolves 117, Nuggets 110

_____________________________

Follow me on X @Geoffery-Clark, and check out my OutKick Bets Podcast for more betting content and random rants.

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St. Paul resident’s special connection to the Declaration of Independence

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St. Paul resident’s special connection to the Declaration of Independence


Whether it’s celebrating or saluting, July 4 is one of America’s biggest days. This Independence Day marks 250 years since 40 East Coasters decided to sever their colonies from English control. As an author and law professor, this Vietnam veteran and St. Paul resident knows a lot about U.S. history because for him, it’s family history.



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Minnesota

Allie Lauer Of St. Cloud Tech Claims Clay Shooting Championship With A Score Of 99

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Allie Lauer Of St. Cloud Tech Claims Clay Shooting Championship With A Score Of 99


A St. Cloud Tech ninth-grader won the Minnesota State High School League Clay Shooting championship on Friday.

Allie Lauer won the title with a score of 99 and reverse run of 83, while second-place finisher Isabella Blaz (Rosemount) also scored a 99 but a reverse run of 54. LeRoy-Ostrander’s Kimberly Volkart finished in third place with a score of 98.

MSHSL:

“I was nervous coming in because the other girls are older,” Lauer said. “It was nice weather today and things worked out well. Your average (score) doesn’t really matter. Just keep a good mindset and don’t focus on the scores.”

 

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BOYS CLAY SHOOTING CHAMPIONSHIP 

Proctor sophomore Lane Graves took home the championship after a grueling three-way, two-round shoot-off against Rushford-Peterson’s Colton Ronnenberg (second place) and Prior Lake’s Jack Benedict.

After Benedict was eliminated in the first shoot-off, Graves outlasted Ronnenberg with a 9-7 win in round two.

TEAM CLAY SHOOTING CHAMPIONSHIP 

The Bemidji Lumberjacks took the team title with a total score of 487, one ahead of Lakeville South and five better than both Stewartville and Spring Grove.

St. Cloud’s Stanley Cup Champion Nate Schmidt [GALLERY]

Former St. Cloud Cathedral and University of Minnesota standout Nate Schmidt will bring the Stanley Cup to St. Cloud on August 25th. Here’s a look at his career through photos.





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Driver in fatal crash near Belview, Minnesota, was fleeing law enforcement

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Driver in fatal crash near Belview, Minnesota, was fleeing law enforcement


REDWOOD FALLS

— The 64-year-old Redwood Falls man

killed in a rollover crash Saturday in Redwood County

was fleeing police in his vehicle at the time, according to information from the Redwood County Sheriff’s Office.

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Francis Albert Rohlik was pronounced dead at the scene of the crash at approximately 7:22 p.m. on June 27. He was northbound on Redwood County Road 7 north of

Belview

when his vehicle left the roadway and rolled at the intersection with 400th Street in Kintire Township, according to

an accident report

by the

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Minnesota State Patrol.

Rohlik was not wearing a seat belt, the State Patrol reported. According to the Redwood County Sheriff’s Office, he was ejected from the vehicle during the crash.

Shortly before the crash, at approximately 7:19 p.m. Saturday, law enforcement officers attempted to stop his vehicle for traffic violations on County Road 7 near Belview. The driver accelerated away from deputies and a brief pursuit ensued. After approximately three miles, the vehicle lost control and rolled over near the intersection with 400th Street, according to the Sheriff’s Office.

Deputies immediately administered medical aid to the driver. However, he was pronounced dead at the scene. Rohlik was the only occupant in the vehicle.

Assisting agencies included the Minnesota State Patrol, the Yellow Medicine County Sheriff’s Office, Belview Fire Department, Belview First Responders, Minnesota Department of Natural Resources, CentraCare Ambulance, and North Memorial AirCare. The Minnesota State Patrol is investigating the crash.

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Tom Cherveny is a regional and outdoors reporter for the West Central Tribune.
He has been a reporter with the West Central Tribune since 1993.

Cherveny can be reached via email at tcherveny@wctrib.com or by phone at 320-214-4335.





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