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Harris leads Trump in Wisconsin and Michigan, tied in Pennsylvania, new CNN polls show

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Harris leads Trump in Wisconsin and Michigan, tied in Pennsylvania, new CNN polls show


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WASHINGTON ― Democratic nominee Kamala Harris leads Republican rival Donald Trump in Wisconsin and Michigan, and is tied with the former president in Pennsylvania, according to new CNN polls of the three so-called “blue wall” Rust Belt states that could decide next week’s election.

In Michigan, Harris leads Trump 48%-43% among the state’s likely voters, while Harris is ahead of the former president 51%-45% in Wisconsin, the polls released Wednesday found. Both leads are outside the surveys’ margins of errors. Harris and Trump are tied in Pennsylvania at 48% apiece, a third CNN poll found.

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The polls were conducted Oct. 23 to 28. The Pennsylvania and Michigan polls have margins of errors of plus or minus 4.7 percentage points, and the Wisconsin poll has a margin of error of 4.8 percentage points.

In an election defined by a historically wide gender gap, the Wisconsin and Pennsylvania polls found Harris faring better among women voters and Trump among male voters. Harris leads Wisconsin’s likely women voters 59%-38%, and Trump leads Wisconsin’s likely male voters 53%-41, the poll found. In Pennsylvania, Harris leads women voters 49%-46%, while Trump leads male voters 50%-46%

But in Michigan, CNN found Harris and Trump tied with male voters at 44%, while Harris leads among female voters in the state 49%-41%.

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In all three states, Harris polled better than Trump on the question of who is more honest and trustworthy: a 7-point advantage in Pennsylvania, a 16-point advantage in Michigan and a 17-point edge in Wisconsin.

Trump is seen as the better candidate to handle the economy, but by narrower margins than much of the race: a 3-point advantage in Wisconsin, a 4-point edge for Trump in Michigan and an 8-point edge in Pennsylvania.

Independent presidential candidate Robert. F. Kennedy, who dropped out of the race in August to endorse Trump, remains on the ballot in Wisconsin and Michigan. The CNN polls found he has support from 3% of likely voters in Michigan and 1% in Wisconsin.

A pair of polls from USA TODAY/Suffolk University this week found Trump in a stronger “blue wall” position than the CNN polls: leading Harris 48%-47% in Wisconsin and tied with Harris at 47% in Michigan.

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What is the blue wall?

Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan − each carried by President Joe Biden in 2020 − have voted as a bloc in every presidential election since 1988, with one of the presidential candidates sweeping all three. Trump flipped the three “blue wall” states to the Republican column in 2016 en route to his defeat over Democrat Hillary Clinton.

If Harris carries all three “blue wall” states in the Nov. 5 election, then she would likely secure enough electoral votes to win the presidency even if she loses the four other battleground states − North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. That’s assuming Harris wins Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district, where she is polling ahead, and all other states she is heavily favored to win.

For Trump, a victory in any of the “blue wall” states − particularly Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral votes, the most of any battleground − would open a path for him to secure the necessary 270 electoral votes by pairing that win with victories in the Sun Belt states, where he is polling stronger.

Reach Joey Garrison on X, formerly on Twitter, @joeygarrison.

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60th annual Central Pennsylvania Festival of the Arts now underway in State College

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60th annual Central Pennsylvania Festival of the Arts now underway in State College


It was a strong opening day in State College for the 60th anniversary of the Central Pennsylvania Festival of the Arts.

The festival kicked off with the traditional children’s day festivities.

Kids lined South Allen Street, displaying and selling their latest creations.

6 News spoke with one of the young businessmen there — Trevor Winterich — who was busy with his 3D toys.

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On Thursday, the festival’s sidewalk sales open, featuring artists and performers from across the country.

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The festival will then wrap up on Sunday.



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Pennsylvania state trooper to be laid to rest after being fatally struck in Schuylkill County

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Pennsylvania state trooper to be laid to rest after being fatally struck in Schuylkill County


BUTLER TWP., Pa. (WPVI) — A Pennsylvania State Trooper who was killed in a crash on Interstate 81 will be laid to rest Wednesday.

A public viewing for Trooper Michael Pahira, Jr., is scheduled from 8 a.m. to 10 a.m. at North Schuylkill High School in Butler Township.

A funeral will follow at 11 a.m.

Trooper Pahira was fatally struck on I-81 last week by a tractor-trailer while conducting a safety inspection on another truck in Cass Township, Schuylkill County.

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According to state police, a passing commercial vehicle hit Pahira while he was conducting the inspection with his emergency lights activated.

The alleged driver, 33-year-old Michael Bon, is facing homicide charges. He is being held on $700,000 bail.

Pahira, 44, was assigned to Troop L, Frackville and had been with the state police for 20 years.

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Federal lawsuit: Conviction for small amount of marijuana should not preclude getting a license to carry a firearm

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Federal lawsuit: Conviction for small amount of marijuana should not preclude getting a license to carry a firearm


A Butler County man, along with a national gun rights organization, filed a federal lawsuit on Tuesday against the Pennsylvania State Police challenging the law that prohibits those with even minor drug convictions from being able to obtain a license to carry a concealed firearm.

The Second Amendment lawsuit comes within days of two significant decisions from the U.S. Supreme Court expanding gun rights — including one directly on point in which the court found, unanimously, that it was improper for the federal government to prosecute a man for illegal firearm possession only because he regularly used marijuana.

“(T)he court rejected the government’s theory ‘that anyone who regularly uses marijuana is categorically violent and dangerous without any further showing,’ ” the lawsuit said.

It is that principle that Craig Philips, of Butler, and Gun Owners of America Inc., cite in the 22-page complaint filed in Pittsburgh against Pennsylvania State Police Acting Commissioner Lt. Col. George L. Bivens and Butler County Sheriff Michael T. Slupe.

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Philips is a member of Gun Owners of America, the national nonprofit formed in 1976 with 2 million members and supporters. He asserts that Pennsylvania’s law governing who can obtain a license to carry a gun infringes on his constitutional right to bear arms.

He served in the U.S. Air Force from 1989 until 1992 and received an honorable discharge, the lawsuit said. Then, in 1994, it continued, Philips was convicted of possessing a small amount of marijuana, categorized as an ungraded misdemeanor.

The lawsuit asserts he has not used marijuana since that conviction and that he recently retired as an air conditioning equipment mechanic for the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs.

While Philips, the lawsuit said, is legally allowed to own and posses firearms and has purchased handguns after passing required background checks, he is not, under Pennsylvania’s law eligible to obtain a license to carry a firearm.

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He attempted to get one in 2024, the lawsuit said, in Butler County, but was denied because of the 1994 marijuana conviction.

“Defendants cannot historically justify that infringement based on a single marijuana conviction from 1994 where plaintiff Philips has since lived as a law-abiding citizen and remains eligible to possess firearms,” the lawsuit said. “No current facts support any finding that Plaintiff Philips is dangerous to himself or others.”

Without a license to carry, the lawsuit said, Philips is substantially restricted from transporting a firearm in a vehicle, carrying one for protection during a state of emergency or “exercising his right to bear arms in ordinary public life.”

The lawsuit challenges Pennsylvania’s statute that denies a license to carry a firearm to any person convicted of any offense under Pennsylvania’s drug laws “irrespective of the facts of the underlying offense or the offender’s peaceful nature.”

Pennsylvania’s drug laws, the lawsuit said, encompasses everything from ungraded misdemeanors for possessing a small amount of marijuana to possession of drug paraphernalia up to felony counts for intent to deliver a controlled substance.

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The lawsuit filed Tuesday does not challenge denials for those convicted of felony offenses — only those who remain otherwise eligible.

It seeks an order finding the state’s denial of Philips’ license to carry violates the Second and 14th amendments, as well as an order permanently enjoining the state from denying a license to Philips and all other individuals prohibited based on convictions for a small amount of marijuana.

Additionally, it asks that the defendants be required to cite individualized evidence why a person ought to be denied because of potential danger to public safety.

Philips’ attorneys wrote that a 2022 U.S. Supreme Court decision out of New York said that a person’s right to bear arms “’shall not be infringed.’”

“Period,” Philips attorneys wrote. “There are no ‘ifs, ands or buts,’ and it does not matter (even a little bit) how important, significant, compelling or overriding the government’s justification for or interest in infringing the right.”

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Messages left with the state police Tuesday evening were not immediately returned.





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