North Carolina
Will Florida State cover the spread vs. North Carolina? ACC Tournament Betting Trends, Record ATS
The No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (25-6, 17-3 ACC) take on the No. 9 seed Florida State Seminoles (17-15, 10-10 ACC) as 10.5-point favorites in the ACC Tournament Thursday at Capital One Arena, beginning at 12:00 PM ET on ESPN. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has a point total of 153.5.
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Florida State vs. North Carolina Odds & Info
- Date: Thursday, March 14, 2024
- Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Where: Washington D.C.
- Venue: Capital One Arena
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| Favorite | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | -10.5 | 153.5 |
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Seminoles Betting Records & Stats
- Florida State has played 18 games this season that have gone over 153.5 combined points scored.
- Florida State has a 152.7-point average over/under in its outings this season, 0.8 fewer points than this game’s total.
- Florida State has gone 15-16-0 ATS this year.
- Florida State has been a moneyline underdog in 15 games this season and has come away with the win six times (40%) in those contests.
- The Seminoles have played as an underdog of +450 or more once this season and lost that game.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Florida State has an 18.2% chance of pulling out a win.
Florida State vs. North Carolina Over/Under Stats
| Games Over 153.5 | % of Games Over 153.5 | Average PPG | Combined Average PPG | Average Opponent PPG | Combined Average Opponent PPG | Average Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 15 | 50% | 81.6 | 158.4 | 70.1 | 145.9 | 152.7 |
| Florida State | 18 | 58.1% | 76.8 | 158.4 | 75.8 | 145.9 | 150.1 |
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Additional Florida State Insights & Trends
- Florida State has a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall in its past 10 games.
- The Seminoles have hit the over in eight of their last 10 outings.
- Florida State has compiled a 12-9-0 record against the spread in conference play this year.
- The Seminoles score an average of 76.8 points per game, 6.7 more points than the 70.1 the Tar Heels allow.
- When it scores more than 70.1 points, Florida State is 11-8 against the spread and 13-7 overall.
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Florida State vs. North Carolina Betting Splits
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 10.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 18-12-0 | 6-6 | 14-16-0 |
| Florida State | 15-16-0 | 1-0 | 21-10-0 |
Florida State vs. North Carolina Home/Away Splits
| North Carolina | Florida State | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-1 | Home Record | 10-7 |
| 8-2 | Away Record | 4-7 |
| 8-7-0 | Home ATS Record | 8-9-0 |
| 7-3-0 | Away ATS Record | 5-6-0 |
| 87.5 | Points Scored Per Game (Home) | 77.9 |
| 71.8 | Points Scored Per Game (Away) | 74.2 |
| 8-7-0 | Over-Under-Push Record (Home) | 11-6-0 |
| 2-8-0 | Over-Under-Push Record (Away) | 7-4-0 |
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The North Carolina Tar Heels will be a young program across the board next season, with well over two dozen freshmen and numerous additions from the transfer portal this offseason. Expectations for the 2026 season are lowered dramatically after a disastrous first season for head coach Bill Belichick, though those expectations could help the Tar Heels fly under the radar.
As the Tar Heels approach the end of spring ball, it is time to look at the veterans of the team—the ones who have the experience to lead, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Let’s look at three underrated seniors for the 2026 football season.
Ade Willie, Cornerback
Willie joins the Tar Heels program after four years with Michigan State, as the former 4-star player in the 2022 recruiting class gets an opportunity to not only provide depth to the secondary, but potentially start Week 0 against TCU.
Willie played in over 30 games with the Spartans and brings experience in the secondary at cornerback and safety, along with quality length and closing speed to the football. For a defense that needs players to step up, the redshirt senior from IMG Academy will be asked to do so.
Isaiah Johnson, Defensive Lineman
The defensive line is beginning to look like one of the Tar Heels’ strengths for the 2026 season. Johnson, a former transfer from Arizona, enters his redshirt senior year looking to add another year of production after 40 tackles and two sacks this past season.
North Carolina has an impressive group of starters with Malkart Abou-Jaoude, Leroy Jackson, and incoming transfer Jaylen Harvey. Johnson adds value to the group as a run defender with the ability to penetrate the pocket. While not discussed as a key player, Johnson’s name will be used plenty during the regular season as a potential standout for the program’s defensive front.
Coleman Bryson, Safety
Bryson was a reserve player for the Tar Heels’ secondary last season as a big nickel defender in the rotation. Heading into his redshirt senior year, the former Minnesota Gopher is looking to become a full-time starter in the secondary.
It wasn’t long ago when Bryson was making plays as the 2022 Pinstripe Bowl Defensive MVP. His special teams abilities were valuable for North Carolina last season, and he flashed at times in coverage against tight ends, including a pass breakup in the season-opener against TCU. The Waynesville, North Carolina, native could be a key defender on the back-seven in 2026.
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Friends and family members gathered in Washington state on Saturday, remembering former Miss North Carolina Carrie Everett, who died on Easter Sunday. Another memorial service is planned in North Carolina next month.
Web Editor : Sydney Ross
Posted
Virginia 3, North Carolina 0 | First Quarter
Virginia 3, North Carolina 0 | Q1 8:19
After a faceoff win by Henry Metz, Brendan Millon finds Truitt Sunderland to give the Hoos a 3-0 lead. Timeout North Carolina.
Virginia 2, North Carolina 0 | Q1 9:00
Brendan Millon gets the scoring started for the Cavaliers with a question mark style goal. On the defensive end, Jake Marek opens the game with three early saves with his third save setting up a transition goal by Tommy Snyder.
Virginia vs North Carolina pregame notes
UVA owns a 59-33 advantage since the series began in 1938.
The 59 wins are UVA’s most against any opponent in program history (followed by 51 against Duke).
In Chapel Hill last year, the Tar Heels defeated the Cavaliers 18-9, snapping UVA’s six-game series win streak.
UVA has won nine of the last 11 meetings, dating back to 2018.
The Hoos have won the last two meetings with Carolina at Klöckner Stadium, 11-4 in 2022 and 14-6 in 2024.
The Tar Heels’ four goals in 2022 marked the fewest goals in a game under Joe Breschi, who was named UNC’s head coach in 2006.
The last time the Tar Heels knocked off the Cavaliers at Klöckner was a 16-13 decision during the first of three games between the two teams in 2021.
Later that year, UVA claimed back-to-back meetings against the Heels, including in the NCAA semifinals on the way to capturing the 2021 national title over Maryland.
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