North Dakota
How El Niño could impact the rest of winter and into spring in ND when compared to long-term trends
BISMARCK, N.D. (KFYR) – El Niño usually means milder winter temperatures in the Northern Plains and that was certainly the case in December. But what might be in store for the rest of winter and even into spring?
El Niño’s signal of warmth in the Pacific Ocean is evident and its strength is a big factor in our long-term outlook. But it’s not the only one.
We average out the past 30 years to get our climate normals, but those change over time.
“I think people who have lived in North Dakota for a while now have really started to notice the shifting of the seasons that we’re seeing with those longer-term trends. Warming in the fall and extending the plant season on that end with the harvest. But then winter seems to stick around in the spring a lot longer than we want it to and it’s kind of delaying that spring plant season,” said Megan Jones, a meteorologist at the Bismarck National Weather Service.
“When you look at the winter as a whole, there’s not really a strong trend across North Dakota. When you start looking at the month-by-month, December is pretty neutral, January’s warming a little bit, but then you start to see a strong cooling trend in February, specifically. And I think if you’re thinking back to the past couple of winters, it seems like February is always the worst month. And then as we go into the spring, when we got the new climate normals for 1991-2020, there was a pretty noticeable cooling trend,” said Jones.
The peak of El Niño might be occurring, which needs to be closely monitored to overcome the long-term climate trends.
“If the El Niño is strong enough to kind of keep us a little bit warmer and maybe shake off winter sooner than what we’ve had the past couple years, but sometimes the longer-term trends win out and we’ll be stuck with not quite spring conditions a little bit longer than we want,” said Jones.
The current outlook still slightly favors above normal temperatures, but as you get further into the spring season, that probability really starts to lessen.
“There’s always talk about warm and dry, cold and wet. A lot of the time, we don’t get those paired together necessarily. One of the things that we’ve seen from the historical El Niños, the stronger ones, the past two strong El Niños have been warm in the spring but they’ve also been wet. So it doesn’t necessarily mean snow, but it also doesn’t necessarily mean dry,” said Jones.
Even if it’s rain, hopefully, that helps farmers to get into the fields sooner in the spring and ranchers with calving than the past two years that featured blizzards in April.
Near normal precipitation is expected for late winter and into spring, but it only takes the track of one storm to make a difference.
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JAMESTOWN, N.D. — The No. 2 seed Thompson Tommies survived an upset scare by defeating the No. 7 seed Rugby Panthers 39-36 on Thursday, March 5, in the quarterfinals of the North Dakota Division A girls basketball state tournament at the Jamestown Civic Center.
With 16 seconds left in the game and down 39-36, Panthers coach Jen Brossart drew up one final play in an attempt to send the game to overtime. Strong defense from the Tommies formed a cluster of players at the top of the arc, and as time expired, Panthers guard Avery Santjer put up a falling-away 3-point attempt that came up short, giving the quarterfinal victory to Thompson.
Addison Sage had 15 points to lead Thompson with Kya Hurst chipping in 11. Santjer led Rugby with 13.
Burchill’s double-double leads Valley City to win
Valley City junior forward Katie Burchill scored a 23-point double-double with 18 rebounds to lead the Hi-Liners to a 64-44 quarterfinal victory over Devils Lake on Thursday.
Valley City outscored Devils Lake 21-6 in the third quarter to take a commanding lead.
Presley Brown and Tylie Brodina each scored 12 for the Firebirds.
Burchill and sophomore forward Skye Nelson also recorded nine of Valley City’s 12 blocks.
John M. Steiner / The Jamestown Sun
South Prairie-Max runs past Watford City
South Prairie-Max scored a 50-point victory over Watford City, winning 75-25 on Thursday in the quarterfinals behind 19 points from Skotti Beck.
Mya Gunville added 12 points and Brianna Rose 11 for South Prairie-Max.
Lohgan Hanna led Watford City with nine points.
Trenbeath, Kindred squeak by Hazen
Liza Trenbeath’s 27 points paced No. 4 seed Kindred to a 56-54 win over No. 5 Hazen in Thursday’s quarterfinals.
Siera Nipstad chipped in 19 points and six rebounds as the Vikings (20-5) advanced to Friday’s state semifinals against top-seeded South Prairie-Max (24-1). Tipoff is set for 8:15 p.m. at the Jamestown Civic Center.
Kindred shot 22 of 51 (43.1%) from the field to Hazen’s 19 of 41 (46.3%)
Our newsroom occasionally reports stories under a byline of “staff.” Often, the “staff” byline is used when rewriting basic news briefs that originate from official sources, such as a city press release about a road closure, and which require little or no reporting. At times, this byline is used when a news story includes numerous authors or when the story is formed by aggregating previously reported news from various sources. If outside sources are used, it is noted within the story.
Greg Power, fisheries division chief with the North Dakota Game and Fish Department, shares information about the new 2026-2028 Fishing Guide and a few new regulations starting April 1, 2026.
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SIOUX FALLS — Ali Stephens had 17 points and 13 rebounds and 8th-seeded Omaha defeated 9th-seeded North Dakota 49-39 in the first round of the Summit League women’s tournament.
The Fighting Hawks had a tough time putting the ball in the hoop all night long, scoring just three points in the first quarter and having only marginally better luck from there.
UND (7-24) shot just 23.5 percent from the floor (12-for-51) and made 1-of-20 shots from outside the arc. Walker Demers and Mackenzie Hughes had 10 points each to lead the Hawks, with Demers adding eight rebounds.
Matt Zimmer/Sioux Falls Live
Regan Juenemann had 10 points and five rebounds for the Mavericks while Avril Smith had seven points and 16 rebounds and Sarai Estupinan eight points, five assists and three rebounds. Omaha (6-26) shot the ball slightly better than the Hawks, going 16-of-53 from the field (30 percent) and 8-of-23 (35 percent) on 3-pointers.
With the win, the Mavs earn a date with top-seed North Dakota State on Thursday at 2:30 p.m.
The Bison won both regular season matchups by more than 50 points.
Matt Zimmer/Sioux Falls Live
Oral Roberts 84, Kansas City 62 — Don’t look now but the team that started the conference season 0-10 and at one point lost 15 of 16 games might be the hottest in the Summit League.
Oral Roberts picked up their fourth straight victory on Wednesday night in the conference tournament opener, routing Kansas City at the Premier Center in the 8/9 “play-in” game.
Ty Harper had 22 points to lead the Golden Eagles (10-22), who took a 44-21 lead by halftime and never looked back. ORU shot 50 percent from the floor and made 13-of-27 3-pointers while the Kangaroos shot just 34 percent and made 6-of-24 from deep. Martins Kilups had 17 points for the Eagles and Connor Dow added 14.
Jayson Petty had 14 points to lead the Kagaroos, who finish the season 4-27. It was their final game under coach Marvin Menzies, whom the school announced earlier this season would not return next year.
With the win ORU advances to face top-seed North Dakota State on Thursday at 6 p.m.
The Golden Eagles lost to NDSU 86-58 in Tulsa on Jan. 24 but they took the Bison to overtime in Fargo on Jan. 3 in a 79-77 loss.
Matt Zimmer is a Sioux Falls native and longtime sports writer. He graduated from Washington High School where he played football, legion baseball and developed his lifelong love of the Minnesota Twins and Vikings. After graduating from St. Cloud State University, he returned to Sioux Falls, and began a long career in amateur baseball and sports reporting. Email Matt at mzimmer@siouxfallslive.com.
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